Green Scalper's picks

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GreenScalper
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Green Scalper's picks
« on: April 23, 2018, 09:29:59 PM »

Bulgaria

Beroe – Levski
Under 2.5 goals    Betfair sportsbook 1.91 (10/11 fractional odds)
29/04/2018

I know most people don’t like to bet early, but you better hurry, because the odds for under 2.5 goals will drop for sure. Under Delio Rossi the visitors are one of the most underish teams in the league. Levski have 8 unders and 4 overs this spring. And in pretty much all these matches the bookmakers have made the same mistake – early odds for under around 2.00 and then huge drop till 1.50-1.60 on the the day of the match (you can check this easily in oddsportal.com).  These two teams have played against each other 20 days ago and the odds for under 2.5 dropped till 1.47. Now most likely will happen something similar. For me it’s a great opportunity to make an arb.
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Re: Green Scalper's picks
« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2018, 03:04:43 PM »

Vitosha  - Cherno More
Bulgaria

1x double chance   2.80  Betfair sportsbook


Cherno More don't care about this match. They will be without 7 first team players (some of them are injured, some are suspended and some will get a rest. The odds will change for sure.
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GreenScalper
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Re: Green Scalper's picks
« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2018, 06:05:23 AM »

Bulgaria
Levski – Botev Plovdiv

Botev Plovdiv  X2 @Bet365  2.20

Levski will play cup final vs. Slavia in a few days. That’s why today they are going to play with many reserves. 7 first team players are not in the group for the match. 5 out of them are given rest by the coach – Prochazka, Jablonsky, Gomez, Nascimiento, Thiam. Sergiu Bus is suspended and Cvetković is injured. Jablonsky is the top goal scorer of the team and Sergiu Bus is the third top scorer.
Just a month ago Botev won against Levski. Moreover Botev was with 10 players in this match (red card in 41 minute).
Clearly there is a value in these odds. I guess most people just don’t know yet that Levski will play with many reserves. Tonight the starting odds before the game should be very different.
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Re: Green Scalper's picks
« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2018, 10:16:10 AM »

^
Antonio Vutov is also not in the group of Levski for the match.
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Re: Green Scalper's picks
« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2018, 03:04:49 PM »

Algeria
Potential fix!
Belouizdad - DRB Tadjenant
Draw  2.80 @Betfair sportsbook

Everywhere the match is either removed or around 2.00. Only at Betfair sportsbook is 2.80!
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