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Tennis OU Middle

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GStyle
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Tennis OU Middle

Sun Feb 24, 2019 11:16 am

Hello,

I would like to ask the middle players, i saw yesterday 2 point of Total games OU on Tennis, is this worth to take as middle? or it must be much bigger distant(and if yest, how much differences 3?4?) ? i saw it at first set of game.

Thank you.
surbetis
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Mon Feb 25, 2019 10:00 pm

every middle is welcome, the point is in wich bookies
GStyle
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Wed Feb 27, 2019 11:57 am

The one bookie is sharp and the other soft, and it seems that they have the same rule on the total games ou.. if the game will not completed then the bets will void.
barbero
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Wed Feb 27, 2019 2:26 pm

Should be very profitable, as long as you're not trying to hit impossible results (such as over10.5 under 11.5 in a set, etc). Unless it's a negative middle, why not go for it?
GStyle
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Wed Feb 27, 2019 4:06 pm

No its 2 point middle, o22.5 u24.5.middle average odds 1.82-1.83
barbero
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Wed Feb 27, 2019 4:17 pm

1.82 both sides, so it's a -9% middle? Then that's a harder question to answer, you could try to build stats on how many of those middles actually land and calculate if that strategy pays off... 9% seems a bit expensive to me but what counts here are the actual numbers, not the looks of it. Sorry I can't help, I would need a DB with odds and outcomes to be able to tell you something useful, and getting that DB is the difficult part of course.
GStyle
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Wed Feb 27, 2019 9:24 pm

How did you calculate the -9%?
Chipmunk
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Wed Feb 27, 2019 10:36 pm

Remember that 24 is a relatively rare score in tennis (cos of the scoring system, you can only get 7/5 sets from a break at the end).

23 is pretty common though, of course.
barbero
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Wed Feb 27, 2019 11:12 pm

Well I understood that you would take odds 1.82 on both sides. So if you bet 50€ on over 22.5 and 50€ on under 24.5, you will get paid 91€ if you don't hit the middle, thus losing 9€ (-9% of your initial 100€).

But if what you meant is that 1.82 are average market odds and you will get higher odds... well, depends on how much higher you can get them, that will be your value.
GStyle
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Wed Feb 27, 2019 11:14 pm

Chipmunk wrote: Remember that 24 is a relatively rare score in tennis (cos of the scoring system, you can only get 7/5 sets from a break at the end).

23 is pretty common though, of course.
Tell me if am counting right, as you said, the 23 is common though, and the 19, 20, 25?
GStyle
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Wed Feb 27, 2019 11:16 pm

barbero wrote: Well I understood that you would take odds 1.82 on both sides. So if you bet 50€ on over 22.5 and 50€ on under 24.5, you will get paid 91€ if you don't hit the middle, thus losing 9€ (-9% of your initial 100€).

But if what you meant is that 1.82 are average market odds and you will get higher odds... well, depends on how much higher you can get them, that will be your value.
Thank you!
surbetis
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Fri Mar 01, 2019 9:55 pm

GStyle wrote: No its 2 point middle, o22.5 u24.5.middle average odds 1.82-1.83
What do you mean average odds? if one leng is 1,82 and the other is 1,83 this is not a middle this is normal odds, or negative middle , this is disaster, specially for tennis,May be you mean somethink else. I work a lot with tennis and positive middles are very profitable, also hard to find. Can you give us an example?
GStyle
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Sat Mar 02, 2019 1:14 pm

surbetis wrote:
GStyle wrote: No its 2 point middle, o22.5 u24.5.middle average odds 1.82-1.83
What do you mean average odds? if one leng is 1,82 and the other is 1,83 this is not a middle this is normal odds, or negative middle , this is disaster, specially for tennis,May be you mean somethink else. I work a lot with tennis and positive middles are very profitable, also hard to find. Can you give us an example?
Well, i mean both legs are somewhere there, 1,82(1st leg), 1.83(2nd leg)..
Thats why am asking to learn, if you could help me with some infos, which are the positive middles? As i understood now, is those middles where is more possibilities that the game will end. From the begging of game is good to take 2 points or higher, and after some scores, or after the first set, you have to calculate little bit where the game could end. Right?
surbetis
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Sat Mar 02, 2019 5:47 pm

Nothing to do, normal odds
GStyle
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Re: Tennis OU Middle

Sat Mar 02, 2019 6:09 pm

What do you mean? ::)

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