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Worst day ever for value betting!

Is this the new hack of smart gambling?
svevlad
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 6:43 am

Tarzan
Your results are great,Can u tell how much you invest in a bet and how many bets per month.

sry for bad eng
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 7:28 am

The only explenation when somebody anually can be in plus with sharps or exchange is staking!
Arber is placing to the max betts (mostly).
Because of that can happend that he is winning big stakes betts at sharps or exchange and winning small stakes bets at softies!
My opinion is that is the reason why sometimes the arbers are yearly in plus with shaps and exchange!
With healty staking system (to winn amount) and 1 procent from the bank there are no chance to be yearly in minus!
Last edited by tarzan on Tue Sep 12, 2017 7:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 9:24 am

tarzan wrote: The only explenation when somebody anually can be in plus with sharps or exchange is staking!
Arber is placing to the max betts (mostly).
Because of that can happend that he is winning big stakes betts at sharps or exchange and winning small stakes bets at softies!
My opinion is that is the reason why sometimes the arbers are yearly in plus with shaps and exchange!
With healty staking system (to winn amount) and 1 procent from the bank there are no chance to be yearly in minus!
To win amount has to be around 1% of your bankroll? is this bankroll money management system works out well for you?
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 9:30 am

From 1.7 to 2.3 odd I am betting with fixed stake and for 1% of my bankroll!
Above 2.3 odd it is to win amount also around 1%.
For example 500 x (1.7 to 2.3).
Everything above 2.3 I devided 1000/odd.
This is for the events with bigger limits
For the events with smaller limits I am doing the same only to win amount is the smaller ...500...300...200!
Last edited by tarzan on Tue Sep 12, 2017 9:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 9:47 am

tarzan wrote: From 1.7 to 2.3 odd I am betting with fixed stake and for 1% of my bankroll!
Above 2.3 odd it is to win amount also around 1%.
For example 500 x (1.7 to 2.3).
Everything above 2.3 I devided 1000/odd.
What is the logic behind this management? Are you based on observation on a big sample, or is it something else?
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 10:01 am

I think the 3 years of value betting with this staking system is quite large sample.
I can see that with my bankroll growth over last 3 years!
Maybe if I was using different staking system I would be 10 or 20 percent more in plus!
I dont know that!
But this staking system is working just fine for me
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 10:11 am

Sometimes I am placing also the bet for 2 percent of my bankroll when Betburger shows me arbs bigger then 10 percent
It happens so many times last year with baskeball games (Slovakia,Bulgaria Balkan basketball league)...probably fixed matches!
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 10:25 am

tarzan wrote: I think the 3 years of value betting with this staking system is quite large sample.
I can see that with my bankroll growth over last 3 years!
Maybe if I was using different staking system I would be 10 or 20 percent more in plus!
I dont know that!
But this staking system is working just fine for me
How many bets do you place per day on average? are they pre-match only or live also?
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 10:26 am

15 bets average...only prematch
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 10:30 am

tarzan wrote: 15 bets average...only prematch
Thank you for sharing your knowledge, good to know valuebetters keep doing well
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 10:33 am

In some occasion I am also beting on parley with two or rearly three games when the odd is under 1.7 on both games or on all 3 games!
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 10:43 am

Same to me. 1% flat bet is enough. I had time  when i deposited bookies around 5 bets and i didnt need to make redeposit for 3 month!
Still when i see 20% arb and i make big bet, then i try to partially cover it and make some 1 bet risk
I remeber some nba event, when i saw 20% arb. I couldnt believe it and verify 5 times that i see correct teams

BTW tarzan do u betting Mondey to Fridey as well? For me i do only friiday to sundey betting, because  i dont add sensable action if i would be making hole weak
Last edited by maletaja on Tue Sep 12, 2017 10:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
geetz
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 10:45 am

tarzan wrote: In some occasion I am also beting on parley with two or rearly three games when the odd is under 1.7 on both games or on all 3 games!
usually how many hours before the game? and how often you get limited? more or less than arbing?
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 10:49 am

I am betting from tuesday to friday from 3 until 9 o`clock!
Saturday and sunday from 12 until 9!
I can not be limited because I am betting in local shops!
I am betting by phone from home and the workers in local shops are placing the bets for me!
Over the years I made good logistic!
But that cost me....10 percent from my profit goes as tips to them!
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Re: Worst day ever for value betting!

Tue Sep 12, 2017 11:48 am

Its interesting thing.
But have phone call+guys are making  print +and going to the cashier to get ticket=all actions take time
It assumes you are using shops that are not keen to change odds quickly

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