Arbusers

Required Run Rate in SRH's chasing is relatively low, that situation is not seen so often. After Tripathi's dismissal and the mediocre Strike Rate for the SRH's batsmen so far, crucial for the PBKS till the end will be their bowling department econ rate. If they may take some wickets and somehow slow down future econ rate under 6.00, much more entry/exit points are possible than existing ones.

Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings. Again poor Powerplay performance for Chennai Super Kings, 39/2, and again at the middle of the Middle Overs stage better performance, at the moment 109/2. The calculation for end CSK's result in region 180 or more to be achieved or not, produces some probabilities for further positions. Where are Gujarat Titans' wicket-takers?

Awful performed Powerplay by Gujarat Titans, only 37/3, in addition to failed to restrict CSK batting in their Death Overs. I'm impressed by Stephen Fleming's decisions regardin' some talented youngsters with big potential to be on the pitch among Oldest Army members. I mean mainly Theekshana. For three Overs so far, he achieved a 4.66 economy rate and two wickets taken for CSK. Is he a kind of replacement for Imran Tahir?
Waiting for the implementation of GT's attack, but in my view, Ravindra Jadeja and others from the bowling department of the CSK team have a big advantage. Have to be monitored if GT's RR varies above a given level to hedge at some point.

Did you spot odds discrepancies on the Betfair-powered exchanges during that event?

IPL 2022, Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings. Somewhere about the 18th Over, when Rashid Khan started the incredible turnaround for GT team, I spotted some discrepancies between the exchanges platforms' odds. In my activity constantly watch a lot of odds, provided by agencies and exchanges. At the mentioned above moment of the match, 9wickets exchange' odds behaved like they are frozen, later they suspended the market and again reopened, but at the odds level before initial odds froze (circa 1.45 for CSK, that was before Khan's power attack). Later 9wickets exchange disappeared.
I'm not so sure but seemed to me for some interval of time orbitx odds were slightly different (or maybe slow refreshed at that time), compared to the Betfair ones. I'm not so sure about orbitx, because at this time did several things simultaneously in front of the monitors.
Other Betfair white labels were in order all the time. Other odds providers had displayed the correct odds, too.

Today Rajasthan Royals vs Kolkata Knight Riders.
Among the facts, helpin' for some pre-match analysis and to prepare a strategy for value betting/trading:

Rajasthan Royals' performance on the pitch technically has a little less dispersion from the pre-selected lines/graphics, based upon data and pre-analyses and technically they have much stability in terms of the performance.
On the contrary, the KKR team has the possibility of much larger drawdowns and pinnacles in their matches related to predefined graphics.
Among the fundamental rationale for these RR and KKR's graphics in the play-time are the balanced RR team, not destroyed after Jofra Archer and Ben Stokes' departure. Probably the RR team management tends to risk much less, to upgrade slow the team, and not to take big risks in the Top Four chasing.
On the other hand, I spotted KKR's dispersion on the time graphics mainly in their crucial moments on the pitch.
They are heavily dependent on the performance of both the West Indian players Andre Russell and Sunil Narine. Russel is a monster in batting mainly, while Narine is in the bowling. The balance in the team is not good in my view. If Russel somehow lowers the Econ Rate under 7 when he bowls, and if Narine despite his monstrous Strike Rate as a batter, achieves much more runs in the matches, the reaching IPL final will be possible again.
And some words about KKR's inefficient balance in the line-up. Among the general pre-analysis in terms of some estimations regarding Kolkata Knight Riders, and how to act when specific situations on the pitch occur, is the right view about Ajinkya Rahane.
The right set-up, when it comes to that player, and his partnerships with other batsmen in the KKR team is a very hard task. It's preferable first to estimate Rahane's an initial tactic as an Opening Batsman if he takes part in the match.

A reassessment the both teams' indicators, combined with the McCullum and Sangakkara's approaches and their current implementation by the players, may produce some positions on the market.

And much more additional info has to be processed, as usual.

Your opinions?

Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings. Pay attention to Pant's captaincy today. PBKS obviously were instructed to make maximum Runs at the Powerplay, but Delhi's captain cleverly avoid the trap and 4 wickets were taken so far. Due to almost unchanged tactics for PBKS, the stability of odds range interval may be calculated for some Overs, and their possibilities for acceleration attempts and risks till 16th Over further may be calculated and later to build additional entry/exit positions during PBKS' Death Overs.

Everyone loves to watch the soccer world derbies such as El Clásico Barçelona vs Real Madrid or Superclásico Argentina vs Brasil. Imagine now, that the participants of the derby are residing at the bottom of the points table, and almost impossible to qualify for the Play-Off positions. Related to the IPL at the moment, the sporting powerhouses Mumbai Indians and Chennai Super Kings faced that situation.

For pre-match traders, the last two days secured profit somewhere mainly in Asia. The opening odds slowly reversed and continue to move heavily in the last trend, so both the teams were priced within the 48 hours time interval at more than 50 percent of a win probability. If you locked the profit, you may simply enjoy the four hours of that masterpiece without further positions on the markets, or expand them due to the monstrous money volume when that match goes in-play after several hours. CSK and MI's appearances usually attract money something 100 million provided that their match is undecided till the Death Overs, but have in mind, that yesterday Rishabh Pant's tactics to neutralize PBKS's naive attacks early locked the match and money volume was lowered significantly, circa 40 million or something.

