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Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Mon Apr 11, 2016 9:30 am

Championship: Nottingham Forest - Brighton

Nottingham Forest are in freefall and were absolutely dire in their last home start, a 3-0 loss to Brentford, both teams were nervous there early, but the home crowd was offering almost no support and both fans and players were pretty much waiting to concede ! Once the mighty, mighty Bees took the lead, already brittle Forest confidence crumbled and they were never going to launch a come back, or but up much resistance.They have taken just 4 points from a possible 30 since early February when they were in 10th spot and now sit in 20th, just nine points ahead of the drop zone, without a permanent head coach and giving thanks to the footballing gods that the bottom three in the Championship are so poor !

Brighton won 2-1 last round and stayed very focused after conceding early, they are now 12 clear of 7th placed Cardiff City, with this game in hand, that is pretty much guaranteed top 6 now , as the Bluebirds only have five left to play ( and one is at Griffin Park !), so it will be all about three points for Brighton with nothing to lose and everything to gain by gambling. They are five points adrift of leaders Burnley with a GIH and four behind Middlesbrough, whom they have still to play, so a huge chance of automatic promotion if they win this evening, but things will be very difficult if they come up short. Brighton entertain Fulham on Friday night and by winning both, they will really be cranking up the pressure, especially on Burnley, who do not play again until Saturday.

Chris Hughton's team were very professional at St Andrews and were worthy of a bigger margin of victory and the signing of Jiri Skalak in the transfer window looks very good business indeed and might be what gets them over the line, he delivers a peach of a dead ball and now that he is getting up to speed with the Championship (which is never easy) he is producing and has three assists in his last two outings and four in just 293 minutes of second tier football. If Forest play like they did against the Bees and in losing 2-1 to Reading subsequently ( it should have been 4-1) this can only end one way and the hosts need to seriously up their game to get anything out of tonight, but runs like this are incredibly hard to address and are self-perpetuating .

Brighton -0.5 ball 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Thu Apr 14, 2016 9:31 am

PGA Tour Golf: RBC Heritage

Hard to think of a course which could be such a different test after the Masters,and Harbour Town requires a completely different skill set to Augusta. It is a short course, where drivers will not be needed too often, you have to think and plot your way around here and driving accuracy, and not distance is the key stat, leaving yourself in position to hit the very small greens. Everyone is going to miss them sooner or later and so it is important to be able to scramble too. It is a real horses for courses event and the same players do tend to do well here year after year. Luke Donald has five top 3 finishes in seven visits and missing the Masters last week , will not have done him any harm ( 3 of the last 8 winners here, since the event has followed the major ,DNP Augusta and another three missed the cut) and watching a fellow Brit win the first major of the season, might have inspired him. We were firmly with Donald on the Money List in his glory year of 2011, the game has seemingly passed him by now and to be honest, it seems longer than five years since he was at his peak, but on this course, which plays to his strengths, he is certainly not out of things at 50-1.

Another former clubgowi semi-regular is Jerry Kelly, who will turn 50 later this year and then, I assume, join the senior tour, but he is still competitive at the "big show" and whilst he will not win, he was never exactly prolific in his heyday and two wins in closing in on 600 starts tells you all about that, but career prize money of almost $30m also tells you how very consistent he has been and the Heritage has been a major contributor to the Kelly pension fund. He has three top tens here and has finished 18-31-5-29-36 in the last five years , he is ranked 2nd on Tour in scrambling this year, which is an upgrade on already solid stats in that category and is #4 for accuracy off the tee and arrives here having made 8/9 cuts in 2009, with a T9 at the Sony Open and T33 and T21 in his last two starts, shooting a Sunday 65 at the Peurto Rico open in the last of those. He was 22nd in that last year before his 18th (joint) finish here and went on a "tear up" (it is all relative !) after that, going 18-22-17-10 in consecutive events, last of which was the hugely important Players Championship, which, like Harbour Town is a Pete Dye designed course. He has finished between 5th- 36th the last five years and his key stats are better coming into the event this year and at 5.50 to finish top 20 that sounds a very fair price.

A player I really like the look of is Kevin Kisner, he was runner up here last year, losing in a playoff to Jim Furyk, but he has since made the big breakthrough winning the RSM Classic five months ago on a course with many similarities to Harbour Town. Kisner is a local lad and was born in Aiken, South Carolina, about two hours drive from Harbour Town and he will feel very much at home here, especially after his deep run last season. He went 2-1-9-5 in consecutive start either side of his win and seems sure to win again sometime soon, his form tailed off a little after that, but he played very nicely for 37th at Augusta on a course that doesn't really suit him (but which he has always dreamed of playing) and will be far happier here, where distance off the tee is not an issue.

