« Reply #2 on: May 16, 2015, 02:27:23 PM »
next week is Songcontest back on stage - any plans for arbing it?
You can expect to see some line movements after reherseal performances (like Russia) and during Semi-Final night. For example, Conchita was priced 50/1 before her Semi-Final performance. She was down to 9/1 after show. In Grand Final Day, her/his odds were low as 3,50!
Sweden was 13/1 before Melodifestivalen. After Mans Zelmerlow won Melfest, Sweden dropped big. It reached even below 3,00. However, Sweden odds raised a little bit recently, now traded at 3,20-3,25.
Russia odds droppped dramatically after Polina Gagarina's reherseal.
Personally, I covered Sweden, Estonia, Ausralia (biggest), Italy and (very few) Slovenia. My biggest money is on Australia but I'll be happy if Sweden, Estonia or Italy wins as well.
Which songs you liked?
Australia's song (Tonight again) is real good. I like Mans Zelmerlow's Heroes also despite its likeleness to Lovers on The Sun. But stick figure was much more better in Melfest. Now, it looks like a little bit weird, it looks like a jewish child, lol. Maybe that's the reason Sweden odds raised a little bit.
You can see even small arbs between Pinnacle and Betfair. I catched few small arbs this way.