Arbitrage on tennis – mixed rules –

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w62upr
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Arbitrage on tennis – mixed rules –
« on: July 31, 2014, 10:08:50 AM »

surebetmonitor.com/2011/09/04/lesson-17-arbitrage-on-tennis-mixed-rules-is-it-worth-playing

>> lets assume that chances for Kubot’s retirement are identical to chances that Federer will retire.


Is it true that chances a underdog retires are almost same with chances a favourite retires ?
« Last Edit: July 31, 2014, 10:11:07 AM by w62upr » Logged
qbet
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Re: Arbitrage on tennis – mixed rules –
« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2014, 11:33:41 AM »

surebetmonitor.com/2011/09/04/lesson-17-arbitrage-on-tennis-mixed-rules-is-it-worth-playing

>> lets assume that chances for Kubot’s retirement are identical to chances that Federer will retire.


Is it true that chances a underdog retires are almost same with chances a favourite retires ?
Has Federer ever retired ?
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w62upr
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Re: Arbitrage on tennis – mixed rules –
« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2014, 11:36:41 AM »

you mean chances are not same at all ?
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Re: Arbitrage on tennis – mixed rules –
« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2014, 05:50:28 PM »

I mean there could other factors at play here besides the favorite/underdog argument. In team sports it's easier to make assumptions but  tennis is so much about the individual. 
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