For buildin' the possible scenarios for today's derby CSK vs MI have in mind the following:
While the Chennai team has minimal maths probability for the Play-Off stage, the Mumbai team is in the worst position and additionally, MI needs almost impossible big-margin future wins till the end, to improve their Net Run Rate. Sounds like science fiction, indeed.

Therefore both the teams are out of their comfort zone, mainly the Blue one. One probable scenario for my positions is:
Dhoni, Jadeja, and Fleming carefully tend the match, the main idea is additional two points in the end without extreme risks taken, while Jayawardene and Sharma's approach will require for sure a much more aggressive approach in both Bowling and Batting phases.
Fleming's team is more balanced than MI one at the moment.
Due to the extremely important today's match for teams, is preferable to see the decision which team will Bowl or Bat first, to see the starting line-ups, to reanalyze their approaches based on that info, and in no time to confirm or rebuild again some strategies for entry/exit points.

Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals after several hours.
It's very hard to reduce minimal sets of reliable scenarios about that match. Obviously, the odds at the half of the regular season played so far, are not so distinguished by the teams' power, unlike the previous IPL seasons at that stage.

Much more stability for RR so far, which causes mainly future value, provided that the sporting investments and the financial background remain the same in the future. The RR team may pay the price for their slow progress at some moment. Kumar Sangakkara (have in mind his work for Marylebone Cricket Club) obviously works this way. In my view, medium-term curves regardin' RR better suit that team, for the purpose of pre-analysis.
DC's manner of work suggests to be seen less stability from them, but that's why the risks taken so far produced excellent NetRunRate, the best NRR among the teams in IPL so far, but they're out of the Top Four prior to today's clash.
Short-term curves at the moment are better for the DC team pre-analysis.

I think it's needed to be monitoring three things:
The Royals' acceleration if they abandon the stability of the performance at some stage of the match;
The Capitals' implementation of the risks, that they've taken;
The opposite team's reaction when some of written above things are out of control.

In addition, the Price Action forex style techniques are among the preferable ones today.

Very big league indeed. Definitviely interested in this one considering it has extremely large volumes.

Thanks to Kuldeep Sen's first Over performed as a bowler vs Royal Challengers Bangalore (7th Over, 2 wickets taken at 6.2 and 6.3 Over, and economy rate 1.00 after seventh Over) huge odds swing caused and some amount won also. Thanks, Kumar Sangakkara for the tactics!

GT vs MI is going to start. I was impressed by the money flow and odds movement several hours ago. Arbs and hedging operations were possible today pre-match (exchanges and bookies). After the coin toss, minutes before the kick-off, the odds margins for that match several times were spotted at the dream levels at 0.25 percent. At that moment, the movement of the odds pre-match is like the British Horse Racing's odds movements minutes prior to the start.

Rashid Khan bowls against Rohit Sharma now, one of the key battles in Brabourne today. MI tends to 1.5 EU odds prior to his appearance. Alzarri Joseph performed a very poor economy rate so far, circa 12.5. Despite a poor initial first over for Khan, if he removes Kishan or Sharma, the match may change. The MI team supports over 10 RR so far, very best Powerplay for them, unlike past matches.

After the dismissal of Sharma by Khan, the probability of a high par score for the Mumbai team is reassessed. Input some probabilities for several MI's total scored runs after their battling part and some probabilities for accelerating bowling efforts by the Gujarat team. Reduce them to two or three leading probabilities and await some triggers to appear.

The dismissal of Kishan by Joseph's bowling (and caught by Khan) broke the odds channel, from circa 1.42 till circa 1.55 or something, in MI's favor, realized between the Khan appearance and the second wicket taken by the Gujarat team. In my view, if Kieron Pollard and Tilak Varma play as usual in IPL 2022, below 190 runs may be probable for the Blues, despite the seven wickets in hand for them.

LSG vs KKR, at the first half recap:
Andre Russell is bowling today as in past times, at last, he showed us a superior economy rate and two wickets taken for two overs. I wonder why KKR management doesn't pull him at an upper number as a Batsman. He is a very best finisher Batsman, but KKR takes crashes when earlier batsmen are removed early in the match, and the management force Russel to achieve a 200 - 250 and above Strike Rate ratio as a finisher Batsman, when it's too late for that team usually, and he often makes errors at these conditions. If coach McCullum and captain Iyer put Russel as Opening Batsman(1,2) or Third Batsman, KKR may be different.

Before the second part of the current match LSG vs KKR my business plan will consider many things. Among them are:
Very deep KKR dependence from the Russel and Narine performance, as bowlers they're OK vs LSG so far;
Assessment on the fly when the usual underperformance from one of the KKR players will take effect (Mavi as a bowler conceded 5 sixes in the 19th Over and caused a massive turnaround of the odds). The same is often spotted in their Batting part in a given match;
Some similarities in terms of playing errors, such as the RCB team.
The decisions of Aaron Finch (unstable lately, unlike previous years);
Bowling behavior of Jason Holder. He is evolving very well the game decisions year by year, and LSG is happy to rely on his services.