Surebet with AH+1.25

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tat
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tat

Surebet with AH+1.25
« on: August 06, 2014, 12:52:31 AM »

Hi,

I have a nice odd for a AH +1.25 on Pinnacle.
How can I "close" this surebet, besides laying this AH on Betfair?
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ppintaluba
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Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2014, 02:00:01 AM »

AH -1.25 on other book
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cristi13
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Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2014, 02:49:07 AM »

or
AH1 -1.25 / EHX(0:1) / EH2(+1)
AH1 -1.25 / EH2(+1) / EH2(+2)
AH1 -1.25 / EHX(0:1) / 2 DNB
and many others
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tat
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tat

Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #3 on: August 06, 2014, 10:33:01 AM »

AH -1.25 on other book

I am sorry, but that is not all that simple. I have done a simulation using excel, and couldn't find a way to balance the net profit regardless the outcome.

Do you have any Surebet calculator, where I can find the right amout to be on the 2nd leg?

I have for now AH+1.25 with 1.877 .
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tat
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tat

Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #4 on: August 06, 2014, 10:34:19 AM »

or
AH1 -1.25 / EHX(0:1) / EH2(+1)
AH1 -1.25 / EH2(+1) / EH2(+2)
AH1 -1.25 / EHX(0:1) / 2 DNB
and many others

I need markets with low spread, usually I tend to avoid european handicaps.
By the way, do you use any surebet tool to assist you doing these calculus?
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qbet
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Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #5 on: August 06, 2014, 10:58:28 AM »

Without knowing the event/stakes it's meaningless the ask this.
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ppintaluba
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ppintaluba

Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #6 on: August 06, 2014, 11:42:21 AM »

AH -1.25 on other book

I am sorry, but that is not all that simple. I have done a simulation using excel, and couldn't find a way to balance the net profit regardless the outcome.

Do you have any Surebet calculator, where I can find the right amout to be on the 2nd leg?

I have for now AH+1.25 with 1.877 .

It is that simple, but of course it depends on the odds. If you find AH -1.25 with at 2.25 it's an arb. Just an example.
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tat
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tat

Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #7 on: August 06, 2014, 02:34:16 PM »

AH -1.25 on other book

I am sorry, but that is not all that simple. I have done a simulation using excel, and couldn't find a way to balance the net profit regardless the outcome.

Do you have any Surebet calculator, where I can find the right amout to be on the 2nd leg?

I have for now AH+1.25 with 1.877 .

It is that simple, but of course it depends on the odds. If you find AH -1.25 with at 2.25 it's an arb. Just an example.

Yes, it's an arb, but it's unbalanced, you don't get the same profit, regardless of the outcome.

E.g.
Stake1=1000€
AH +1.25 @1.877

Stake2= ?
AH -1.25 @2.25

You can't find a value for stake2, where you get the same profit on all the outcomes. At least I can't.
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ppintaluba
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ppintaluba

Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #8 on: August 06, 2014, 03:36:24 PM »

834?
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Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #9 on: August 06, 2014, 06:38:47 PM »

try this calc: http://surebetz0r.appspot.com/calc/calc.v2.html
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tat
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tat

Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #10 on: August 06, 2014, 09:52:34 PM »

834?


Not really, betting 834€, I don't get the same profit, as you can see on this table.
Maybe it's just not possible to make a balanced surebet using AH+1.25

« Last Edit: August 06, 2014, 09:54:22 PM by tat » Logged
qbet
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Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #11 on: August 06, 2014, 10:20:05 PM »

Just bet the draw on the European handicap as well. It's a small bet so it doesn't really matter if you don't get the best price.
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ppintaluba
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ppintaluba

Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #12 on: August 07, 2014, 12:12:55 AM »

834?


Not really, betting 834€, I don't get the same profit, as you can see on this table.
Maybe it's just not possible to make a balanced surebet using AH+1.25




Your table is wrong. In my example odds were 2.25 so last row is also a 21 profit. Profit is half when half stake is returned. As qbet said, you can place a third bet to cover this case.
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ppintaluba
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ppintaluba

Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #13 on: August 07, 2014, 07:25:15 PM »

Yesterday I answered over the iphone and did not have the time to explain.
This could be what you wanted. Of course it depends on the odds you get for +1.25 and for the draw (-1)

« Last Edit: August 07, 2014, 07:26:55 PM by ppintaluba » Logged

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eltrien
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Re: Surebet with AH+1.25
« Reply #14 on: August 13, 2014, 05:23:46 AM »

Please do not think for advertising, but in BetLinker you can easy calculate any option. Calculator is free and contains more than 500 combinations. As in your case, there are 5 different ways with outcome AH1(1.25) and 14 with AH1(-1.25) plus one universal two-outcome combination. As mentioned in this topic, AH1 always can be complemented by AH2 with opposite value. For example, AH1(-0.5) - AH2(0.5); AH1(2.25) - AH2(-2.25).
« Last Edit: August 13, 2014, 05:46:28 AM by eltrien » Logged
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