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Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

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nahcarts
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Tue Dec 03, 2024 8:24 am

you have to click on chart on "ALL" button to see whole chart of algo not only one month, algo is currently at -96% vs btc
Sonny
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Wed Dec 04, 2024 7:33 am

everything go 0 against bitcoin
but there's a period where alts outperform bitcoin
this is where retail comes in
they want to get rick quick
but they look to btc price and say hey it's too expensive!
i better buy some alts with low caps
this is the where trap comes in
crypto whales set this trap
if alts performing better then bitcoin,
it means we're coming to end of bull season
this bull run ends in q1, 2025.mark my words
jan feb or march.
probettor91
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Wed Dec 04, 2024 8:37 am

Sonny wrote:
Wed Dec 04, 2024 7:33 am
everything go 0 against bitcoin
but there's a period where alts outperform bitcoin
this is where retail comes in
they want to get rick quick
but they look to btc price and say hey it's too expensive!
i better buy some alts with low caps
this is the where trap comes in
crypto whales set this trap
if alts performing better then bitcoin,
it means we're coming to end of bull season
this bull run ends in q1, 2025.mark my words
jan feb or march.
These two final lines of your chants are again bringing the importance of having an exit strategy.
nahcarts
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Fri Dec 06, 2024 6:40 pm

there will be a MASSIVE DUMP 3-8 december, maybe 4 december those dates. it will be THE BOTTOM.
yes today to 88000 for couple minutes or hours
Sonny
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Sun Dec 08, 2024 11:59 am

nahcarts wrote:
Fri Dec 06, 2024 6:40 pm
there will be a MASSIVE DUMP 3-8 december, maybe 4 december those dates. it will be THE BOTTOM.
yes today to 88000 for couple minutes or hours
thank you mate

but my prediction was 1 day off.
flash crash to 90,2 happened on 5 december.
i'M very sorry about it but will do my best to be more precise next time.

actually, bitcoin dropped to 70's in 3 december but it was korea hehe.

i make these predictions based on whale pattern observations so plaese take'em with grain of salt!

i believe we may have one more YOLO thru end of year 15-25 deceember then i'm bearish.
every pump in q1-2025 is sale opportunity.

if we see BOTTOM in march 2025, then this cycle can extend to late 2025 but a top in q1-2025 is the most probable outcome imo.

reasonable levels for top: 110-120 or 140-150k.

can't see bitcoin reaching 200-250k at current conditions.
if money printer starts why not? but global liquidity decreasing
long term holders selling.

will update in upcoming days.
better be elastic and dont have a fixed opinion, things may change.
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Tue Dec 24, 2024 3:35 pm

friendly reminder for 2025: global liquidity is still decreasing

if bitcoin tops in q1-2025, take your profits.
do not fall for media hype.

expecting powell to turn hawkish after trump takes the seat.

late december-early january likely to be last buying/adding opportunity (potential for local bottom) then bitcoin should skyrocket.

i don't think you will feel sorry to sell your bitcoins at 120-130-150-160 levels.
Sonny
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Sun Dec 29, 2024 6:53 pm

Sonny wrote:
Tue Dec 24, 2024 3:35 pm
friendly reminder for 2025: global liquidity is still decreasing

if bitcoin tops in q1-2025, take your profits.
do not fall for media hype.

expecting powell to turn hawkish after trump takes the seat.

late december-early january likely to be last buying/adding opportunity (potential for local bottom) then bitcoin should skyrocket.

i don't think you will feel sorry to sell your bitcoins at 120-130-150-160 levels.
here comes late december-early january window!

i'm adding more (probably my last buys) bitcoin starting from today (29 dec) to 5 january.
after 2-3 weeks, many people will feel regretful for not buying bitcoin under 100k.

after bull run ends,
many people will feel regretful for not selling their bitcoins in 2025..
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Mon Dec 30, 2024 3:28 pm

Sonny wrote:
Sun Dec 29, 2024 6:53 pm
Sonny wrote:
Tue Dec 24, 2024 3:35 pm
friendly reminder for 2025: global liquidity is still decreasing

if bitcoin tops in q1-2025, take your profits.
do not fall for media hype.

expecting powell to turn hawkish after trump takes the seat.

late december-early january likely to be last buying/adding opportunity (potential for local bottom) then bitcoin should skyrocket.

i don't think you will feel sorry to sell your bitcoins at 120-130-150-160 levels.
here comes late december-early january window!

