Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
- nahcarts
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
you have to click on chart on "ALL" button to see whole chart of algo not only one month, algo is currently at -96% vs btc
- Sonny
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
everything go 0 against bitcoin
but there's a period where alts outperform bitcoin
this is where retail comes in
they want to get rick quick
but they look to btc price and say hey it's too expensive!
i better buy some alts with low caps
this is the where trap comes in
crypto whales set this trap
if alts performing better then bitcoin,
it means we're coming to end of bull season
this bull run ends in q1, 2025.mark my words
jan feb or march.
but there's a period where alts outperform bitcoin
this is where retail comes in
they want to get rick quick
but they look to btc price and say hey it's too expensive!
i better buy some alts with low caps
this is the where trap comes in
crypto whales set this trap
if alts performing better then bitcoin,
it means we're coming to end of bull season
this bull run ends in q1, 2025.mark my words
jan feb or march.
- probettor91
- Gaining experience
- Karma: 7
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
These two final lines of your chants are again bringing the importance of having an exit strategy.Sonny wrote: ↑Wed Dec 04, 2024 7:33 ameverything go 0 against bitcoin
but there's a period where alts outperform bitcoin
this is where retail comes in
they want to get rick quick
but they look to btc price and say hey it's too expensive!
i better buy some alts with low caps
this is the where trap comes in
crypto whales set this trap
if alts performing better then bitcoin,
it means we're coming to end of bull season
this bull run ends in q1, 2025.mark my words
jan feb or march.
- nahcarts
- Gaining experience
- Karma: 7
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
yes today to 88000 for couple minutes or hoursthere will be a MASSIVE DUMP 3-8 december, maybe 4 december those dates. it will be THE BOTTOM.
- Sonny
- Has experience
- Karma: 18
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but my prediction was 1 day off.
flash crash to 90,2 happened on 5 december.
i'M very sorry about it but will do my best to be more precise next time.
actually, bitcoin dropped to 70's in 3 december but it was korea hehe.
i make these predictions based on whale pattern observations so plaese take'em with grain of salt!
i believe we may have one more YOLO thru end of year 15-25 deceember then i'm bearish.
every pump in q1-2025 is sale opportunity.
if we see BOTTOM in march 2025, then this cycle can extend to late 2025 but a top in q1-2025 is the most probable outcome imo.
reasonable levels for top: 110-120 or 140-150k.
can't see bitcoin reaching 200-250k at current conditions.
if money printer starts why not? but global liquidity decreasing
long term holders selling.
will update in upcoming days.
better be elastic and dont have a fixed opinion, things may change.
Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
thank you mate
but my prediction was 1 day off.
flash crash to 90,2 happened on 5 december.
i'M very sorry about it but will do my best to be more precise next time.
actually, bitcoin dropped to 70's in 3 december but it was korea hehe.
i make these predictions based on whale pattern observations so plaese take'em with grain of salt!
i believe we may have one more YOLO thru end of year 15-25 deceember then i'm bearish.
every pump in q1-2025 is sale opportunity.
if we see BOTTOM in march 2025, then this cycle can extend to late 2025 but a top in q1-2025 is the most probable outcome imo.
reasonable levels for top: 110-120 or 140-150k.
can't see bitcoin reaching 200-250k at current conditions.
if money printer starts why not? but global liquidity decreasing
long term holders selling.
will update in upcoming days.
better be elastic and dont have a fixed opinion, things may change.
- Sonny
- Has experience
- Karma: 18
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
friendly reminder for 2025: global liquidity is still decreasing
if bitcoin tops in q1-2025, take your profits.
do not fall for media hype.
expecting powell to turn hawkish after trump takes the seat.
late december-early january likely to be last buying/adding opportunity (potential for local bottom) then bitcoin should skyrocket.
i don't think you will feel sorry to sell your bitcoins at 120-130-150-160 levels.
if bitcoin tops in q1-2025, take your profits.
do not fall for media hype.
expecting powell to turn hawkish after trump takes the seat.
late december-early january likely to be last buying/adding opportunity (potential for local bottom) then bitcoin should skyrocket.
i don't think you will feel sorry to sell your bitcoins at 120-130-150-160 levels.
