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Worst month

Is this the new hack of smart gambling?
tarzan
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Worst month

Fri Sep 30, 2016 9:47 pm

For 3 years that I am value betting this (september) is the worts month!
Somebody expirienced the same thing?
testez
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Re: Worst month

Fri Sep 30, 2016 10:53 pm

wanted to start a thread like this myself like 1-2weeks ago..my sept breaks about even as we speak..but it was scary at times and ive got my worst weekend and worst week ever.
kustef
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Re: Worst month

Sat Oct 01, 2016 12:48 pm

is ok..

October and Novomber are ready for huge profits and money can be spent on Christmas ;) keep doing and dont worry
RoosterDonky
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Re: Worst month

Sat Oct 01, 2016 4:03 pm

Tarzan you're not alone.
Even after adding in an extra filter of tracking late money on the opposite side of what the public bets, it was a rough month.
Variance happens, that's what bank roll management is for to withstand such shitty periods.

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RoosterDonky
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Re: Worst month

Tue Oct 11, 2016 7:25 pm

Hope you've been a part of the pendulum swinging back to normal Tarzan.
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maletaja
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Re: Worst month

Wed Oct 12, 2016 12:06 pm

I think most arbers have covaration. They choose same lines. Therefore its no suprise that all get same result
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Re: Worst month

Tue Nov 01, 2016 12:29 pm

I have only 3 years data from my "value" betting. Probably different to most people on here's definition, but backing horses at value prices. Only a sample size of 34 months so probably not possible to make too many assumptions, but the worst month has been a different month each year. Same with the best month. Probably just a function of the random variance of value betting ;(

Good point by maletaja, if people are using the same source to identify their value bets they are going to get similar results.
RoosterDonky
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Re: Worst month

Wed Nov 02, 2016 12:24 am

Ya but depending on the value % that you go for sometimes a value bet is not an arb.

Thank you October!!

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Last edited by RoosterDonky on Wed Nov 02, 2016 2:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
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