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Topics - Arbusers

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1
Stock Markets and Forex / WTI crude oil, a major move underway
« on: December 23, 2017, 05:45:42 PM »
A well designed channel dictated the price of crude oil since July. We are now witnessing an ending  triangle that will force the price to move violently and in the end brake the channel. Unfortunately, at this point it is not obvious which direction will be dominant. If it goes upwards then a target around 76$ will be possible. That could be triggered by a geopolitical event. If it goes down the channel will brake with a first support at 52.5$.
Notice that we observe an uptrend at the end of each year, mainly because of the Winter in the northern hemisphere and because of December that always comes with significant consumption of power for a number of reasons.
2
Announcements / Season's greetings
« on: December 22, 2017, 10:52:04 AM »



Merry Christmas and a happy new year.
3
Arbing and trading talk / Captain's log 2017
« on: December 17, 2017, 03:21:48 PM »


This is the arbusers.com annual review of the sports arbitrage and trading scene for the year 2017.
It is conducted in good will with hope it will contribute to the understanding of these particular fields. We ll try to post a similar review each year so we have a time lapse of the smart gambling scene. We advise that you take a look at the review of the previous year in our forum or youtube channel.
http://arbusers.com/index.php/topic,4609.msg53922.html#msg53922

The use of the word Captain has no intention to imply that I m the chief or the leading character of this community that expands beyond this forum. I encourage all members to post their opinion and thus contribute to this effort.

Now lets examine the main forms of arbitrage and smart gambling and see how they performed during the year.
Pre game arbitrage is decaying. We came to the point where pre game arbitrage is not paying back according to the invested time, intelligence and efforts. It can only be used for educational reasons as a step before jumping to other forms of smart gambling.
Live arbitrage proves to be more resilient and became very popular these last years. Live arbitrage guarantees that bookmaker’s accounts will last more and will offer a better profit/hour outcome than pre-game arbing. Even though we expect bookmakers to adopt more hostile action against live arbitrage traders players, the overall situation shows that live arbitrage has more way to go and more profits to give. We expect live arbitrage to stay alive for some more years.
Value betting is accelerating and more players are jumping in. Software providers are offering many tailor made solutions allowing players to exploit certain bookmakers and markets. Alert services are reacting accordingly. Bots are now taking more action and this trend is irreversible. A key element for bots is the right filtering of markets, odds and bookmakers. It is now clear that classic mathematics that compare the closing lines of sharp bookmakers with higher odds provided by soft bookmakers is a good but not the best way to go. Players using bots, must be based on observation and analysis of markets in order to achieve the best possible performance. Bookmakers and exchanges are still bleeding as they run out of good ideas to tackle bots. We are informed that lavish contracts have been awarded to software providers in order to tackle the use of bots. We expect to see their results in the coming months. As a last line of defence bookmakers could limit and neutralise accounts not allowing them to continue betting. On the other hand it seems that a growing number of players are depended on the use of bots that now became their only source of profits. We urge these players to search for alternative ways of smart gambling before kicked out of business when previous mentioned contracts materialise to results.
The crown of all smart gambling action remains the arbitrage among sharp books only with the use of bots. We invested a lot of time and effort to analyse the performance of several bots. As new players are jumping in this market, the average arb is going down. We estimate that the average arb of 2016 with the use of bots and sharp bookmakers was near 0.18%. For 2017, the average arb is around 0.14% forcing players to place larger bets and search for bigger limits than those provided by sharp bookmakers, in order to maintain the same level of profits. This form of smart gambling is the one that pays a well deserved dividend to the players, who enjoy the fruits of their ingeniousness.
Casino advantage gamblers are also feeling the pressure, as bonuses are getting lower and e-wallets are not a preferred method of depositing.

All exchanges with no exception are looking for ‘’happy losers’’ and ways to make more money by transforming arbers and smart gamblers to long term losers. Their efforts did not materialise to profits during 2017.  On the contrary all parties lost. Exchanges are now expanding to white label products in order to gain some of the lost ground.

The regulation of the markets continues and will continue. During 2017 the Czech market was regulated creating problems to arbers and traders from that country.