Kisner has played the course at Hilton Head since his junior days and it sets up perfectly for his game, he felt confident he would win last year and it took 74 holes for a dogged Jim Furyk to beat him and he went close again a few weeks later at the Players, which as we have already discussed is a Pete Dye course, he shot 67-67 on Friday-Saturday to get into contention and on Sunday made birdies on 16 and 17 and almost again on the last which would have given him the win. Instead he was in a three hole aggregate playoff with Rickie Fowler and Sergio Garcia, he got it down to just him and Fowler, but lost out at the 4th extra hole. That was his big moment and from then on he realised he could compete with the best . Golf Channel analyst Frank Nobilo said “If any player watched this today, I’ll tell you what, not one of them wants to be in a playoff with Kevin Kisner going forward. “He flat-out said, ‘I don’t care who you are, I’m going to take you on.’”Johnny Miller, on NBC said Kisner was a “star in the making.”

Kisner had already been a star, right through his youth and college days and was Georgia’s first four-time All-American and everything had come rather easy all the way up to the PGA Tour and then he hit a wall and it was only at the third time of trying to establish himself that things clicked and he felt he could be competitive, at the Players he went a step further and knew he could win. Now that the breakthrough has come, he can be a multi winner and Harbour Town already owes him one.

Donald might go well, but I think I need to see a solid start before I could actually back him. So I will suggest......

Jerry Kelly to finish Top 20 5.50 general quote

Kevin Kisner to finish top ten 3.50 general quote

Kevin Kisner to win outright 26.0 general quote
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Sat Apr 16, 2016 9:05 am

England League 1: Gillingham - Port Vale

This is a massive game for the Gills who really need to steady their playoff challenge with all three points this afternoon, after a midweek home loss to Walsall left them in sixth place. The hosts missed a penalty there with the match scoreless, with former Brentford player Luke Norris the "culprit". The hosts now have Barnsley breathing down their neck in the hunt for top six and you suspect that the team from Kent are going to need eight points from somewhere to hold on to their current three point advantage. In situations like this, it is always easier to get wins sooner rather than later and Gills can have few complaints about facing Port Vale today. Meeting a mid table team with nothing much to play for is the dream case scenario at this stage of the campiagn and that goes double when that team is in (relatively) poor form and conceding freely. The Valiants were winless in four (conceded 10) before last weeks derby win over Crewe Alexandra, a result which confirmed that Alex would be playing League 2 football next season, that was one for the supporters, at least Vale followers, but the team will be facing more steely opposition this afternoon.

Hosts' star player Bradley Dack has just recently returned from injury and he should be closing in on full fitness now and be ready for 90 minutes today and that will be a boost, but he needs some help from the forwards who all seem to have "issues" at the same time. Having said that, Cody MacDonald looked quite sharp in midweek and should perhaps have taken the penalty, Vale are easier to score against than recent opposition and have less to play for and odds look really good about a 14th home win (league high ?) of the campaign for Gillingham, especially as only Colchester United have lost more road games than Vale.

Gillingham -0.5 ball 2.10-2.15 general quote
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Mon Apr 18, 2016 9:24 am

Portugal: Benfica - Vitoria Setubal

Benfica are the best team in Portugal and lost little in defeat to Bayern Munich in the Champions League quarter finals last week, they will now be looking to tie up the domestic title and can open up a two point advanatge over Sporting with the win tonight. The result should not really be in doubt, Setubal have won just six times this season and have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 starts. Obviously we are not going to get fat on odds about the hosts, who are asked to give up a 2.5 goal handicap. However, there might me a little meat on the bones of the first half handicap line as I feel the Eagles will want to come out firing given the extended break (having to wait until Monday) since they lost to Bayern, they have averaged 3.21 goals per game on home soil and have led at the break in 65% of home starts in the last two seasons and have been two up at half time in the last four h2h meetings with Setubal (two home/two on the road).

