Free pick on UCL for today on the game
Maribor vs Sporting http://www.theowltips.com/index.php/picks-tips/entry/free-tip-uefa-champions-league-maribor-vs-sportingYesterday pick on UCL
Welcome back UCL and the big games!
We are going to get in earlier on match Benfica vs Zenit.
Is true that we were with Benfica this week and they gave us a easy win by 5nil vs Setubal but now the game is completely different.
Lets go through the team of Zenit,
A defense that had a sign in very important , one of the best players of Benfica of last season , Garay, an excellent center back that make a great team with Lombaerts.
On the full back position the italian on the left and also Smoliknov ( who did a goal on last game ) are full back of quality and nothing inferior to a team as Sporting.
Then start the stars of this team with 2 players that Benfica sold few years ago, Witsel and Javi Garcia, more two players used to this stadium and that their quality do not need any presentation.
To attack the Benfica defense and their GK that usual “tremble” more than he should, Hulk, Danny, Faizulin and Arshavin, or Kerzhakov / Rondon , it will depend a bit on how AVB will opt for this game vs a coach that announced earlier than the AVB or Zenit direction his move to Zenit, which show that both are friends and are healthy rivals.
To end the talent of this team we have on the bench a great coach named Andre Villas Boas who is used to beat Jorge Jesus since the time he coached Porto and who I´m personal friend of his lovely wife, nothing that can interfere with this, I just know he is sleeping well during the night, which transmit me no anxiety to be back for a game in Portugal.
On the other side we will have a Benfica that on last years just lost at hoe vs Barcelona and that is year after year doing a good European campaign with 2 finals of EL on last two years but for this game they are with reduce options for the midfield, Andre Almeida is suspended and Samaris will play again more 90 min , he played well on last game but the quality of Setubal was different and even with that low quality he made a penalty that referee close his eyes to it. ( imagine tomorrow with the speed of Danny and Hulk … will be even harder for him )
Up in the front the trident of Benfica is very good but if Enzo is not in form I do not see them creating so much game and the truth is that Enzo is not so strong and possible a bit lack of motivation due Benfica didn´t sold him to Valencia, ofc that Champions League game everyone has a plus but with a Samaris with just 90 min on this structure and looking to the actual form of Zenit and knowing how Hulk and Danny have speed/ball control/goal on their foot, I believe here that Zenit has it all to catch Benfica on transition but also to create goal opportunities not only betting on those opportunities.
Tallisca made an hat trick last game and we were desperate with him , because he has tremendous capacity of appear on the right place but then his quality on ending the play to the net, is something that even with 3 goals let me not with the best thoughts about him. Salvio , Gaitan and Lima, ofc those 3 are great.
Last Season Luisao that made a team with Garay on Benfica, both made a lot of goals , special on difficult games as this one, both pay above @13 to do a goal, a long shot here would be backing both with an average odd of @7, but we will stick with our initial idea to this game, which is the same as when Sporting went there grab a draw with a inferior team than this Zenit.
Will be very hard to Benfica win this game, Zenit made 21 goals in 7 games,concede 4 , they are on a extremely good run , they have plenty of players used to be happy on the Luz stadium and I believe the Russian won´t get defeated and they will score at least a goal.
BTTS @1.9+ on few EU bookies ( not bet365 1.83 ) is a fair value but Zenit over 0.75 on Pinny is a bit too low at the moment, we will get in with 4/10 on Zenit +0.5 and possible let 2 units for a goal of Zenit live, if the game live transmit that and odds pay well at HT ( or if tomorrow we have longer odds )
Benfica vs Zenit
Zenit AH +0.50 @1.99 Pinnacle 4/10