- Sonny
- Has experience
- Karma: 18
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i'm adding more (probably my last buys) bitcoin starting from today (29 dec) to 5 january.
after 2-3 weeks, many people will feel regretful for not buying bitcoin under 100k.
after bull run ends,
many people will feel regretful for not selling their bitcoins in 2025..
Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
here comes late december-early january window!Sonny wrote: ↑Tue Dec 24, 2024 3:35 pmfriendly reminder for 2025: global liquidity is still decreasing
if bitcoin tops in q1-2025, take your profits.
do not fall for media hype.
expecting powell to turn hawkish after trump takes the seat.
late december-early january likely to be last buying/adding opportunity (potential for local bottom) then bitcoin should skyrocket.
i don't think you will feel sorry to sell your bitcoins at 120-130-150-160 levels.
i'm adding more (probably my last buys) bitcoin starting from today (29 dec) to 5 january.
after 2-3 weeks, many people will feel regretful for not buying bitcoin under 100k.
after bull run ends,
many people will feel regretful for not selling their bitcoins in 2025..
- cortomaltese
- Pro
- Karma: 34
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
What % chances are you giving we are already saw ATH this cycle ?Sonny wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2024 6:53 pmhere comes late december-early january window!Sonny wrote: ↑Tue Dec 24, 2024 3:35 pmfriendly reminder for 2025: global liquidity is still decreasing
if bitcoin tops in q1-2025, take your profits.
do not fall for media hype.
expecting powell to turn hawkish after trump takes the seat.
late december-early january likely to be last buying/adding opportunity (potential for local bottom) then bitcoin should skyrocket.
i don't think you will feel sorry to sell your bitcoins at 120-130-150-160 levels.
i'm adding more (probably my last buys) bitcoin starting from today (29 dec) to 5 january.
after 2-3 weeks, many people will feel regretful for not buying bitcoin under 100k.
after bull run ends,
many people will feel regretful for not selling their bitcoins in 2025..
- Sonny
- Has experience
- Karma: 18
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
%10-15.cortomaltese wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2024 3:28 pmWhat % chances are you giving we are already saw ATH this cycle ?Sonny wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2024 6:53 pmhere comes late december-early january window!Sonny wrote: ↑Tue Dec 24, 2024 3:35 pmfriendly reminder for 2025: global liquidity is still decreasing
if bitcoin tops in q1-2025, take your profits.
do not fall for media hype.
expecting powell to turn hawkish after trump takes the seat.
late december-early january likely to be last buying/adding opportunity (potential for local bottom) then bitcoin should skyrocket.
i don't think you will feel sorry to sell your bitcoins at 120-130-150-160 levels.
i'm adding more (probably my last buys) bitcoin starting from today (29 dec) to 5 january.
after 2-3 weeks, many people will feel regretful for not buying bitcoin under 100k.
after bull run ends,
many people will feel regretful for not selling their bitcoins in 2025..
- Sonny
- Has experience
- Karma: 18
Post
Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
so far so good!
just 3 days before trump's inauguration, bitcoin reaches 104-105k once again.
28-29 jan likely to become a local top imo. Then powell may cool off markets little bit.
Strategic reserve is a big thing. It's not so easy, there's too much burocracy but even talks about it can show us where bitcoin is going in future.
Always study bitcoin, learn about bitcoin.
Bitcoin is the only decentralized network where you can transfer and store wealth.
Lets enjoy bull but better not get euphoriac. I dont put any price targets, everything is possible. when indicators start to get heat (not when they get heated!) it's time to take some money off the table and prepare for upcoming recession in 2026 where we'll buy bitcoin cheap.
just 3 days before trump's inauguration, bitcoin reaches 104-105k once again.
28-29 jan likely to become a local top imo. Then powell may cool off markets little bit.
Strategic reserve is a big thing. It's not so easy, there's too much burocracy but even talks about it can show us where bitcoin is going in future.
Always study bitcoin, learn about bitcoin.
