I'm sure you'll learn a lot from the material, but please implement it in your way, due to the simple fact, that the theory is applicable in the ideal situation, seldom seen in reality. The theory is like a pre-beta version for real use at the moment you read it. The theory is based upon reality at a given moment, when the Authors created it, but of course, things later change and you have to adapt and build current working model.
Congrats again for your success regarding Volos.
Please, re-read the post I've addressed to you regarding their match vs. PAO. Seems like you're tending to use the "picking the winner" model.
I don't want to cause problems for you. When noticed a huge value in some appearances of that team in the Super League, triggered by my model, I didn't tell you to take a position in their favor every time. That is very, very dangerous behavior. A long successful winning streak, when you enter in every market, when no value in every event, but in there is some value in some events, is probably a lucky deviation.
My goal is not to pick the winner in a given market, but regardin' to The Probability Theory, the probability for a group of events is possible to be estimated much more precisely. Such as weather forecasting, meteorologists based upon statistics processing, successfully "predict" the weather for most of the days (group of events), but they're unable to "predict" accurately 100 percent the weather successfully for a given day or hour interval. The systematic approach is much better for the business.
They've some ground for their success. Let's say their creation (unsuccessful negotiations to merge Olympiacos and Niki in their city), the very valued South Americans hired for almost no money; Abascal's manner of work (talented, but not so experienced, asking for too fast results without counting some specificities regardin' Greek soccer, therefore later results are logic). 4-3-3 not-very-effective implemented attacking style was slightly modified by Bratsos later, van Weert is now more effective, some corrections needed and they're ready for Top 6. That's up to them only.
Often they produced heavy dominance and very good first or second half of the match, but seldom whole match dominance.
The match vs Aris Thessaloniki away - they shotted only 2-3 times (as far as I recall) for the whole match, somewhere in the last 15 mins, unlike traditional behavior for them. Odds over 6, good, but risky.
Vs AEK away - odds over 7 or something, good and I support your spotted value, due to AEK's strugglin' and general problems in the second place battle vs PAOK. Low scoring model lately for them.
Ionikos, not have so much data collected to comment on, but Volos's guns were so inefficient here, very large dominance, only one scored and weak defense. Not to mention that Ionikos almost stop PAO days ago. Tough team.
Lately, VolosNFC triggered some value on some matches when it comes to spread difference market, not 1x2 market. But that's not tested precisely yet!
I don't know about future odds for that team, but the odds compilers, such as Stoiximan/Betano/OPAP related group, the Asian odds makers etc several times gave us a good value so far.
In a very similar way was evolve the Basket team Promitheas Patras, but here odds makers recently almost killed the value on them, unlike Volos soccer team. But sometimes it appears a little value to backing or laying them, such as spread market, in both Eurocup and the domestic Championship. Make your own research on that case.