Benfica -1.25 goals 2.31 asian line/Sportmarket in First Half betting
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Fri Apr 22, 2016 9:27 am

Clermont - Tours

Tours haven't improved after the winter break, but are top ten, have won as many games as they have lost in the interim and have a solid base on which to build upon for next season and you suspect plans for that are well under way. They will not want their season to completely fizzle out and i expect them to be more motivated today that they have appeared on the road recently, following a 2-1 home loss to Nimes last Friday, only their second on home soil since October. Their road games following those last two defeats went comfortably "over" and Tours do play a more open style than is sometimes appreciated .

Clermont are only three places above Tours, but are ten points better off and not yet out of the promotion picture, they might have six teams above them, but they are only two points shy of Metz in third and with none of the other four teams really imposing themselves in the race for the final promotion spot, everything is still up for grabs. Clermont are fun to watch and a little too gung-ho for their own good at times and they have conceded more goals than any team apart from Creteil in Ligue 2 and only the top two have scored more. They have conceded in each of their last eight home starts at an average of 1.5 goals per game through that sequence and they have won five of those (obviously with both teams scoring) and odds for that this evening are circa 4.0-4.20 and they look to offer good value and you could try something small if you can find those

Clermont : Jeannin, Caillard - Agounon, Avinel, Bockhorni, Djellabi, Laporte, Rivieyran - Boulaya, Dugimont, Genest, Hunou, Jobello, Pereira-Lage, Reale - Diedhiou, Dugimont, Laborde.

Tours : Kamara, Westberg – Gradit, Cissé, Cillard, Bouhours, Belkebla, Agouazi, Khaoui, Bergougnoux, Santamaria, Bedia, Do Couto, Louvion, Maouche, Miracoli.

I feel the best value has to be over 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Sat Apr 23, 2016 9:27 am

England Championship: Charlton- Brighton

Briefly, hosts are now booked for League 1 and that has looked on the cards for months. Brighton are pressing hard for an automatic promotion spot and could hardly be in better form, with four straight wins, with a 13-2 goal difference and it is very noteworthy that the goals have increased along with the pressure on them to keep winning, which indicates great mental strength. Burnley went top with their three points last night, but Brighton can move level with the win today and they will have the three points and only that in mind this afternoon. Bonus is that if they win today and again at home next weekend, it means they will travel to Middlesbrough on the final day of the season with their fate in their own hands. Supporters have already bought up their full ticket allocation for that game, the final home match is a sell out and they ticket allocation for today sold out weeks ago, but many others will be in the home ends I assume and they will have huge support at the Valley today, when most home fans will only be going to protest against the board/owner.

Brighton are on a good run and can add another London scalp this afternoon. Actually a five goal win would take them above the Clarets and that is probably not as far fetched as it sounds. Anyway, I have seen Charlton three times this season and they started all three games quite strongly and that is borne out by them having a -1 goal difference in the opening 30 mins, this quickly falls to -9 (3-12) in the 15 minutes before the break, which is when they almost always lose control of games at the Valley and there is a good chance we will see more of the same today. Brighton's first goal in their last four games (all wins) have come in the 29-27-29-45th minutes and that mirrors the period when the Addicks are most vulnerable.

Brighton -1 ball as soon as the "in running" line hits 2.05 (currently 1.80) as long as they are not already leading and we are playing 11v 11
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Wed Apr 27, 2016 9:33 am

MLS: New England Revolution - Portland Timbers

This is the one Wednesday game where one of the teams is not only clocking up the air miles, but are travelling coast to coast, West to East, for just a single midweek fixture. Portland have played six of their seven matches on the West Coast this season, either at home in Oregon, or in California, the other was a quick hop out East to face Orlando City where they lost 4-1. They had a 15 days break prior to that game, so I doubt that it makes too much difference that tonight's fixture comes after they have enjoyed a ten day hiatus, especially as they are back home again on Sunday and have another five straight games in the West. The large number of West Coast games to start their campaign as MLS Cup champions has been a blessing, after their season was extended into December, to put that into some context, Revolution, who did themselves make the post season, were done and dusted by late October, some 39 days earlier. Timbers would have had media commitments after that and their off season was some 4-7 weeks shorter than almost anyone else. Therefore, we can argue that the drain on playing staff is even greater than normal for a 3,000 trip East ,across several time zones, to play a single game.

Since opening their campiagn in Houston, New England have stuck to the East like a limpet, they will be looking to build on this kindness of schedule and after two road games, will be hoping to get into top of the table contention by making the most of back to back home games this week. Portland will be without suspended Diego Valeri, who has 60 goals/assists in 109 appearances, Timbers have scored just three road goals this season and the Argentine playmaker has assisted with two of those , he had a lengthy absence last season and it took six games for Portland to win without him and remember, we are talking about the "best" team in MLS in 2015, so, a big loss.