E-wallets are becoming more expensive and many players are leaving them, jumping to the cryptocurrency world. E-wallets and payment processors now understand this trend, but their thirst for profit is not allowing them to reduce their margins. Cash will become even more scarce and expensive. Cryptocurrencies, banks and Hawala systems will take more action and reduce the significance of e-wallets. C level managers understood that cryptocurrencies are now stronger than ever, but they fail to understand that Hawala systems are also becoming stronger year by year.
As stated in the previous review, many actors are becoming more greedy, regulating markets and implementing policies and tactics against all players, disguising their insatiable thirst for taxes and profits behind the moral curtains of responsible gambling, tax evasion and avoidance, and money laundering. There is no doubt that this phenomena are present in the gambling world, but putting everyone in the meat grinder is unfair, undermining genuine successful long term actions. Many court decisions during 2017 were against players who used any kind of advantage to beat bookmakers and casinos. We are not happy with this.

This year more players reported that they didn't have a personal best. This is a trend that started in 2016 and now accelerating.

Locusts continue destroying the industry. These are a group of players under the guidance of bigger players attacking to any possible source of profit to suck as more capital as they can in very short time. We now see locusts jumping to the bot industry, attacking very specific bookmakers that in the end will have to react violently in order to protect their interests. As many people are now depending on bots, locusts are bringing the expiration date of many bots closer. We fear that many players will stop business abruptly when a couple of bookmakers tackles bots.

A large part of our previous review was dedicated in the low business ethics of several actors of the industry. We regret to see more actors of the industry adopting unethical tactics and that includes a number of players. We consider that a proportion of profits should be set aside for legal fees.

2017 was another difficult year added in the chain but also it was the year that profits sifted from manual to automatic arbing and trading. Let’s see how long this trend stays alive and what is going to replace it.

I wrote this annual review in good will, hoping that it will contribute to the understanding of this very particular field of arbitrage and smart gambling.

Thank you for reading.
4
Rest Area / WC 2018
« on: December 01, 2017, 08:01:27 PM »
Group A: Russia, Uruguay, Egypt, Saudi Arabia

Group B: Portugal, Spain, Iran, Morocco

Group C: France, Peru, Denmark, Australia

Group D: Argentina, Croatia, Iceland, Nigeria

Group E: Brazil, Switzerland, Costa Rica, Serbia

Group F: Germany, Mexico, Sweden, South Korea

Group G: Belgium, England, Tunisia, Panama

Group H: Poland, Colombia, Senegal, Japan
5
General talk about betting agents / Agents - Brokers
« on: November 27, 2017, 01:32:55 PM »
Those who are using other agents besides the 3 you see in our forum are kindly requested to contact me asap via pm or Skype mentioning the brokers that they currently use. It is on their best interest.
Thank you.
6
Announcements / Arbusers 5000 members
« on: November 20, 2017, 08:55:45 AM »
We met a new milestone today. 5000 members. We feel deeply honoured while we hope that all members will meet their expectations.
Thank you very much for your support and the contribution to the forum.
7
Rest Area / Arbing Austria
« on: October 24, 2017, 11:40:00 PM »
Austria is an arbing friendly country.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arbing
8
General talk about e-wallets / PaySafe fee structure
« on: October 23, 2017, 07:34:27 PM »
As you already know, PaySafe announced a new fee structure coming into force December 14th 2017. To make a long story short, accounts with Silver VIP or higher status will not pay fees, but Bronze accounts will have to carry an additional burden.
In order to avoid these fees, Bronze accounts should become Silver VIP. The key issue is to achieve the threshold set by PaySafe.
You are silk butter arbers and you know that our forum will always offer you the best convenience for your arbing and smart gambling action.

Here is what arbusers forum can do for you:
- For Neteller: You know that accounts referred by arbusers are getting the Silver VIP status upon registration. All you have to do is use our Neteller banners to register your account. It can't be more simple than that. If you face delays or issues, you can always contact us via pm or Skype and your issue will be forwarded to our manager with the highest priority.
- For Skrill: Accounts referred by arbuses are getting a Silver VIP level after transacting 12k to bookmakers. A number of members requested a lower threshold than this in order to be granted the Silver VIP level faster. We are working on it together with PaySafe and we will come with the lowest threshold in the industry. You will be informed as soon as we have news.

For now and until December 14th, here is what we can do for you: http://arbusers.com/index.php/topic,2200.0.html
http://arbusers.com/index.php/topic,2219.0.html

Once again, I have to stress that what we say is what is currently valid.

