Worst month

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tarzan
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tarzan

Worst month
« on: September 30, 2016, 10:47:49 PM »

For 3 years that I am value betting this (september) is the worts month!
Somebody expirienced the same thing?
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testez
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testez

Re: Worst month
« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2016, 11:53:48 PM »

wanted to start a thread like this myself like 1-2weeks ago..my sept breaks about even as we speak..but it was scary at times and ive got my worst weekend and worst week ever.
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kustef
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kustef

Re: Worst month
« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2016, 01:48:34 PM »

is ok..

October and Novomber are ready for huge profits and money can be spent on Christmas ;) keep doing and dont worry
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RoosterDonky
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RoosterDonky

Re: Worst month
« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2016, 05:03:49 PM »

Tarzan you're not alone.
Even after adding in an extra filter of tracking late money on the opposite side of what the public bets, it was a rough month.
Variance happens, that's what bank roll management is for to withstand such shitty periods.


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RoosterDonky
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RoosterDonky

Re: Worst month
« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2016, 08:25:17 PM »

Hope you've been a part of the pendulum swinging back to normal Tarzan.
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maletaja
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maletaja

Re: Worst month
« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2016, 01:06:08 PM »

I think most arbers have covaration. They choose same lines. Therefore its no suprise that all get same result
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dejected
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dejected

Re: Worst month
« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2016, 12:29:34 PM »

I have only 3 years data from my "value" betting. Probably different to most people on here's definition, but backing horses at value prices. Only a sample size of 34 months so probably not possible to make too many assumptions, but the worst month has been a different month each year. Same with the best month. Probably just a function of the random variance of value betting ;(

Good point by maletaja, if people are using the same source to identify their value bets they are going to get similar results.
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RoosterDonky
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RoosterDonky

Re: Worst month
« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2016, 12:24:40 AM »

Ya but depending on the value % that you go for sometimes a value bet is not an arb.

Thank you October!!


« Last Edit: November 02, 2016, 02:43:02 AM by RoosterDonky » Logged

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