Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum

Poll
Question: What will you vote in the Greek referendum?  (Voting closed: July 06, 2015, 11:54:47 AM)
YES - 8 (40%)
NO - 12 (60%)
Total Members Voted: 20

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Author Topic: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum  (Read 5389 times)
Arbusers
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Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« on: July 04, 2015, 11:54:47 AM »

A member of our forum asked for a poll like this. Feel free justifying and commenting on your (and other's) vote.

For the record...I just took a look in a number of bookmakers and the average YES is 1.60, while NO is 2.80. NO odds slide rapidly while YES goes up the hill. Will be watching all day about this.
For those who enjoy cross market arbs, I suggest you don't combine the bet on the referendum with any bet on the EUR/USD rate. these last days the rate is stuck on 1.11 showing that a ''magic hand'' is bleeding a lot of money to keep it like this.
« Last Edit: July 04, 2015, 11:58:25 AM by Arbusers » Logged
straili
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straili

Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #1 on: July 04, 2015, 12:00:01 PM »

For those who enjoy cross market arbs, I suggest you don't combine the bet on the referendum with any bet on the EUR/USD rate.

I could never imagine a cross arb like this.
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Arbusers
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #2 on: July 04, 2015, 12:02:58 PM »

I could never imagine a cross arb like this.

I could never imagine a post like this. Old timers like yourself should have more vivid imagination.
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Arbusers
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #3 on: July 04, 2015, 09:05:40 PM »

Can you also post the question from the referendum.

“Should the plan of agreement, which was submitted by the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund in the Eurogroup of 25.06.2015 and is comprised of two parts that constitute their unified proposal be accepted?

The first document is entitled “Reforms For The Completion Of The Current Program And Beyond” and the second “Preliminary Debt Sustainability Analysis.”
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Arbusers
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #4 on: July 05, 2015, 07:05:45 AM »

This morning the odds on YES went down to an average of 1.45. However, these are not in accordance to the feedback that i get, nor the votes of arbusers members.
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stevie
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #5 on: July 05, 2015, 07:23:31 AM »

In my humble opinion Bitcoin prices show the way as in Cyprus's case. And BTCEUR rises in the critical moments since the referendum announcement including today.

In the political aspect i believe a 55/45 result in favor of any outcome does not give any momentum to either side.

Seeing a narrow win of NO and more troubles for a troubled economy.

« Last Edit: July 05, 2015, 07:28:10 AM by stevie » Logged
Arbusers
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #6 on: July 05, 2015, 07:31:40 AM »

In the political aspect i believe a 55/45 result in favor of any outcome does not give any momentum to either side.

Let me disagree here. A 50.1/49.9 result will have real consequences no matter who wins.
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stevie
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #7 on: July 05, 2015, 08:03:46 AM »

I don't see us disagreeing as momentum and consequences are different. In fact i strongly agree on consequences. If only i had bought more BTCs when i had the option...
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Arbusers
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #8 on: July 05, 2015, 08:11:50 AM »

I don't see us disagreeing as momentum and consequences are different. In fact i strongly agree on consequences. If only i had bought more BTCs when i had the option...

Bitcoin rallied with the Cypriot bail in. This is a trick to be noticed when the EU attacks the next victim.
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stevie
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #9 on: July 05, 2015, 08:34:54 AM »

