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Isn't the arb game dead?

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Kristian
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Re: Isn't the arb game dead?

Wed May 25, 2022 3:53 pm

Alfa1234 wrote:
Tue Apr 06, 2021 7:20 am
cem wrote:
Alfa1234 wrote:
Guys, it's the math.. The first 2 bets don't even have to be a positive arb as long as the third is a big arb to make this work.  You can "adjust" the first 2 odds to create a bigger arb by reducing the 3rd match to barely break even as well!  It's gold!
Lets suppose we have 2 games. Both have back / lay odds 2.00 / 2.00.- Capital = 100 euros.

Kindly "adjust" the odds , and show us how the job could be done to have a profit, no matter what.. - Thank you.
You conveniently left out this part: "as long as the third is a big arb".
thanks for your effort and your willingness to help all of us. one more question: in a triple parlay the main important thing is that the last match( 3rd leg of parlay) is a strong arb?? so the first two legs of the parlay don't need to be arbs??
macola
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Re: Isn't the arb game dead?

Tue Jun 21, 2022 5:40 am

it doesnt matter which game from 3 games is big arb., just adjust the stake :)
willprigol
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Re: Isn't the arb game dead?

Thu Jun 30, 2022 10:41 pm

Hello guys!

First I would like to thank @Yngwie, @VidaBlue, @Alfa1234 and everyone else involved.

I have many accounts still valid, both at Bet365, as well as at Marathon, WilliamHills and a few other houses.

I understood the method of a triple with bonus, but I didn't understand if you add the bonus together with the calculation to divide the ODD in a virtual way.

We take into account a stake of 100 euros, as follows:

Original ODD:
Turin 2.0
Man City 1.35
Liverpool 1.35
+5% bonus

Total: 3,645 + 5% totaling 3,827

How do I split with betfair in this case? Going into Lay, let's say leg 1 and leg 2 of the treble hit, so the lay on betfair was lost.

And in the third leg of the treble Liverpool lost and we won on betfair.

The following doubts:

1) How to split the stake in this format?

2) How can we gain value if we don't have the account bonus?

3) How are you doing to find the value bet? I tried manually but I couldn't in a simple way, I used Surebets in the past.

Again, I really appreciate the whole community
macola
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Re: Isn't the arb game dead?

Mon Jul 11, 2022 2:36 am

willprigol wrote:
Thu Jun 30, 2022 10:41 pm
Hello guys!

First I would like to thank @Yngwie, @VidaBlue, @Alfa1234 and everyone else involved.

I have many accounts still valid, both at Bet365, as well as at Marathon, WilliamHills and a few other houses.

I understood the method of a triple with bonus, but I didn't understand if you add the bonus together with the calculation to divide the ODD in a virtual way.

We take into account a stake of 100 euros, as follows:

Original ODD:
Turin 2.0
Man City 1.35
Liverpool 1.35
+5% bonus

Total: 3,645 + 5% totaling 3,827

How do I split with betfair in this case? Going into Lay, let's say leg 1 and leg 2 of the treble hit, so the lay on betfair was lost.

And in the third leg of the treble Liverpool lost and we won on betfair.

The following doubts:

1) How to split the stake in this format?

2) How can we gain value if we don't have the account bonus?

3) How are you doing to find the value bet? I tried manually but I couldn't in a simple way, I used Surebets in the past.

Again, I really appreciate the whole community
Keep reading forum, these situations are well described in similar threads.
barnstorm
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Re: Isn't the arb game dead?

Wed Jan 04, 2023 7:43 pm

I'd really like to understand this, but as much as I've read this whole thread at least 2-3 times, I don't get it.

"Could someone explain this to me like you are explaining it to a 12 year old?" (Famous line from a movie.)

I understand basic arbing, and made a nice chunk a few years ago, before Books caught up to me, but I'm not groking this parlay arb gold mine. Is it still working?

Thanks!
ray mansi
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Re: Isn't the arb game dead?

Tue Oct 03, 2023 8:03 pm

dealer wins wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 7:17 pm
We are all here because we make money betting, arbing, trading, value betting etc

I have been doing this 17 years, and for the last 10 cleared at least 50k a year.

Im very happy, very grateful for the wonderful opportunity arbing has given me after having to leave my full time job back then due to severe illness.

Love the community, forums etc that encompass arbing, they are vital for the info on good and bad books, agents, services etc, and always try to click through arbusers when using a new service.

I cant share my specific betting method as it would ruin it overnight, but I wish everyone a successful career beating bookies and I have enjoyed every day betting.
i been reading your posts and am i right your one win is about 0,8 % yield profit? i find this difficult in tennis market as some matches dont start right time and odds jump sometimesi nto wrong direction
Martina N
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Re: Isn't the arb game dead?

Fri Jan 12, 2024 9:26 am

Could someone explain the parlay arbitrage in a step by step process. I find very difficult to understand the change of odds from one game to the other.
Thank you.
jagas
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Re: Isn't the arb game dead?

Fri Jan 12, 2024 1:44 pm

Not sure that would work.

keep in mind serious odd change before event start
campeones
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Re: Isn't the arb game dead?

Sat Jan 13, 2024 11:46 am

jagas wrote:
Fri Jan 12, 2024 1:44 pm
Not sure that would work.

Actually it works well. I just find it very time consuming to post a step by step process. And the way these people described this technique is not the best one, and easy to understand. You need to test on paper first but is surely works.
Rocky
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Re: Isn't the arb game dead?

Tue Jan 23, 2024 11:17 am

dealer wins wrote:
Mon Sep 14, 2020 10:51 pm
Pre-Match arbing still giving me exactly the same returns as 10 years ago.  And this is using solely Pinnacle, Betfair, Matchbook and Betdaq as I am banned from every sportsbook.

I enjoyed the 4 month lockdown, a really nice long battery recharge.  But betting is back full time again now, and still the same return for me.
even in 2024?
Dober
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Re: Isn't the arb game dead?

Thu Jan 25, 2024 5:45 am

jagas wrote:
Fri Jan 12, 2024 1:44 pm
Not sure that would work.

keep in mind serious odd change before event start

The system works very well. Let me add some parameters.
To avoid a big odds move before the event you must stay away from unstable markets and use only the top leagues (EPL, Seria A, Bundesliga, etc). The fluctuation of odds is smaller in these leagues because pretty much everyone is watching.
On the other hand if your experience is big you could add smaller leagues with bigger price fluctuation. Some times the odds will work for you or sometimes the odds will go against you.
Personally I see no reason to go for the smaller leagues and mathematically there is nothing to support it because the odds you select after the 1st game are imaginary. You can change them according to your wish provided that the overall odds of the 3 events remain the same. Also going to lower leagues might cause inspection of your account from the bookmakers.
I must say this is an eye opening thread and even though the title is Isn't the arb game dead, in the end it proves that arbing is pretty much alive.

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