Now, in order to have a better picture of your demands, I would like you guys to suggest the optimum threshold for your activities, taking into account that this can't be 0 or close to 0.
I would appreciate your contribution here.
Thank you.
9
Announcements / Read carefully
« on: October 23, 2017, 10:55:46 AM »
Firstly, on behalf of the team who has worked to deliver the arbusers forum, I extend to you a very warm ‘’thank you’’ for being here. We are particularly grateful to the members that stood with us from the very start of the forum back in 2010, not to mention the comrades from the older forum and websites since 2003. We believe this forum’s contribution to the smart gambling community is immense according to the feedback that we receive from our members.
The forum is fully committed to the duties of good corporate ethos, complying with all applicable laws, paying taxes and supporting many organisations and individuals in the metropolitan areas where we live and work.
In order to achieve this corporate ethos, we requested multidisciplinary guidance from a number of experts. The results of this guidance reflects on our daily contact with our members and is summarised in the registration agreement and the terms and conditions that constitute the relationship between the forum and all members who access it after signing and accepting them electronically upon registration on the forum.
We believe that some unintended deviations might occur in the day-to-day operation of the forum. However, we regret to inform you that lately we observed several cases of misuse and abuse of the forum. These cases went far to extortion, blackmail and defamation.
We actively keep a record of our communications, together with all collected data as described in our registration agreement and our Terms and Conditions and we take all appropriate measures to defend our selves as human beings, and the forum as an entity.
Seen through this prism, we would like you to mind the registration agreement and the Terms and Conditions of the forum. We also kindly ask you to report any case of misuse or abuse of the forum as it is a product of common intellect and belongs to those who contribute to it.

Thank you very much for being here,
The arbusers team
10
Should we add a new board for Bitcoin bookmakers only?
Thank you.
11
Rest Area / The Life of a Professional Gambler
« on: September 14, 2017, 04:05:42 AM »
12
Great News - All Skrill and Neteller members who are Silver or higher VIP level no longer pay Send Money fee for transfers to other members.
It was about time.
All you have to do, is get the Silver VIP status for your account and our forum offers the fastest way for this. Read more herel and herel.
If you are Bronze VIP at Skrill or Neteller, you will pay 1% of the transaction amount capped at 10 Euros. Non-VIP members will pay 1.9% of the transaction amount capped at 20 EUR at Skrill and  20 USD at Neteller.
It would be relevant to mention that Skrill and Neteller is following the paradigm of their competitors where p2p  transfer fee was eliminated a long time ago.
13
Could someone suggest the fastest live score service specialising in South American Basketball leagues and tennis tournaments?
I m looking for something much faster than livescore.com
Thank you.
14
Bookies discussion / Doxxbet ceasing operations
« on: July 27, 2017, 11:35:51 AM »
Doxxbet announced their cease of operations as of August 1st, 2017. Players should access their sportsbook accounts to withdraw their funds.
Doxxbet is considered to be a victim of regulations in Czech Republic and most recently Slovakia. I think I will miss them since they offered some good arbitrage action in the first years of operation. I m looking forward to see if people behind Doxx will move offshore or what ever their plans are.
15
Arbing and trading talk / Irregular arbitrage periods
« on: June 21, 2017, 04:54:03 PM »
For many years now I notice some irregular arbitrage periods during the season. During these periods, alert services are considered having poor performance and many of our members are complaining, experiencing low profitability and less arbitrage action, feeling that their time in front of the pc is hard. These are the periods when many arbers decide to try a 2nd or 3rd alert service that might work supplementary to the main one.
What are these periods?
1. Middle to end of October, some times extending to November.
2. End of February, beginning of March. This period might start when some championships start again after the winter break and might also coincide with the March Madness bonus period that was considered to be an excellent betting tradition of the past.
3. There is a 3rd period that affects value betting and not arbitrage. Arbitrage works perfectly but not value betting. Read some more about the end of season effect here: http://arbusers.com/index.php/topic,4303.msg49619.html#msg49619

I discussed many times with very experienced players about periods 1 and 2, but we didn't manage to find a solid explanation. The 3rd period is something that needs to be further discovered.
Any views and opinions will be much appreciated.
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