Crazy tipster

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crazy tipster
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Crazy tipster
« on: March 11, 2017, 01:17:07 PM »

Iraclis VS Panathinaikos
3/11/2017
Selection: Panathinaikos
Odds: 1.571
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 5/10

Analysis: Iraclis had some success during last time, now its time to give back some of the points accumulated with no reason. Panathinaikos on the other hand is under pressure and a fail in this easy game will bring developments for the future of many people and the end of their contracts. This is the game to fight for. Panathinaikos can't afford to lose, while Iraclis doesn't really care.
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #1 on: March 12, 2017, 08:10:38 AM »

Olympiacos VS Atromitos
3/12/2017
Selection: Olympiacos
Odds: 1.22
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10

Analysis: I find a lot of value in the 1.22 because statistical models of bookmakers are including last year's upset of Olympiacos by Atromitos. That upset was an outcome of non repeatable factors. Atromitos is weaker this year and has no vision for Europe. Olympiacos is also weaker this year with many of its players now playing in England and China but this is a balance equalised by the new coach. All players are feeling the need to perform better with a new coach to secure their positions and contracts. Midweek Besiktas game was a strong test and Vouzas passed it.
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #2 on: March 16, 2017, 11:01:50 AM »

Besiktas VS Olympiacos
3/15/2017
Selection: Olympiacos to score
Odds: 1.689
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake 8/10

Analysis: What a tricky game! Olympiacos will have to score no matter what the final outcome will be, simply because Besiktas will score in any case. I m selecting this bet instead of the over 1.5 or Besiktas to score because I see the best value in it. Besiktas defence is not at its best condition and all GrecoTurkish games have a long tradition of Greek teams scoring away and that includes AEK, PAO, PAOK together with Olympiacos. The sample that I see is more than 10 games during these last years and I see no reason why this tradition should stop now.
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #3 on: March 31, 2017, 08:35:42 PM »

Olympiacos VS Platanias
4/1/2017
Selection: Olympiacos
Odds: 1.263
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake 10/10

Both teams belong to the same owner, but Olympiacos needs an energy boost after several bad results. Fans are disappointed and a failure in this game will make them demand new coach and new players, meaning more expenses for the owner. A clear win for Olympiacos. I see the odds going up and up for Olympiacos and I take this as more value. Opening lines in Pinnacle were 1.22, now at 1.263. Pretty unjustified.
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #4 on: April 01, 2017, 09:03:37 PM »

My stats so far.
W-L-V: 3-1-0
Total stake: 33 Units
Returns: 38.342 Units
Profit: +5.342 Units.
Yield: 16.19%
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #5 on: April 09, 2017, 10:28:02 AM »

PAOK VS Panathinaikos
4/9/2017
Selection: PAOK
Odds: 1.719
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 4/10

Analysis: Panathinaikos is going to Thessaloniki with half of the team. Key players are not joining the team because of red cards, punishments and injuries. During the week there were rumours saying that PAOK also will play with many b players. However, this doesn't seem to be true. The opening odds for PAOK was 1.80 exactly for this reason. During these last 2 days we have seen a significant drop of PAOK odds, now in 1.719 in Pinnacle. For me, it is a clear win for PAOK.
Good luck.
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crazy tipster
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #6 on: April 10, 2017, 10:31:23 AM »

My stats so far.
W-L-V: 4-1-0
Total stake: 37 Units
Returns: 41.218 Units
Profit: +8.218 Units.
Yield: 11.40%
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Arbusers
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #7 on: April 10, 2017, 06:20:25 PM »

Congrats for the good results. I see that you are focusing on the Greek championship. It is my belief that it is very corrupted. We will see some strange results from now on, so be extra careful if you cat anticipate them.
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campeones
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #8 on: May 29, 2017, 08:54:34 AM »

Hey Crazy Tipster, it's been a while since your last published pick. Should we expect something more from you now, or should we wait for the next season?
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crazy tipster
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #9 on: May 29, 2017, 08:31:54 PM »

Thank you for following.
I believe I will publish my next tip mid summer when CL and UEFA starts again.
You see that I analyse only Greek teams and I would like to avoid expanding to other countries.
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crazy tipster
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2017, 11:33:45 PM »

Warming up for an excellent season.
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crazy tipster
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #11 on: October 31, 2017, 12:11:09 PM »

Olympiacos VS Barcelona
10/31/2017
Selection: Over 3.5 goals
Odds: 2.31
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 4/10

Analysis: Barcelona is in the next round mathematically and has no stress for this game. In the last game Valverde used just 1 substitute out of 11 players so now it is his time to give some rest to some players. I expect Barcelona to play with at least 3 substitutes. Olympiacos is out of the next round mathematically and also has no stress for this game, while fans will grab the opportunity to watch a class A game. Olympiacos presented a very weak team in last game against rival Panathinaikos. They are not allowed to present the same weakness again twice within the week. All these create an environment where both teams will play freely and will allow them to score more than normal. Thus, I select over 3.5 goals for the game with Pinnacle, but you could find a better price elsewhere. I believe this game worths to be watched on TV by genuine friends of football.
Good luck.
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2017, 09:18:16 AM »

I like your tips, feels like you know your stuff. Thanks for sharing.
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crazy tipster
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2017, 03:59:22 PM »

Thank you RodrigoK. Doing my best.
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Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2017, 08:08:51 AM »

Kerkira VS Larisa
11/5/2017
Selection: Kerkira
Odds: 2.38
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 4/10

Analysis: Kerkira made a number of great appearances lately that didn't materialise to actual points. Last away game against superior Giannina shown that Kerkira deserves something better. They lost 2-1 but Giannina feels very lucky to get away with this as it was a close call (0-1 until 68'). On the other hand, Larisa made a very bad start and was considered to be the #1 choice for relegation. After that bad start they managed to gain some points but this is the maximum they could do. My bet goes for Kerkira in a game that I believe will have a low score.
Good luck.
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