January 22, 2017, 12:13:21 PM
News: If it is not in arbusers, it doesn't exist.

Worst month

Pages: [1]
« previous next »
Author Topic: Worst month  (Read 1082 times)
tarzan
Has some experience
**

Karma: -3
Posts: 128


View Profile
« on: September 30, 2016, 10:47:49 PM »

For 3 years that I am value betting this (september) is the worts month!
Somebody expirienced the same thing?
Logged

testez
Has some experience
**

Karma: 8
Posts: 109


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2016, 11:53:48 PM »

wanted to start a thread like this myself like 1-2weeks ago..my sept breaks about even as we speak..but it was scary at times and ive got my worst weekend and worst week ever.
Logged

kustef
Has some experience
**

Karma: 5
Posts: 194


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2016, 01:48:34 PM »

is ok..

October and Novomber are ready for huge profits and money can be spent on Christmas ;) keep doing and dont worry
Logged

MaxShalamar
Pro
*****

Karma: 27
Posts: 1424


Not a pro :D


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2016, 01:51:53 PM »

is ok..

October and Novomber are ready for huge profits and money can be spent on Christmas ;) keep doing and dont worry

As in all things look at the long term and you'll do fine - if you just look at a bad month you'll take risks and have an even worse month
Logged

RoosterDonky
Has some experience
**

Karma: -6
Posts: 184



View Profile
« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2016, 05:03:49 PM »

Tarzan you're not alone.
Even after adding in an extra filter of tracking late money on the opposite side of what the public bets, it was a rough month.
Variance happens, that's what bank roll management is for to withstand such shitty periods.


Logged

Fade Fairpunter's picks for sure profits!

RoosterDonky
Has some experience
**

Karma: -6
Posts: 184



View Profile
« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2016, 08:25:17 PM »

Hope you've been a part of the pendulum swinging back to normal Tarzan.
Logged

Fade Fairpunter's picks for sure profits!

maletaja
Has some experience
**

Karma: -26
Posts: 170


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2016, 01:06:08 PM »

I think most arbers have covaration. They choose same lines. Therefore its no suprise that all get same result
Logged

dejected
Newbie
*

Karma: -8
Posts: 54


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2016, 12:29:34 PM »

I have only 3 years data from my "value" betting. Probably different to most people on here's definition, but backing horses at value prices. Only a sample size of 34 months so probably not possible to make too many assumptions, but the worst month has been a different month each year. Same with the best month. Probably just a function of the random variance of value betting ;(

Good point by maletaja, if people are using the same source to identify their value bets they are going to get similar results.
Logged

RoosterDonky
Has some experience
**

Karma: -6
Posts: 184



View Profile
« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2016, 12:24:40 AM »

Ya but depending on the value % that you go for sometimes a value bet is not an arb.

Thank you October!!


« Last Edit: November 02, 2016, 02:43:02 AM by RoosterDonky » Logged

Fade Fairpunter's picks for sure profits!

Pages: [1]
Print
« previous next »