BetBurger | Live and Pre-game surebets

Some Hellas soccer impressions

Is this the new hack of smart gambling?
User avatar
arb12
Totally Pro
Totally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally Pro
Karma: 30
Posts: 1350
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:55 pm

Re: Some Hellas soccer impressions

Sat Sep 28, 2024 5:02 pm

arbusers wrote:
Sat Sep 28, 2024 3:54 pm
PAS is my favourite Greek team, it is a pity these 2 historical teams are playing in the 2nd category. Was wondering what the volumes would be, and if these volumes would allow sufficient trading according to your analysis.
Giannina are pretty OK, indeed,

When I choose to watch similar teams again in this Wonderful division (I mean a Statistically wonderful league, the variance of some observable variable I'm interested in is usually in great internal order and a combination of some unexpected deviation plus "strange" behavior of some players on the pitch, those alert me to choose not to participate), I may choose to write some things again in the Thread.
I miss easy statistical processing teams like Almopos. The AEK B team is good for that at the moment.

About volumes on exchanges, no. But some such as Pinny, Sing and many more are easy to attack.
User avatar
arb12
Totally Pro
Totally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally Pro
Karma: 30
Posts: 1350
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:55 pm

Re: Some Hellas soccer impressions

Fri Oct 04, 2024 2:47 pm

Super League 2 North, PAOK B vs Makedonikos is close to the end right now,

The asynchronous errors regarding the connection between the PAOK B departments on the pitch led to a very effective play by Neapolis and a quick goal scored. Later home team woke up.
After Thessaloniki leveled the score at the end of the 1st half, I quit the market to preserve some things achieved.
The Model didn't trigger very clear further positions till the end of today's game.

I'm impressed why the same typical "wannabe" errors in terms of connection and slow decisions were spotted yesterday in PAOK vs Steaua (FCSB) București, I think SBO had its own opinion yesterday in that match and allowed high-stakes positions and re-bets in the moments when Pinnacle locked some markets yesterday.

Today SBO offered odds, close to true implied probabilities for the correct score 1st Half (close to my ones), but the margin in the SL2 is awful.

So, I think that when observers have an opinion on what is expected in a given market in terms of the most likely outcome, sometimes some soccer-focused agencies may be the quickest to offer the desired implied probabilities, but the big margin problem remains...
User avatar
arbusers
Administrator
AdministratorAdministratorAdministratorAdministratorAdministrator
Contact:
Karma: 655
Posts: 6675
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 4:34 pm

Re: Some Hellas soccer impressions

Fri Oct 04, 2024 2:50 pm

Wondering how a team can play against... itself?
User avatar
arb12
Totally Pro
Totally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally Pro
Karma: 30
Posts: 1350
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:55 pm

Re: Some Hellas soccer impressions

Fri Oct 04, 2024 2:54 pm

Let's just say they don't show the full potential they have in the beginning, it's hard later ( vs. FCSB) or maybe easy (vs. Neapolis).
User avatar
arb12
Totally Pro
Totally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally Pro
Karma: 30
Posts: 1350
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:55 pm

Re: Some Hellas soccer impressions

Sun Oct 27, 2024 3:52 pm

Sometimes Santa Claus comes early.
While Volos' very late goal away vs Panaitolikos yesterday, as well as Panserraikos' win vs AEK Athens, were subject to long-term Logic (I mean probabilistic-backed triggers, followed certain custom-made market curves), I personally wouldn't advise holding current market positions after Yablonsky's goal for Tripolis vs Olympiakos, scored a few minutes ago...
User avatar
arb12
Totally Pro
Totally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally Pro
Karma: 30
Posts: 1350
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:55 pm

Re: Some Hellas soccer impressions

Sun Oct 27, 2024 5:08 pm

Addendum:

Asteras vs Piraeus ended a few minutes ago,
I personally decided to hedge the assigned current aggregate positions before the second half and it was not the best short-term decision on my part (at least 8 dangerous attacks tried to damage the current AH in the second half).
In the long run, however, this is more than good.

Your moves today?
User avatar
arb12
Totally Pro
Totally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally Pro
Karma: 30
Posts: 1350
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:55 pm

Re: Some Hellas soccer impressions

Sat Dec 07, 2024 12:30 pm

youtube.com/watch?v=4IeESfGQX-4

Despite the bad weather, the play on the pitch is very good right now in my opinion;
It's a shame that there are low limits here, offered by Pinnacle and others.
User avatar
arb12
Totally Pro
Totally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally Pro
Karma: 30
Posts: 1350
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:55 pm

Re: Some Hellas soccer impressions

Sat Dec 07, 2024 1:02 pm

Addendum: The goal-scoring combination (44th min) held on the right central attacking flank for PAO between #2-#7-#17-#2 was very good, reflecting the momentum.
User avatar
arb12
Totally Pro
Totally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally Pro
Karma: 30
Posts: 1350
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:55 pm

Re: Some Hellas soccer impressions

Sat Dec 07, 2024 2:03 pm

In my humble opinion, both the Asteras Tripolis Ladies & Panathinaikos Ladies demonstrated very intensive and heart-dedicated behavior on the pitch under the rainy conditions today, which would put to shame some spoiled star Men's teams playing at an economical pace in similar conditions.
Well done, Girls!
User avatar
arb12
Totally Pro
Totally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally Pro
Karma: 30
Posts: 1350
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:55 pm

Re: Some Hellas soccer impressions

Fri Dec 20, 2024 2:30 pm

Super League 2 North,
Very disappointed that some traditional info channels did NOT cover Diagoras vs PAOK B live, which ended a few minutes ago, but the secrecy here may be due to a reason.
Never mind, I didn't expect a goal from non-static occasions due to the collision of hard-scoring lately Dia team vs the B team whose last SL2 trend was described as a lowered elevator without any resistance.
I'm currently enjoying the highly intense performance of the Kampaniakos vs PAS match, but after the 55th minute (again, this is a minute forecasted by up-to-date tune-ups one way or another when the PAS team is involved) some strong Triggers firmly insisted on hedging the current positions, happy that Pinny did not escape.
I know I sacrificed the profits from the fourth goal today that just happened, but I'm sure in the long run this decision was better according to the settings...
User avatar
arb12
Totally Pro
Totally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally ProTotally Pro
Karma: 30
Posts: 1350
Joined: Sun Jul 26, 2020 2:55 pm

Re: Some Hellas soccer impressions

Sun Dec 22, 2024 2:54 pm

Which approach to scoring goals is the best?

Attacking interconnections between the players by a high technique at medium speed to operate across the centre in a defenders-filled penalty area, as spotted days ago:

youtube.com/embed/4IeESfGQX-4?start=3355&end=3400

or a high-speed flank attack, spotted a few minutes ago:

youtube.com/embed/a8PCSz7UNis?start=3551&end=3587

Perhaps our four-legged Friends have a jokingly opinion:

youtube.com/embed/a8PCSz7UNis?start=7810&end=7846

Return to “Value betting talk”