How to manually calculate an arb?

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MrG
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MrG

How to manually calculate an arb?
« on: April 14, 2019, 01:26:43 PM »

I was wondering how exactly is an arb calculated.

If I had one bookie offering odds of 1.4 for example, is there a quick calculation I can do to determine what odds it should be above at the other bookie?
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alealeale
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alealeale

Re: How to manually calculate an arb?
« Reply #1 on: April 14, 2019, 01:51:07 PM »

(1/0.4)+1=3,50 break even
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alealeale
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Re: How to manually calculate an arb?
« Reply #2 on: April 14, 2019, 01:53:09 PM »

if you have 1,20 you have to do: 1/(1,20-1)+1=6
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MrG
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MrG

Re: How to manually calculate an arb?
« Reply #3 on: April 15, 2019, 10:27:28 PM »

Excellent, thanks
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djordjeno
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djordjeno

Re: How to manually calculate an arb?
« Reply #4 on: April 16, 2019, 10:53:23 AM »

if you have 1,20 you have to do: 1/(1,20-1)+1=6

True, but for me is less simpler to calculate like this way

odd / (odd -1)
in this scenario for 1.20
1.2/0.2 = 6

another example 1.80
1.80/0.80 = 2.25
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MrG
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MrG

Re: How to manually calculate an arb?
« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2019, 06:30:38 PM »

That's great :) Do you also know what calculation would be required to a 5 or 10% arb for example?

Its very useful to know the maths you already outlined, but is there a similar calculation to work out what percentage arb im getting?

thanks :)
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LazyBird
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Re: How to manually calculate an arb?
« Reply #6 on: April 24, 2019, 09:18:45 PM »

You can convert both odds to probabilities, add them together and then divide 100 by the sum of the two, minus one.

For example, if you had 2.1 with one bookie and 2.1 with another. The calculation for converting a decimal odd to a percentage probability is

Price A. 100 / 2.1 = 47.62
Price B. 100 / 2.1 = 47.62

47.62 + 47.62 = 95.2

95.2% is the combined probability in this case. Since it's under 100 it's an arb and we could call it an 'underround'. Any two prices offered by the same bookmaker will always be over 100 and are referred to as an 'overround'.

Anyways, 100/95.2 - 1 = 5%. So, in this case it's a 5% arb.
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kustef
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Re: How to manually calculate an arb?
« Reply #7 on: April 26, 2019, 06:38:16 PM »

when i started doing arbitrages i printed this "paper helper"
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