i'm adding more (probably my last buys) bitcoin starting from today (29 dec) to 5 january.
after 2-3 weeks, many people will feel regretful for not buying bitcoin under 100k.

after bull run ends,
many people will feel regretful for not selling their bitcoins in 2025..
What % chances are you giving we are already saw ATH this cycle ?
Sonny
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Mon Dec 30, 2024 4:31 pm

cortomaltese wrote:
Mon Dec 30, 2024 3:28 pm
Sonny wrote:
Sun Dec 29, 2024 6:53 pm
Sonny wrote:
Tue Dec 24, 2024 3:35 pm
friendly reminder for 2025: global liquidity is still decreasing

if bitcoin tops in q1-2025, take your profits.
do not fall for media hype.

expecting powell to turn hawkish after trump takes the seat.

late december-early january likely to be last buying/adding opportunity (potential for local bottom) then bitcoin should skyrocket.

i don't think you will feel sorry to sell your bitcoins at 120-130-150-160 levels.
here comes late december-early january window!

i'm adding more (probably my last buys) bitcoin starting from today (29 dec) to 5 january.
after 2-3 weeks, many people will feel regretful for not buying bitcoin under 100k.

after bull run ends,
many people will feel regretful for not selling their bitcoins in 2025..
What % chances are you giving we are already saw ATH this cycle ?
%10-15.
Sonny
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Fri Jan 17, 2025 6:00 pm

so far so good!

just 3 days before trump's inauguration, bitcoin reaches 104-105k once again.

28-29 jan likely to become a local top imo. Then powell may cool off markets little bit.

Strategic reserve is a big thing. It's not so easy, there's too much burocracy but even talks about it can show us where bitcoin is going in future.

Always study bitcoin, learn about bitcoin.

Bitcoin is the only decentralized network where you can transfer and store wealth.

Lets enjoy bull but better not get euphoriac. I dont put any price targets, everything is possible. when indicators start to get heat (not when they get heated!) it's time to take some money off the table and prepare for upcoming recession in 2026 where we'll buy bitcoin cheap.
probettor91
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Mon Jan 20, 2025 7:53 am

Following the Bitcoin topic, we should shed some light on Ethereum and how disappointing it has been compared to other L1s
cortomaltese
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Mon Jan 20, 2025 1:51 pm

probettor91 wrote:
Mon Jan 20, 2025 7:53 am
Following the Bitcoin topic, we should shed some light on Ethereum and how disappointing it has been compared to other L1s
True! Is undeperforming mainly against BTC wayy too long
Seems to me like an overstreched spring
We all know what happens when pressure of spring is lifted
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arbusers
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Mon Jan 20, 2025 1:59 pm

cortomaltese wrote:
Mon Jan 20, 2025 1:51 pm
We all know what happens when pressure of spring is lifted

You are tempting me to remind of the year without a summer, 1816. The last great subsistence crisis in the Western world. Europe suffered from widespread food shortages, resulting in its worst famine of the century and followed by typhus. And this is Europe when things could be documented. Imagine what happened to other parts of the world where they (still) pray to some trees for a rain.

All I am saying, past behaviour is not a guarantee for future outcomes.
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Tue Jan 21, 2025 7:12 am

All I am saying, past behaviour is not a guarantee for future outcomes.
Indeed!
one thing is sure... "Nothing is sure"
At the end of the day all is a matter of possibilities and
all i am saying is that EV of ETH/BTC going north in the mid to long term is positive
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arbusers
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Re: Bitcoin analysis and investing strategy

Tue Feb 04, 2025 1:23 pm

Speaking of events of this kind, I found out there was another recorded year without a summer.

It was 1618 BC when the volcano of Thera (Santorini) erupted. The following is reported in Chinese documents of the time: ''Yellow fog, a dim sun, then three suns, frost in July, famine, and the withering of all cereals''. Because of this, the Xia dynasty collapsed in China, and it was replaced by the Shang.

In near-by Crete, the tsunami destroyed the Minoan civilisation briefly, but the Cretes were quick enough to return back to their previous glories, or even higher.

These days we notice an abnormal behaviour of the Thera volcano. Hopefully, we will not observe the apocalypses of 1618 BC. According to some stats, these events should happen once per 17.000 years. Still too early, but who knows really?

P.S. Let me add, in the history of the universe, there is absolutely no single event. Every event that happened at least once, will happen again. Any event.

And good Lord, what a coincidence that I just noticed? I am freaking out now. 1618 BC and 1816. These years with no summer had the same digits.

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