Bitcoin is the only decentralized network where you can transfer and store wealth.
Lets enjoy bull but better not get euphoriac. I dont put any price targets, everything is possible. when indicators start to get heat (not when they get heated!) it's time to take some money off the table and prepare for upcoming recession in 2026 where we'll buy bitcoin cheap.
- probettor91
- Gaining experience
- Karma: 7
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
Following the Bitcoin topic, we should shed some light on Ethereum and how disappointing it has been compared to other L1s
- cortomaltese
- Pro
- Karma: 34
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Seems to me like an overstreched spring
We all know what happens when pressure of spring is lifted
Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
True! Is undeperforming mainly against BTC wayy too longprobettor91 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 20, 2025 7:53 amFollowing the Bitcoin topic, we should shed some light on Ethereum and how disappointing it has been compared to other L1s
Seems to me like an overstreched spring
We all know what happens when pressure of spring is lifted
- arbusers
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You are tempting me to remind of the year without a summer, 1816. The last great subsistence crisis in the Western world. Europe suffered from widespread food shortages, resulting in its worst famine of the century and followed by typhus. And this is Europe when things could be documented. Imagine what happened to other parts of the world where they (still) pray to some trees for a rain.
All I am saying, past behaviour is not a guarantee for future outcomes.
Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
cortomaltese wrote: ↑Mon Jan 20, 2025 1:51 pmWe all know what happens when pressure of spring is lifted
You are tempting me to remind of the year without a summer, 1816. The last great subsistence crisis in the Western world. Europe suffered from widespread food shortages, resulting in its worst famine of the century and followed by typhus. And this is Europe when things could be documented. Imagine what happened to other parts of the world where they (still) pray to some trees for a rain.
All I am saying, past behaviour is not a guarantee for future outcomes.
- cortomaltese
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one thing is sure... "Nothing is sure"
At the end of the day all is a matter of possibilities and
all i am saying is that EV of ETH/BTC going north in the mid to long term is positive
Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
Indeed!All I am saying, past behaviour is not a guarantee for future outcomes.
one thing is sure... "Nothing is sure"
At the end of the day all is a matter of possibilities and
all i am saying is that EV of ETH/BTC going north in the mid to long term is positive
- arbusers
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy
Speaking of events of this kind, I found out there was another recorded year without a summer.
It was 1618 BC when the volcano of Thera (Santorini) erupted. The following is reported in Chinese documents of the time: ''Yellow fog, a dim sun, then three suns, frost in July, famine, and the withering of all cereals''. Because of this, the Xia dynasty collapsed in China, and it was replaced by the Shang.
In near-by Crete, the tsunami destroyed the Minoan civilisation briefly, but the Cretes were quick enough to return back to their previous glories, or even higher.
These days we notice an abnormal behaviour of the Thera volcano. Hopefully, we will not observe the apocalypses of 1618 BC. According to some stats, these events should happen once per 17.000 years. Still too early, but who knows really?
P.S. Let me add, in the history of the universe, there is absolutely no single event. Every event that happened at least once, will happen again. Any event.
And good Lord, what a coincidence that I just noticed? I am freaking out now. 1618 BC and 1816. These years with no summer had the same digits.
It was 1618 BC when the volcano of Thera (Santorini) erupted. The following is reported in Chinese documents of the time: ''Yellow fog, a dim sun, then three suns, frost in July, famine, and the withering of all cereals''. Because of this, the Xia dynasty collapsed in China, and it was replaced by the Shang.
In near-by Crete, the tsunami destroyed the Minoan civilisation briefly, but the Cretes were quick enough to return back to their previous glories, or even higher.
These days we notice an abnormal behaviour of the Thera volcano. Hopefully, we will not observe the apocalypses of 1618 BC. According to some stats, these events should happen once per 17.000 years. Still too early, but who knows really?
P.S. Let me add, in the history of the universe, there is absolutely no single event. Every event that happened at least once, will happen again. Any event.
And good Lord, what a coincidence that I just noticed? I am freaking out now. 1618 BC and 1816. These years with no summer had the same digits.