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predicting odds that will drop

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christianj
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Re: predicting odds that will drop

Mon Sep 17, 2018 11:23 am

TheJog87 wrote: Trend traders have always used among other things tipsters effective in dropping odds..., about opening a great position in a softbook, with the aim of moving the line and then not sell it manually (I mean without their software), in this book or another, but using the software of the same book, I guess the limitation will come more or less fast depending on your success.
Maybe is a more lucrative way of income than others, while the limits come. We will have to manage some account and compare its viability against pure arbitrage, and another ways...  It's interesting.

i do not think limitation would be a problem if one is good at this, because from my checkings already betfair seems to offer the best odds in all the tips and also dont limit people. The point is to place the bet on betfair and when the odd drops or increases, you gain some percentages.

I have been running this for 2 months now and gaining 2 to 5 percent on each match i was following, lost few times but still on huge profit.

dont think limits will come since it is only on betfair
TheJog87
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Re: predicting odds that will drop

Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:13 pm

Yes, of course with Betfair no problem. Sorry I mean to the mentioned by 1xbett about cashout at Bet365. 
thorocska
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Re: predicting odds that will drop

Tue Sep 18, 2018 12:10 pm

christianj wrote:
TheJog87 wrote: Trend traders have always used among other things tipsters effective in dropping odds..., about opening a great position in a softbook, with the aim of moving the line and then not sell it manually (I mean without their software), in this book or another, but using the software of the same book, I guess the limitation will come more or less fast depending on your success.
Maybe is a more lucrative way of income than others, while the limits come. We will have to manage some account and compare its viability against pure arbitrage, and another ways...  It's interesting.

i do not think limitation would be a problem if one is good at this, because from my checkings already betfair seems to offer the best odds in all the tips and also dont limit people. The point is to place the bet on betfair and when the odd drops or increases, you gain some percentages.

I have been running this for 2 months now and gaining 2 to 5 percent on each match i was following, lost few times but still on huge profit.

dont think limits will come since it is only on betfair
Please advise some tipster.
christianj
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Re: predicting odds that will drop

Tue Sep 18, 2018 2:14 pm

i use odd monkey, they are not completely tipsters but most of the matches they ask you to back usually have odds movement before the match starts
thorocska
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Re: predicting odds that will drop

Wed Sep 19, 2018 7:18 am

christianj wrote: i use odd monkey, they are not completely tipsters but most of the matches they ask you to back usually have odds movement before the match starts
I thought they provide only matched betting finder solution. This used to cover free bets, bonuses at betfair.
You say they ask to back.
So are they provides daily selections in addtion to the hundreds of matched betting selections that their automated software provides?
arbetour
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Re: predicting odds that will drop

Wed Sep 19, 2018 5:32 pm

thorocska wrote:
christianj wrote: i use odd monkey, they are not completely tipsters but most of the matches they ask you to back usually have odds movement before the match starts
I thought they provide only matched betting finder solution. This used to cover free bets, bonuses at betfair.
You say they ask to back.
So are they provides daily selections in addtion to the hundreds of matched betting selections that their automated software provides?
No, he's talking rubbish.
christianj
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Re: predicting odds that will drop

Wed Sep 19, 2018 9:11 pm

thorocska wrote:
christianj wrote: i use odd monkey, they are not completely tipsters but most of the matches they ask you to back usually have odds movement before the match starts
I thought they provide only matched betting finder solution. This used to cover free bets, bonuses at betfair.
You say they ask to back.
So are they provides daily selections in addtion to the hundreds of matched betting selections that their automated software provides?

normally i would choose to ignore but just to explain better. Oddmonkey are not tipsters but they can be used as one if you know how. most of the matches they ask you to back, you will find them as tips in some tipsters website.

for example today, i was looking at 3 selections, and one of them includes san jose vs earthquake, when i was looking at it at oddmonkey website, the odd was at 1.83 in betfair for Earthquake not to win and i placed the bet. Now the odd is 1.72 and hopefully will drop more but i dont care because i cashed out already.

my point is this, oddmonkey is not a tipster but some matches that they post up for people to use to hunt their bonus are good at having odds changes. So in actual sense you can use them as tips.

sorry if you dont understand after this. But look at them and study it compared with betfair, you might.
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Re: predicting odds that will drop

Thu Sep 20, 2018 9:39 am

If I understand what you’re saying, to me it seems you’re running your luck. Following tipsters that are known to move odds and be faster than others would be a safer strategy, but it will have your accounts limited in no time. The only viable strategy long term imho would be what DPG suggested: developing your own expertise, testing it and if it works putting money behind it. Obviously, it’s not for everyone. 
1xbett
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Re: predicting odds that will drop

Thu Sep 20, 2018 10:09 pm

Why is that pushing luck? If you pay account 50e and make on cashout 250e no matter win or lose, isn't that good strategy?

Considering beating bookies on my own, It never worked for me on betting and value betting. As I worked in industry, I simply know that they already know almost all information on which we think we might gain the edge. Yes, I understand that this "almost" is crucial.
Softbooks are easy to beat even with basic knowledge but I often have problems with locks and delaying payouts.
Considering bitcoin bookies ,their odds are disastrous and there is none reliable so far. Each had numerous reports of issues and don't have license so it's always bit of risk. Beating them is ok for live cause they react much slower but as I said, there is plenty of fish in the sea= plenty options to make money.
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Re: predicting odds that will drop

Fri Sep 21, 2018 4:42 am

1xbett wrote: As I worked in industry,
Where in the industry?

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