Portland were very slow starters last season (they have an identical record after seven games this year) and did not hit their stride until mid/late May and given their shortened off season, we can expect more of the same, maybe even a few weeks later before we see them at their very best. Revolution have to start turning draws (5/8) into wins and this looks a good opportunity.

New England Revolution -0.5 ball 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Sat Apr 30, 2016 9:14 am

England Championship: Bristol City - Huddersfield Town

Last home game of the campaign for City and I expect them to really be going for this and to put on a big offensive show for their supporters. Their last two home games have both produced five goals and if they can score six against top six teams in Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County they can certainly run in at least 2-3 against Town in what is basically a friendly. The hosts are now safe and new head coach Lee Johnson has won the fans over (there was a lot of opposition to his appointment) and taken them comfortably away from the drop zone and, at times in the last couple of months, they have looked unplayable, but rarely for the full 90 minutes ! Johnson is an offensive minded coach and I am 100% sure he will be looking to win the final home game in entertaining style, City home starts have produced 64 goals (2.91 pg) and only Fulham watchers have seen more this season.

Town are certainly a team who like to play on the front foot too and that is where all their talent lies, they have scored 58 goals this season and only two teams outside the top six (one is Brentford ....of course !) have scored more. They have scored a Championship high 21 goals in the final 15 minutes of games and conceded 19 ( only basement club Bolton have allowed more) through the same period.

Early or late, goals will surely come today, but if you are following "in running" you could definitely look at goal lines in the final quarter, "officially" I will stick with ..........

over 2.75 goals 2.17 asian line/Sportmarket
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Tue May 03, 2016 9:04 am

Scotland League 1 Playoff: Peterhead - Ayr United

It is not everyday you see a team come into the playoffs with as poor a recent record as Peterhead, they have lost their last six starts with a 17-1 goal difference (!) and failed to score in 6 of their last 8. One of those defeats was a 4-0 home loss to Ayr just ten days ago (there was a red card early for the home side) , where they were three down inside 55 minutes, to make matters worse for the hosts, top scorer Rory McAllister (31 goals in 40 appearances this season) is suspended. United were very quick on the break there and Peterhead guilty of some truly terrible defending and I understand they have injury concerns at the back again this evening, their goalkeeper was flapping at everything and couldn't catch a cold ! Ayr will make the long trip North in good heart and shape and won the playoffs in both 2009 and 2011 having finished second in the regular season (like this time round) and did all the damage on the road in those years, they are at full strength apart from Jamie Adams and have scored eight without reply in their last two road starts. They appear in much better shape both mentally ( a few odd comments from the home coaching staff) and physically, and to have all the momentum coming in, they did lose 3-0 at home over the weekend, but were experimenting and had only this game in mind.

Ayr United level ball (draw no bet) 2.10 general quote ........ or to win (-0.5 ball) 2.75-2.90 general quote
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Fri May 06, 2016 9:08 am

France Ligue 2: Clermont - Brest

We can normally expect more goals in all leagues at the end of the season, especially in games where there is nothing at stake and Ligue 2 is no different, this penultinate round has produced 50% of "overs" in the last three seasons , with 30% having at least four goals. Games last week produced 2.7 goals on average, which is almost half a goal up on the seasonal mean and we can expect more of the same today in general terms.

Brest would not usually be the first team on your list when looking for goals, but now is time to throw the shackles off and relax a little.

Brest have scored in their last five road games and four of those have produced at least three goals. Their recent home fixtures have been the usual low scoring encounters that Brest favour, but they have been hosting teams battling for survival or promotion, it is perhaps too easy for them to revert to type in familiar surroundings, on the road they can play with more freedom and enjoy themselves.

Clermont averaged 2.92 goals per game, and only the top two have scored more. They have been in touch with the top three all season and broke into it several times, but lost their way when January was turning into February and never quite got back on track. They have conceded in their last nine home starts, seven of which went "over", the two "failures" were when they themselves failed to score (twice in last three) , but that seems unlikely a third time for such a potent attack, in what is a friendly fixture. Clermont will have to do without top scorer Famara Diedhiou, but fellow strikers Dugimont and Laborde have 13 goals between them , 11 of which have come since the turn of the year, along with five from midfielder Adrien Hunou and they look to be preparing for life after Diedhiou.

