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Messages - ppintaluba

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 38
1
Other investments / Re: P2P without 3rd party with outstanding profit
« on: July 19, 2017, 12:38:12 PM »
And are you returning capital monthly?
The IRR es less than 10%. It seems quite low for a high risk investment IMO.
We can get some country bonds with less risk, with similar profit.
2
Exchanges / Re: Smarkets closing accounts from some locations
« on: July 13, 2017, 02:23:57 AM »
only 12 coutrs can register now. I heard that they try to enter in usa market, but thay must go out of illigal markets

12 countries... 5 of them being Guernsey, Jersey, Isle of man, Gibraltar and Malta.
Less than 1 million people all together.
3
Exchanges / Re: Question about Betfair commision
« on: June 30, 2017, 05:50:11 PM »
My answer was straight. You will pay commission on your 9.09 profit.

Gamblehappier said the same, in other words.

No matter if you placed 1 bet or one hundred bets, back or lay you will pay commission on the net profit for each market.
4
Exchanges / Re: Question about Betfair commision
« on: June 30, 2017, 02:06:21 AM »
Commission is based on the profit for each market (9.09)
5
Exchanges / Re: closure account
« on: June 07, 2017, 07:19:27 PM »
You want to ask their customer service how to keep betting, being from a restricted country, and avoid being detected?
6
Exchanges / Bookie.exchange
« on: May 05, 2017, 04:39:23 AM »
http://bookie.exchange

Do you believe this will work?
Too many legal issues IMO. 

Interesting discussion in LinkedIn about these issues.

https://www.linkedin.com/hp/update/6264821468316594176
7
Arbing and trading talk / Re: Arbing management tool
« on: May 03, 2017, 06:19:31 PM »
Smart Bet Tracker is online since 2013.
It's a personal project, although there's a small team behind Smart Bet Tracker (mostly advisory).
8
Arbing and trading talk / Re: EH in bet365
« on: May 03, 2017, 03:15:30 PM »
EH markets are shown in Main section. The name is "Handicap result" and "Alternative Handicap result".
I have also seen the market described as "3-Way handicap" or "Handicap Betting 3-way".
Anyway, searching on the page (Ctrl-f) "Handicap" would always find these markets (and also Asian Handicaps) on the main section.




9
Arbing and trading talk / Re: Arbing management tool
« on: May 02, 2017, 02:57:05 PM »
I obviously use Smart Bet Tracker and I enter my bets manually.

It's not a big deal as it provides updated information about events, markets and odds. So it's really a matter of choosing the bookmaker and stake (which allow default values) and adjust odds. The rest of the information (sport, country, competition, event, market, pick, dates, is already completed, and the bet result is automatically assigned.

I'll take a look at greasemonkey...

Regards
10
EH includes the draw. So an EH -3 (or -2 or +1) will include three options to bet (1 X and 2) and all outcomes take into account the handicap. I.e., EH -3, result 3-0 means the X wins.
AH does not include draw. Outcomes are 1 or 2. That's why the handicap is 1.5, 2.5, etc, to avoid draws.
If an AH is +1, -1, etc, (integer number), then the draw could happen, and it returns the stake.

In both AH and EH, you need to bet on all outcomes.
11
ODDS4STATS / Re: Odds4Stats (O4S) new value betting service
« on: March 26, 2017, 02:23:57 PM »
I was the first to say I was skeptical (in fact, I said exceptic  :) but just corrected it).
Anyway, it's just a tool providing historical data and filters. You decide what to do with results.
I don't think I will find consistent value by manually playing with filters, but maybe someone can.
12
ODDS4STATS / Re: Odds4Stats (O4S) new value betting service
« on: March 23, 2017, 11:29:53 AM »
Another question. What stake plan are you using to calculate profits?
13
ODDS4STATS / Re: Odds4Stats (O4S) new value betting service
« on: March 22, 2017, 06:54:17 PM »
I hope most people in this forum already know that :)

What I wrote about a winning strategy in the past not ensuring winning in the future is that the strategy can be a winning one, because the software takes the best closing odds. If you cannot bet the best closing odds (this is not easy) then the strategy can work, but you fail anyway. Maybe betting close to kick off and comparing available odds at the moment works.

The software could add in the future new features such a comparing a strategy using the best closing odds, the average odds, etc
14
ODDS4STATS / Re: Odds4Stats (O4S) new value betting service
« on: March 22, 2017, 03:09:22 PM »
Hello. Nice tool, but I'm a bit exceptical (about the ability to win in the future based on a winning strategy in the past) :). Anyway, data is always valuable.

I have some questions.

1) What odds are considered in the results, after setting the filters for the strategy? The best closing odds available on all bookmakers in the database?

2) In this tool it's absolutly necesary to have accurate data. Where do you get this information and how do you validate it's correct? There are many sources and they have different information. For example, oddsportal has closing odds 6.79 for Freiburg against Dortmund, at Pinnacle (the same you show on your 1st video). On the other hand, in the game Mainz vs Dortmund you show Home odds 5.9 at Matchbook, but Oddsportal shows 5.85.

3) I saw Marathon and Unibet in the video. Which is the list of bookmakers? Will you provide an option to filter bookmakers and set commissions on Exchanges?

Sorry if some information is already explained on some video and I didn't find it.

Thank you
15
Arbing and trading talk / Re: win or void
« on: March 14, 2017, 09:23:10 PM »
You can contact Hong Kong Football Association (check http://www.hkfa.com/en/load_page/12 for email, fax and telephone), and ask them for details about this match (they have basic information here, http://www.hkfa.com/en/match/detail/21748/, but it does not include the match duration. The last goal was at minute 78 and it was a penalty).

It is strange that the same teams will play again tomorrow... (http://www.hkfa.com/en/leagueyear?year=2016-2017&leagueid=933&type=0&page=4&other=2&date=&team=0)



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