Live Arbs - a nightmare

Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Live Arbs - a nightmare  (Read 2693 times)
Arboman
Newbie
*

Karma: -4
Posts: 48


View Profile

Arboman

Live Arbs - a nightmare
« on: April 15, 2015, 02:10:36 AM »

Hi,

I feel comfortable with the pre-match arbs and I wanted to try arbing live. The few times I tried soccer I got burned even though I was literally placing the bets in a few seconds. I tired basketball and even though the price was in my favor in a second it was at break-even and then in the negative. What sports are friendly for beginners? Odds change so fast I have no idea how people manage this style of trading. Any advice is appreciated.
Logged
Arbusers
Administrator
Pro
*****

Karma: 316
Posts: 2763



View Profile WWW

Arbusers

Re: Live Arbs - a nightmare
« Reply #1 on: April 15, 2015, 07:19:49 AM »

IMO, Tennis, basketball, football, with this order.
Live arming requires nerves and tricks.
Logged
raizzak
Pro
*****

Karma: 30
Posts: 688


View Profile

raizzak

Re: Live Arbs - a nightmare
« Reply #2 on: April 15, 2015, 08:44:53 AM »

i guess it depends on personal taste for me it is exactly the opposite from easier to more difficult soccer=hockey>basketball>tennis
Logged

Don't speak for something you have no clue.
Cash
Newbie
*

Karma: -8
Posts: 65


View Profile

Cash

Re: Live Arbs - a nightmare
« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2015, 07:08:05 AM »

IMO, Tennis, basketball, football, with this order.
Live arming requires nerves and tricks.

Tricks?
Logged
MUCHBET
Probably a Pro
****

Karma: 46
Posts: 452


View Profile

MUCHBET

Re: Live Arbs - a nightmare
« Reply #4 on: April 21, 2015, 07:43:07 AM »

...and much luck not placing bets in "pending times" resulting in goals and total loss of stakes
Logged
raizzak
Pro
*****

Karma: 30
Posts: 688


View Profile

raizzak

Re: Live Arbs - a nightmare
« Reply #5 on: April 21, 2015, 05:39:22 PM »

...and much luck not placing bets in "pending times" resulting in goals and total loss of stakes

Well that's not exactly accurate. But i understand the concern especially for ppl with small bankrolls, i will try to prove it wrong

Let's assume that on every soccer match the avg number of goals are 4 (which is obviously very high) it means that a goal happens at every 90/4=22.5 minutes  which is 22.5 *60 = 1350 seconds. I believe that we can agree that avg waiting time is not more than a minute (i believe it is even less but let's assume)

The chance of happening a goal at those 60 secs is (60/1350)*100 = 4.44%

Let's say that every arb we do at live is giving you 3 euros at every 100e sum that's translate at odds (for simplicity) 2 vs 2.13 so to get 100 the one leg is 50 and the other is 47

For this example we assume that  everytime the 50 euro bet will lose so with 4.44*50 = 222 euro lost per 100 bets and you will earn 95.56*3=286.38 per 100 bets

Even with those outrageous assumptions (maybe few of leagues have 4 avg goals) you will earn money even with danger zone
Logged

Don't speak for something you have no clue.
Pages: [1]
Print