http://bankingnews.gr/%CF%84%CF%81%CE%B1%CF%80%CE%B5%CE%B6%CE%B9%CE%BA%CE%AC-%CE%BD%CE%AD%CE%B1/item/203842-%CE%B4%CE%B9%CE%B1%CE%BA%CF%81%CE%B9%CF%84%CF%8C-%CF%80%CF%81%CE%BF%CE%B2%CE%AC%CE%B4%CE%B9%CF%83%CE%BC%CE%B1-2,5-%CE%B1%CF%80%CE%BF%CE%BA%CF%84%CE%AC%CE%B5%CE%B9-%CF%84%CE%BF-%CE%BF%CF%87%CE%B9-%E2%80%93-%CE%B4%CF%81%CE%B1%CE%BC%CE%B1%CF%84%CE%B9%CE%BA%CF%8C-%CF%84%CE%BF-%CF%83%CF%87%CE%AD%CE%B4%CE%B9%CE%BF-%CF%84%CE%B7%CF%82-%CE%B5%CE%B5,-%CE%B8%CE%AD%CE%BB%CE%BF%CF%85%CE%BD-%CE%BA%CF%85%CE%B2%CE%AD%CF%81%CE%BD%CE%B7%CF%83%CE%B7-%CE%B5%CE%B9%CE%B4%CE%B9%CE%BA%CE%BF%CF%8D-%CF%83%CE%BA%CE%BF%CF%80%CE%BF%CF%8D-%E2%80%93-%CE%BF%CF%81%CE%B9%CE%B1%CE%BA%CF%8C-%CF%84%CE%BF-target.html
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f164
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f164

Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #10 on: July 05, 2015, 09:33:33 AM »

Good luck Greece.
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Arbusers
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #11 on: July 05, 2015, 09:48:36 AM »

@stevie,
This website kept a very pro YES attitude all these days. Provided that the credibility of almost all Greek mass media bottomed these last years, I wouldn't pay attention at any gallup. Also, I m more than sure that the exit polls will not provide a real picture of the final outcome.
We might see rabbits coming out of the hats, not to mention black swans that are all over the place now.
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Arbusers
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #12 on: July 05, 2015, 09:55:10 AM »

Good luck Greece.

I 'd say ''Good luck Europe''. No question about it Greece will face an Armageddon no matter what the outcome of the referendum will be, but, a NO vote will be the beginning of the end for the Euro. It will show that Eurozone membership is ''a la carte''.
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raizzak
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raizzak

Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #13 on: July 05, 2015, 12:31:31 PM »

http://bankingnews.gr/%CF%84%CF%81%CE%B1%CF%80%CE%B5%CE%B6%CE%B9%CE%BA%CE%AC-%CE%BD%CE%AD%CE%B1/item/203842-%CE%B4%CE%B9%CE%B1%CE%BA%CF%81%CE%B9%CF%84%CF%8C-%CF%80%CF%81%CE%BF%CE%B2%CE%AC%CE%B4%CE%B9%CF%83%CE%BC%CE%B1-2,5-%CE%B1%CF%80%CE%BF%CE%BA%CF%84%CE%AC%CE%B5%CE%B9-%CF%84%CE%BF-%CE%BF%CF%87%CE%B9-%E2%80%93-%CE%B4%CF%81%CE%B1%CE%BC%CE%B1%CF%84%CE%B9%CE%BA%CF%8C-%CF%84%CE%BF-%CF%83%CF%87%CE%AD%CE%B4%CE%B9%CE%BF-%CF%84%CE%B7%CF%82-%CE%B5%CE%B5,-%CE%B8%CE%AD%CE%BB%CE%BF%CF%85%CE%BD-%CE%BA%CF%85%CE%B2%CE%AD%CF%81%CE%BD%CE%B7%CF%83%CE%B7-%CE%B5%CE%B9%CE%B4%CE%B9%CE%BA%CE%BF%CF%8D-%CF%83%CE%BA%CE%BF%CF%80%CE%BF%CF%8D-%E2%80%93-%CE%BF%CF%81%CE%B9%CE%B1%CE%BA%CF%8C-%CF%84%CE%BF-target.html

 
I'm sorry but phrases like, banks will run out of money without a deal, the limit  is dropoed from 60 to 50 ,40,or 20

And the last phrase that says   we see banners against germany and schauble but ppl forget that germany lended greece 83 billi9n...

Are the exact same propaganda that greek media promoted to rise fear and terrorism with only purpose to serve their bosses the famous greek oligarchy that fucks up this country
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Thordin
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Thordin

Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
« Reply #14 on: July 05, 2015, 12:57:15 PM »

Foreign cards, like neteller/skrill, still have normal big limits on ATMs right?
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