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Bobby94
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Bobby94

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« on: April 29, 2018, 09:01:36 AM »

Hi guys. I'm an arb player but recently i got intrigued by value betting. heres a question for you:


Gamba Osaka - Sagan Tosu in play odds

odds SBO:                                     2.62      2.37        3.5
Pinnacle:                                        2.55       2.55        3.55
Betfair market:                               2.86      2.64        3.4


Is betfair offering value at 2.86 for osaka considering his sharpness? what about the 2.64 draw?

 I saw an arb today between gunneswaran - safwat for 5.54% in play at the end of second set.Also i am seeing a trend in betfair markets for in play tennis. Many opportunities to take +10 ticks above what pinnacle and sbo offer. Isnt that value or is betfair market above pinnacle and sbo in tennis odds sharpness. Anyone tried this? Opinions?
« Last Edit: April 29, 2018, 02:03:17 PM by Bobby94 » Logged
arbusers
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Re: question
« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2018, 06:47:50 PM »

The odds for draw are unreal and show the market expecting something weird to happen. The result (3-0) shows that nothing weird happened.
Seems the 2.64 for draw was value in this case. But, IMHO you can never be sure if you just compare these 3 and you need to see the opinion of softs as well.
Pinnacle and SBO are not famous for their tennis odds, so this trilemma will not work there either.
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Chipmunk
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Re: question
« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2018, 08:11:16 PM »

Safwat and Gunneswaram are two players where you might expect "unusual odds" at times.

Not to surprising to see the winner lost the first set.
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