Crazy tipster

Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Crazy tipster  (Read 628 times)
crazy tipster
Newbie
*

Karma: 1
Posts: 9


View Profile

crazy tipster

Crazy tipster
« on: March 11, 2017, 01:17:07 PM »

Iraclis VS Panathinaikos
3/11/2017
Selection: Panathinaikos
Odds: 1.571
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 5/10

Analysis: Iraclis had some success during last time, now its time to give back some of the points accumulated with no reason. Panathinaikos on the other hand is under pressure and a fail in this easy game will bring developments for the future of many people and the end of their contracts. This is the game to fight for. Panathinaikos can't afford to lose, while Iraclis doesn't really care.
Logged
crazy tipster
Newbie
*

Karma: 1
Posts: 9


View Profile

crazy tipster

Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #1 on: March 12, 2017, 08:10:38 AM »

Olympiacos VS Atromitos
3/12/2017
Selection: Olympiacos
Odds: 1.22
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10

Analysis: I find a lot of value in the 1.22 because statistical models of bookmakers are including last year's upset of Olympiacos by Atromitos. That upset was an outcome of non repeatable factors. Atromitos is weaker this year and has no vision for Europe. Olympiacos is also weaker this year with many of its players now playing in England and China but this is a balance equalised by the new coach. All players are feeling the need to perform better with a new coach to secure their positions and contracts. Midweek Besiktas game was a strong test and Vouzas passed it.
Logged
crazy tipster
Newbie
*

Karma: 1
Posts: 9


View Profile

crazy tipster

Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #2 on: March 16, 2017, 11:01:50 AM »

Besiktas VS Olympiacos
3/15/2017
Selection: Olympiacos to score
Odds: 1.689
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake 8/10

Analysis: What a tricky game! Olympiacos will have to score no matter what the final outcome will be, simply because Besiktas will score in any case. I m selecting this bet instead of the over 1.5 or Besiktas to score because I see the best value in it. Besiktas defence is not at its best condition and all GrecoTurkish games have a long tradition of Greek teams scoring away and that includes AEK, PAO, PAOK together with Olympiacos. The sample that I see is more than 10 games during these last years and I see no reason why this tradition should stop now.
Logged
crazy tipster
Newbie
*

Karma: 1
Posts: 9


View Profile

crazy tipster

Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #3 on: March 31, 2017, 08:35:42 PM »

Olympiacos VS Platanias
4/1/2017
Selection: Olympiacos
Odds: 1.263
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake 10/10

Both teams belong to the same owner, but Olympiacos needs an energy boost after several bad results. Fans are disappointed and a failure in this game will make them demand new coach and new players, meaning more expenses for the owner. A clear win for Olympiacos. I see the odds going up and up for Olympiacos and I take this as more value. Opening lines in Pinnacle were 1.22, now at 1.263. Pretty unjustified.
Logged
crazy tipster
Newbie
*

Karma: 1
Posts: 9


View Profile

crazy tipster

Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #4 on: April 01, 2017, 09:03:37 PM »

My stats so far.
W-L-V: 3-1-0
Total stake: 33 Units
Returns: 38.342 Units
Profit: +5.342 Units.
Yield: 16.19%
Logged
crazy tipster
Newbie
*

Karma: 1
Posts: 9


View Profile

crazy tipster

Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #5 on: April 09, 2017, 10:28:02 AM »

PAOK VS Panathinaikos
4/9/2017
Selection: PAOK
Odds: 1.719
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 4/10

Analysis: Panathinaikos is going to Thessaloniki with half of the team. Key players are not joining the team because of red cards, punishments and injuries. During the week there were rumours saying that PAOK also will play with many b players. However, this doesn't seem to be true. The opening odds for PAOK was 1.80 exactly for this reason. During these last 2 days we have seen a significant drop of PAOK odds, now in 1.719 in Pinnacle. For me, it is a clear win for PAOK.
Good luck.
Logged
crazy tipster
Newbie
*

Karma: 1
Posts: 9


View Profile

crazy tipster

Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #6 on: April 10, 2017, 10:31:23 AM »

My stats so far.
W-L-V: 4-1-0
Total stake: 37 Units
Returns: 41.218 Units
Profit: +8.218 Units.
Yield: 11.40%
Logged
Arbusers
Administrator
Pro
*****

Karma: 314
Posts: 2699



View Profile WWW

Arbusers

Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #7 on: April 10, 2017, 06:20:25 PM »

Congrats for the good results. I see that you are focusing on the Greek championship. It is my belief that it is very corrupted. We will see some strange results from now on, so be extra careful if you cat anticipate them.
Logged
campeones
Newbie
*

Karma: 5
Posts: 73


View Profile

campeones

Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #8 on: May 29, 2017, 08:54:34 AM »

Hey Crazy Tipster, it's been a while since your last published pick. Should we expect something more from you now, or should we wait for the next season?
Logged
crazy tipster
Newbie
*

Karma: 1
Posts: 9


View Profile

crazy tipster

Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #9 on: May 29, 2017, 08:31:54 PM »

Thank you for following.
I believe I will publish my next tip mid summer when CL and UEFA starts again.
You see that I analyse only Greek teams and I would like to avoid expanding to other countries.
Logged
crazy tipster
Newbie
*

Karma: 1
Posts: 9


View Profile

crazy tipster

Re: Crazy tipster
« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2017, 11:33:45 PM »

Warming up for an excellent season.
Logged
Pages: [1]
Print