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Arbing just middles?

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Johnny Utah
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Arbing just middles?

Sat Oct 15, 2016 3:56 pm

If you arb just middles with low percentage arbs like 0.1%, are you much less likely to get your account limited or closed down than if you do arbs with higher percentages like 1% or more? Cheers!
Thordin
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Re: Arbing just middles?

Sat Oct 15, 2016 4:26 pm

I doubt it would make a difference.
Pretty much any bet on a softbook that you bet as a low % middle can be converted to a high % arb by making a few more bets.
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Re: Arbing just middles?

Mon Nov 14, 2016 11:36 pm

How , for example ?
arber_PL
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Re: Arbing just middles?

Tue Nov 15, 2016 8:36 am

Arbfan wrote: How , for example ?
o200,5 @ 2 vs u201,5 @ 2 = middle 0%
o200,5 @ 2 vs u200,5 @ 2,16 = arb 3,8%

If you hit 1 of 26 middles you'll get the same profit as when placing arbs.
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Re: Arbing just middles?

Tue Nov 15, 2016 11:58 am

Wouldnt have thought it makes any difference, as their software will still see you are hitting a soft line compared to betfair.  It may even be a worse strategy as you are betting on more obscure markets.  Just betting big league match odds seems to make accounts last the longest in my experience, but taking any out of line odds will show up unfortunately.
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Arbfan
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Re: Arbing just middles?

Fri Nov 18, 2016 10:30 pm

Are you taking middles guys like  -0.43 % ?
Yngwie
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Re: Arbing just middles?

Sat Nov 19, 2016 7:04 am

Arbfan wrote: Are you taking middles guys like  -0.43 % ?
I even take -%1 and -%2 sometimes..
Last edited by Yngwie on Sat Nov 19, 2016 7:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
Arbfan
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Re: Arbing just middles?

Sun Dec 18, 2016 6:05 pm

Yngwie/Sawyer wrote:
Arbfan wrote: Are you taking middles guys like  -0.43 % ?
I even take -%1 and -%2 sometimes..
Do you have any statistick with winning middles  ?
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Re: Arbing just middles?

Sun Dec 18, 2016 6:45 pm

arber_PL wrote:
Arbfan wrote: How , for example ?
o200,5 @ 2 vs u201,5 @ 2 = middle 0%
o200,5 @ 2 vs u200,5 @ 2,16 = arb 3,8%

If you hit 1 of 26 middles you'll get the same profit as when placing arbs.
in this example you will not hit 1/26 so go for arb. Just calculate probability and than you will see what is better. also for negative middles. you see what is probability to happen also see what you risk and what yo can won.
Last edited by antemartic on Sun Dec 18, 2016 6:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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