Clermont: Jeannin, Caillard, Agounon, Avinel, Bockhorni, Laporte, Rivieyran, Salze,Ekobo, Genest, Hunou, Jobello, Pereira-Lage, Reale, Dugimont, Laborde.

Brest: Hartock, Léon, Sané, Falette, Belaud, Lorenzi, Le Normand, Sankoh, Grougi, Battocchio, Jacob, Perez, Sissoko, Alphonse, Henry, N'Kololo.

Clermont - Brest over 2.5 goals 2.12 asian line/Sportmarket

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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Sat May 07, 2016 9:37 am

Premier League: Bournemouth - West Bromwich Albion

Like in almost all of Bournemouth's home games I favour goals.

In the last home game Bournemouth lost 4-1 to Chelsea, followed by another defeat, 2-1 at Everton, but had enough chances there to have won. Adam Smith will miss the rest of this season , but the influential Harry Arter is back now and the hosts will be desperate to end their home campiagn on a high, but their issues here remain and 33 home goals conceded tells the full story, it is not a sorry tale, as the Cherries have survived with a degree of comfort and today will be one of celebration, but they could have posted a top ten finish with a little more luck, but more than that, they are going to have to have a rethink about how they approach home games, but that is for next season not this and we can expect more of the same from the hosts. Albion will be looking to experiment and Tony Pulis has added several youngsters to his squad and teenager Jonathan Leko will be hoping to retain his starting place, after impressing last week.

I suspect that Pulis will be quite looking forward to this, he is a former Bournemouth player (two spells) and manager ( he was Eddie Howe's first boss) and is popular here on the South Coast and I doubt he will come and look to shut up shop in a "meaningless" fixture. Despite his reputation, Pulis has a habit of throwing off the shackles come the end of the season once survival is assured and his final two starts in each of the last four campaigns have produced 6-4-3-5-4-10 (!)- 4-5 goals, so all "over", seven with four or more and a wild average of 5.125 per game.

over 2.75 goals 2.21 asian line/Sportmarket
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Tue May 10, 2016 8:53 am

WTA Italian Open: Serena Williams VS Anna-Lena Friedsam

I have to try a little on Anna-Lena Friedsam with the six game handicap start. The pair have met once before, at Roland Garros just under 12 months ago and it was close, with Serena winning in three and the match going to 30 games. ALF had a really good read on the Williams serve that day and in a first, let alone any meeting with the best player on the planet, that is unusual. Friedsam played solidly ( very few errors) in her first round win yesterday and should strip much fresher than Williams the younger who is making her first start of the season on clay and who has not played since losing in R3 in Miami , where she is an eight time winner of what she would consider her "home town" tournament. Last year she struggled in her first european clay court start ( 32 games) and then withdrew from this tournament in R2 and despite a fine record in Rome previously, you have to feel at 34yo it doesn't get any easier to come into tournaments "cold", or to make the transition to clay from faster surfaces.

Anna-Lena Friedsam +6 games 2.08 Pinnacle Sports/Sportmarket Pro
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Wed May 11, 2016 9:04 am

Ligue 1: Bordeaux - PSG

PSG have not taken their foot off the gas following Champions League elimination, infact, they have gone into overdrive and have won their last five since bowing out to Manchester City by a 17-1 margin, putting six past Caen and scoring four against Rennes and GFCO. The first two are above Bordeaux in Ligue 1 and the third are fighting for survival and if PSG are up for it, they can run in 3-4 + goals against anyone in France and with the quality in their squad, they are not going to be suffering from the effects of a long campaign as much as other teams. There are a few records/targets up for grabs, they would open up a 30 point lead with a win this evening (also reach 30 wins for the season) and Zlatan will surely want to say his farewells on a high, he has 35 goals and five to reach 40 in his last two league games is certainly not impossible. He will probably feel a little "angry" that he only scored one of the four at the weekend , with Edinson Cavani notching a hat-trick and PSG will probably be looking to put the record staright and gain a little revenge for the 2-2 draw in Paris in the reverse fixture and a 3-2 defeat here in Bordeaux last season.

