Arbusers

Hello
I have found again some niche/opportunity. Found a way to bet on lower tiers soccer games - 2-3-4 level divisions in Romanian, Ukraine, Belarus, Finland, Sweden etc. Unfortunately there are NO ODDS for many of the matches in question. I would like to create some simple excel file with 2-3 inputs to give some Approximation. I am not aiming at perfect method, but for crude guess. Never heard any of the teams before, cant access any reliable data from the past etc.

The idea is as simple as possible - to take the last 5-10 games for the teams playing a particular match, the previous results between them (head to head) games and their current ranking in the division. Nothing fancy or hard - I am too lazy. Knowing who is the "favorite" and the dog, it will be sufficient.

I have asked both Claude and Grok and them both pointed rightly to the expected goals method and poison distribution. But past and reliable data is unavaliable, so....