WC 2014 pattern

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Arbusers
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WC 2014 pattern
« on: June 17, 2014, 10:15:24 AM »

Guys, I noticed a pattern that might help some of you.
Odds on favorites usualy drop.
Find a game that will be played in 4-6 days. Beton the favorite, odds 1.35-1.90. Wait for 2-3 days till the odds move and then bet the other way around. Do not wait for the last day, because the trend usualy changes the last day. Bet thye favorite on softbooks when their odds are slightly better than pinn and BF.
It worked with every game so far.
I hope it will help some of you.
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drhoo
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Re: WC 2014 pattern
« Reply #1 on: June 17, 2014, 11:54:11 AM »

yea? i want to do that, but i'm too careful :s

Can you or someone give an example of such game for next week?

Thanks.
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Yngwie/Sawyer
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Re: WC 2014 pattern
« Reply #2 on: June 17, 2014, 12:01:06 PM »

Yesterday, Nigeria. First it was 2,35. Then dropped to 2.10 , 2.00, 1,90, 1,88.
Germany also. 2,35-2,30 first, then dropped to 1,95-1,97. (Raised to 2,20 before kickoff though)

Argentina, France 2 days ago. They dropped big.

Today, Belgium. It was 1.54-1.56 few days ago. 1,58 in some soft books. 1,33 now at Pinnacle.
Netherlands also dropped dramatically. 1,35-1.36 to 1,22.
Russia also dropped. It was 2,20-2,25 in soft books few days ago. It was 1,80 this morning, then raised to 1,85.
« Last Edit: June 17, 2014, 12:03:58 PM by Yngwie/Sawyer » Logged

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anormal1992
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anormal1992

Re: WC 2014 pattern
« Reply #3 on: June 17, 2014, 12:50:07 PM »

Maybe this was possible only on first matches.... Now there are calculations to be made after first results...
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Arbusers
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Re: WC 2014 pattern
« Reply #4 on: June 17, 2014, 01:11:29 PM »

Italy-Costa Rica,
Japan-Greece
Nigeria-Bosnia
All today's and tomorrow's games already droped.
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Arbusers
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Re: WC 2014 pattern
« Reply #5 on: June 17, 2014, 01:31:09 PM »

In most of the games, the favorite won. This produces a trend to the gambler. It will stop when we see a major blow. In the 2nd round we will not have strong favorites, so you better catch it now.
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drhoo
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Re: WC 2014 pattern
« Reply #6 on: June 17, 2014, 01:34:32 PM »

japan is such favorite to drop odds from 2.2 vs greece?

much appreciated.
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yorkjoss
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Re: WC 2014 pattern
« Reply #7 on: June 17, 2014, 01:59:04 PM »

Brazil opening game went from 1.32 to 1.37 at kick off, Germany yesterday 1.91 to 2.2 sure other teams have come in,
the liquidity is massive on these games and a run of favourites is bringing the odds down, Argentina went from 1.36 to 1.33
within 15 minutes of the French game ending on Sunday, Brazil just now 1.36 may come down after a Belguim win? or it
may not??? this is gambling, it's ok to point out these events after they have occurred, putting your hard earned arbing cash
down on it is another matter, I did it with chile v aus and made a nice profit but it's a risky strategy, it just so happens that
so far in this world cup it would have been a very profitable strategy.
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Arbusers
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Re: WC 2014 pattern
« Reply #8 on: June 17, 2014, 04:08:34 PM »

That is why i said not to wait till the last day.
Thanks.
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