PSG have a lengthy injury list, they have been coping without Pastore, Van der Wiel and Verratti for some time, today Cavani and Blaise Matuidi are also sidelined. Without Matuidi in the squad, PSG have won 4/4 on the road ( GFCO, Troyes, Bastia and Nantes) with a 19-1 (!) goal difference, but he did sit out that 3-2 loss in this fixture last season. Cavani has played 25 minutes or less in 10 starts, PSG have won all ten, but again he also missed that defeat here last season, although I would say that had more to do with the fact that game was played just a couple of days after that gruelling Champions League tie at Stamford Bridge, which went to extra time and where Zlatan was dismissed early. Anyway, in those ten wins, PSG conceded in five and given the five goals that Bordeaux have managed in the last two meetings, I think the most likely outcome tonight is that a PSG win comes with both teams scoring.

The logical conclusion is that Zlatan will score the goals, he will play only three (maximum) more games and will want to end on a high, he has scored eight in the games that Cavani has missed, but that is actually way below average for him, as he has over 1.2 per game in Ligue 1 all season, so was four short ! It is Angel di Maria who has thrived without his fellow South American, he has scored 7/10 (five on the road), just 3 (all at home) from his other 17 appearances. There is 2.50, even some 2.75 about him scoring and that looks good value.

However, I will stick with PSG to win and both teams to score @ 2.80-3.0 general quote
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Thu May 12, 2016 8:58 am

PGA Tour: Players Championship

This is often referred to as the "5th major" and a very prestigeous tournament. The course at Sawgrass was built specifically to host this event and it is a true test and set up so no two consecutive holes ever play in the same direction. we have had a few shock winners and the big three, Spieth, Day and McIlroy have only posted one top 5 finish between them in 13 starts. Driving is less important here than on most courses and it is hard to put a finger on the key stat, although you could make a strong case for it being greens in regulation.

Stenson was 3rd at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March and next time out , two weeks later was 2nd at the Shell Houston Open, he has since played the Masters and the Wells Fargo Championship, neither of which play to his strengths and which we can ignore. He missed the cut last week, but had done so 4 from 6 at Quail Hollow and he has never finished inside the top 50. It gave him more at "home" in Florida and to prepare for another local event ( see above), he lives about a two hour drive from Sawgrass. Stenson won this in 2009 , also has a 3rd and 6th , a top 10 and two top 20 finishes, all coming since the course was renovated a decade ago. He has called this a "special place" and a course at which he has always felt "comfortable".

When he won here in 2009 he was coming of a 3rd place in Houston, his last big finish at Sawgrass in 2013 (5th) saw him miss the cut at the Wells Fargo and finish 2nd in Houston, so all the omens are very good. Back in his home state , on a course which he likes and which holds special memories for him , that 40th year breakthrough win seems as likely to come here as anywhere and we cannot let him go unbacked.

Henrik Stenson to win outright 26.0-29.0 general quote

Henrik Stenson to finish top 10 3.50-4.0 general quote
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Re: Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

Fri May 13, 2016 3:15 pm

JLeague: Urawa Reds - Albirex Niigata

Urawa have dominated this series in recent years, with an 8-2-0 record in Saitama, along with seven clean sheets and a very similar 8-1-1 from ten starts in Niigata, also keeping Albirex scoreless in seven. So, in the last 20 h2h meetings, Urawa have an 80% win rate and have not conceded in 70%. The hosts currently look as strong as at any time during the course of those previous meetings and they will be looking to extend their advantage in the Stage 1 league table and seal their place in the post season as quickly as possible,, leaving them free to them concentrate fully on the AFC Champions League instead of Stage 2 later in the year.

Albirex have had a tough schedule and playing Kashima Antlers, Gamba Osaka and then Urawa Reds, all back to back inside ten days, with two on the road , is about as difficult as it gets in J-League and they will have spent a lot of time chasing the ball, come the final whistle tomorrow evening. 8 of their 14 goals this season have come from Rafael da Silva and Tasuya Tanaka, the first is injured and former Urawa striker Tanaka has only played more than 75 minutes twice in the last three seasons and has already been asked to play more minutes than he did in the whole of 2015 this season. They need to score, as they are incredibly leaky at the other end of the pitch, only relegated Shimizu S-Pulse conceded more last season and that trend has continued and they have already given up a J-League high 20 this time round, at the rate of 2.0 per game on the road. The core of their defence, which conceded eight in two visits ( league and cup) to Urawa last season is unchanged and they do not have appeared to have addressed those issues in the interim.

Urawa Reds -1.25 ball 1.98 asian line/sportmarket

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