Hi all.
Is there any reliable agent like Sportmarket, which has the following feature for live football matches:
For example, it is now 60th minute, score 1-1 and team A is totally dominating.
Odd for team A's individual total over 1.5 goals now is 1.6 , which is too low.
I need to choose this bet and set up the condition that when the odd reaches 1.9 - I will get alert.
Of course you can sit and watch until the odd reaches 1.9, but when there are 300 matches in live, it is impossible to efficiently scan and analyse all matches + keep checking those 2-3 odds which you are waiting to reach 1.9/2.0.
Alert when a specific odd reaches a certain value
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arb12
- Totally Pro
- Karma: 34
Post
Let me suggest a slightly different point of view here, I won't comment on an external alert service here, but the ability of any passionate Soccer Fan or a Statistician to make Her/His own calculation of a possible value for Team X's player (supported by observations and individual processed Stats).
There are cases when offered odds for some Team's X or Y player contain value in the long run (i.e. you need repeatability in the markets when following the Stats of player X in order to avoid variance in the long run).
Let me mention cases from my practice - for some reason in past seasons' Lazio matches in some outlets some of the proposed odds for Ciro Ferrara to score were too close or even better than those you've targeted region of 1.9, but offered pre-match. For example, Lazio vs Bayern and many more. The forecasted conditions before the match are similar to your described - expected draw for a long time (0:0 or 1:1) and goals are expected. On the one hand, you will hypothetically achieve some valuable percentages in the long term through pre-match positions ( if the likelihood that the player to score that day is greater than implied by the odds, and supported by your pre-match Analysis and Stats combined), on the other hand, you can add some positions in live mode if you see triggers and there is no need to wait for the Y level of odds to appear. Summarized over time, this way you are ahead compared to live mode only.
In another Bayern match, Harry Kane to score a goal, was a pre-match market offer with similar odds. I rejected it due to my pre-analysis' backed expectations for a later period specifically for that game and when the odds touched (X prime >> X pre-match), the offer was accepted at a greater value level.
If the curves over a very long-run period satisfy you (profit, variance, etc.) and you rebalance investments on a limited number of games and players that you follow through personal impressions plus your own Stats processing (not provided by another supplier) and watch the video signal during those pre-modeled games, you might be generally ahead compared to synthetic investments in those 300+ you've mentioned.
Just my 2¢.
By the way, I'm curious whether anyone on this Forum has taken advantage of that late goal by Vinícius Júnior vs Colombia in the 99th minute hours ago, if yes, please share when and at what odds level She/He placed positions Vini Jr to score.
Re: Alert when a specific odd reaches a certain value
G357 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 10, 2025 1:34 pm...
For example, it is now 60th minute, score 1-1 and team A is totally dominating.
Odd for team A's individual total over 1.5 goals now is 1.6 , which is too low.
I need to choose this bet and set up the condition that when the odd reaches 1.9 - I will get alert.
Of course you can sit and watch until the odd reaches 1.9, but when there are 300 matches in live, it is impossible to efficiently scan and analyse all matches + keep checking those 2-3 odds which you are waiting to reach 1.9/2.0.
Let me suggest a slightly different point of view here, I won't comment on an external alert service here, but the ability of any passionate Soccer Fan or a Statistician to make Her/His own calculation of a possible value for Team X's player (supported by observations and individual processed Stats).
There are cases when offered odds for some Team's X or Y player contain value in the long run (i.e. you need repeatability in the markets when following the Stats of player X in order to avoid variance in the long run).
Let me mention cases from my practice - for some reason in past seasons' Lazio matches in some outlets some of the proposed odds for Ciro Ferrara to score were too close or even better than those you've targeted region of 1.9, but offered pre-match. For example, Lazio vs Bayern and many more. The forecasted conditions before the match are similar to your described - expected draw for a long time (0:0 or 1:1) and goals are expected. On the one hand, you will hypothetically achieve some valuable percentages in the long term through pre-match positions ( if the likelihood that the player to score that day is greater than implied by the odds, and supported by your pre-match Analysis and Stats combined), on the other hand, you can add some positions in live mode if you see triggers and there is no need to wait for the Y level of odds to appear. Summarized over time, this way you are ahead compared to live mode only.
In another Bayern match, Harry Kane to score a goal, was a pre-match market offer with similar odds. I rejected it due to my pre-analysis' backed expectations for a later period specifically for that game and when the odds touched (X prime >> X pre-match), the offer was accepted at a greater value level.
If the curves over a very long-run period satisfy you (profit, variance, etc.) and you rebalance investments on a limited number of games and players that you follow through personal impressions plus your own Stats processing (not provided by another supplier) and watch the video signal during those pre-modeled games, you might be generally ahead compared to synthetic investments in those 300+ you've mentioned.
Just my 2¢.
By the way, I'm curious whether anyone on this Forum has taken advantage of that late goal by Vinícius Júnior vs Colombia in the 99th minute hours ago, if yes, please share when and at what odds level She/He placed positions Vini Jr to score.
-
arb12
- Totally Pro
- Karma: 34
Post
Addendum: I've made an error, I mean Ciro Immobile and NOT Ciro Ferrara in the above opinion, I wrote my opinion too quickly.
Now I saw the error and now the Forum gives me no possibility of editing the Surname of the player in the above text on my side (why is this???).
I apologize to everyone for the hurried writing and confusing both players named Ciro from my side, but the idea and the realized experience behind the positions placed are correctly written, apparently observing and watching the endless Italian Soccer Stars over the years is like observing the infinite Sky Stars through Astrophysics - they're so many and so much quality...
Re: Alert when a specific odd reaches a certain value
Addendum: I've made an error, I mean Ciro Immobile and NOT Ciro Ferrara in the above opinion, I wrote my opinion too quickly.
Now I saw the error and now the Forum gives me no possibility of editing the Surname of the player in the above text on my side (why is this???).
I apologize to everyone for the hurried writing and confusing both players named Ciro from my side, but the idea and the realized experience behind the positions placed are correctly written, apparently observing and watching the endless Italian Soccer Stars over the years is like observing the infinite Sky Stars through Astrophysics - they're so many and so much quality...
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