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Arbing just middles?

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Author Topic: Arbing just middles?  (Read 1072 times)
Johnny Utah
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« on: October 15, 2016, 04:56:06 PM »

If you arb just middles with low percentage arbs like 0.1%, are you much less likely to get your account limited or closed down than if you do arbs with higher percentages like 1% or more? Cheers!
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Thordin
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2016, 05:26:26 PM »

I doubt it would make a difference.
Pretty much any bet on a softbook that you bet as a low % middle can be converted to a high % arb by making a few more bets.
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Arbfan
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« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2016, 11:36:01 PM »

How , for example ?
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arber_PL
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« Reply #3 on: November 15, 2016, 08:36:39 AM »

How , for example ?

o200,5 @ 2 vs u201,5 @ 2 = middle 0%
o200,5 @ 2 vs u200,5 @ 2,16 = arb 3,8%

If you hit 1 of 26 middles you'll get the same profit as when placing arbs.
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dealer wins
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« Reply #4 on: November 15, 2016, 11:58:48 AM »

Wouldnt have thought it makes any difference, as their software will still see you are hitting a soft line compared to betfair.   It may even be a worse strategy as you are betting on more obscure markets.   Just betting big league match odds seems to make accounts last the longest in my experience, but taking any out of line odds will show up unfortunately.
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Arbfan
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« Reply #5 on: November 18, 2016, 10:30:14 PM »

Are you taking middles guys like  -0.43 % ?
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Yngwie/Sawyer
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« Reply #6 on: November 19, 2016, 07:04:37 AM »

Are you taking middles guys like  -0.43 % ?

I even take -%1 and -%2 sometimes..
« Last Edit: November 19, 2016, 07:07:06 AM by Yngwie/Sawyer » Logged

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Arbfan
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« Reply #7 on: December 18, 2016, 06:05:33 PM »

Are you taking middles guys like  -0.43 % ?

I even take -%1 and -%2 sometimes..

Do you have any statistick with winning middles   ?
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antemartic
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« Reply #8 on: December 18, 2016, 06:45:35 PM »

How , for example ?

o200,5 @ 2 vs u201,5 @ 2 = middle 0%
o200,5 @ 2 vs u200,5 @ 2,16 = arb 3,8%

If you hit 1 of 26 middles you'll get the same profit as when placing arbs.
in this example you will not hit 1/26 so go for arb. Just calculate probability and than you will see what is better. also for negative middles. you see what is probability to happen also see what you risk and what yo can won.
« Last Edit: December 18, 2016, 06:48:56 PM by antemartic » Logged

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