You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)

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Author Topic: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)  (Read 4324 times)
Yngwie/Sawyer
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Lots of GARGANTUAN favourites tomorrow! Can be used as parlay material in order to bypass max bet limit!
Not to mention, you increase the % of your arb by adding a super favourite!

You want to arb Kapfenberg-Zepter Vienna game. Kapfenberg 1,50 at softbook and Zepter is 3,85 at Pinnacle. That's a fantastic arb with a value of %7.94. Unfortunately, your bookie don't let you bet above 250€ on Kapf.

However, parlay (combo) bet limit is much higher and you can bet much as 1000-2000 without problem. But which game you will add? You add Germany U21 @ 1,01 to your parlay ticket. Now, you have Germany+Kapf 1,515! You got a %8.72 arb now!

Of course, if Kapf wins and Germany fails to win; you're f*cked up..but if Zepter wins, Germany bet is out of play. You won already.

There's no free money in today's world. However, International games are a different animal. Unlike club games, there's a serious class and skill difference between teams. San Marino can't beat England. Andorra can't beat Holland. It's a fact.



So these super favourites can be used to boost arb value and bypass maximum bet limit. Many games tomorrow..

Slovenia U19 1.02 vs Andorra.
Germany U21 1.01 vs Faroe Islands.
Ukraine 1.01 vs San Marino..

Portugal, Greece, Hungary and Denmark are also big favourites, but priced a little bit higher 1.03-1.04 usually.

These favourites may be super strong versus their opponents but still, don't forget to make your search/homework. Good luck!

« Last Edit: October 14, 2013, 07:10:21 PM by Yngwie/Sawyer » Logged

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Buddha
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Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2013, 08:55:08 PM »

Emrecan, remember what happened to you on the past?  ;D
http://arbusers.com/index.php/topic,1294.0.html

Quote
I was arbing Seattle Seahawks-Chicago Bears (NFL) game. In order to overcome maximum bet limit problem, I parlayed Seattle with a 1,01 handball favourite; Savehof. I picked Savehof Double Chance in order to make my bet more banker, more safe. Guess what? Savehof lost outright!
Lost 931€ total.


I wouldn't do that, surely not without covering the 1.01 bet as well! Sure, you will win most of the time, but how many times have we seen 1.01 odds not win? Hell, if you trade horse races you might have seen 1.01, 1.02, 1.03 in-play not even finish the race!
On the other side, I doubt most bookmakers would give you much bigger limits because you add a 1.01 odd.
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ami5
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ami5

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2013, 09:00:55 PM »

Often you can bet 1000@odds 1.1 and 10 euros on odds 10
« Last Edit: October 14, 2013, 09:02:50 PM by ami5 » Logged
cristi13
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cristi13

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2013, 12:03:29 AM »

On that Germany match if their true winrate is under 91% your whole arb becomes negative. You probably need at least 95% to make it worth. I'm sticking with the 250€ bet.
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Yngwie/Sawyer
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Yngwie/Sawyer

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2013, 05:13:23 AM »

Emrecan, remember what happened to you on the past?  ;D
http://arbusers.com/index.php/topic,1294.0.html

I wouldn't do that, surely not without covering the 1.01 bet as well! Sure, you will win most of the time, but how many times have we seen 1.01 odds not win? Hell, if you trade horse races you might have seen 1.01, 1.02, 1.03 in-play not even finish the race!
On the other side, I doubt most bookmakers would give you much bigger limits because you add a 1.01 odd.


Your memory is impressive :D

Don't compare apples with water melons with apples. 1.01 in handball and horse racing are not realistic. 1,01 in Handball is not same as 1,01 with England +0,50 vs San Marino. As I mentioned in thread, we can't compare International games with other sports/leagues. There's a serious class difference between teaams. As I mentioned, you must pick only gargantuan favourites such as Germany vs Faroe and England (or Ukraine) vs San Marino etc :D

Anything can misfire, even if it's 1,01 but Brazil-Solomon Islands or England-San Marino? Hell, no! :D

Handball sucks..specially women handball :D

PS: Don't do it in tennis too. Even Ace players like Fed, Nadal can lose as 1,01 favourite.
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Yngwie/Sawyer
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Yngwie/Sawyer

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2013, 05:14:41 AM »

On that Germany match if their true winrate is under 91% your whole arb becomes negative. You probably need at least 95% to make it worth. I'm sticking with the 250€ bet.

You don't think Germany's win chance is %95, right?
Germany's chance to win is %101 mathematically :D
It's Faroe Islands after all, lol. (Kidding)
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djordjeno
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djordjeno

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2013, 09:18:23 AM »

@Yngwie/Sawyer

If you have strong arb  at first match on coupon (which is main reason for making coupon), then it is highly recommended also to cover match 1.01 (laying at 1.02, 1.03...). Even if it isn't arb.
You will loss 20 euros for 1000e stake, and have no worry at all. Of course in case that there is time difference between match #1 and match #2.


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fnatic91
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fnatic91

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2013, 09:29:11 AM »

If Germany does not win against Faore Islands , it's a shame and i am sure that all players would refuse to play football again.
Don't get in troubles with 'shitty' sports  ,and especially with women like sawyer said.
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sportoboy
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Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2013, 05:10:31 PM »

On that Germany match if their true winrate is under 91% your whole arb becomes negative. You probably need at least 95% to make it worth. I'm sticking with the 250€ bet.

You don't think Germany's win chance is %95, right?
Germany's chance to win is %101 mathematically :D
It's Faroe Islands after all, lol. (Kidding)

Germany U21 - Faroe Islands U21 0-1, 11th minute  ;D

Of course the Germans will probably turn the match around, but there is no such thing in sports as 100% sure
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fnatic91
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fnatic91

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2013, 05:24:17 PM »

On that Germany match if their true winrate is under 91% your whole arb becomes negative. You probably need at least 95% to make it worth. I'm sticking with the 250€ bet.

You don't think Germany's win chance is %95, right?
Germany's chance to win is %101 mathematically :D
It's Faroe Islands after all, lol. (Kidding)

Germany U21 - Faroe Islands U21 0-1, 11th minute  ;D

Of course the Germans will probably turn the match around, but there is no such thing in sports as 100% sure

such a shame conceding goal at your home by a fishermen team..
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Fabrizio
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Fabrizio

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2013, 05:30:02 PM »

Seriously give this kind of advice when we claim to be a professionnal handicapper is totally funny.
Bet big amount ond odd 1.01 or this kind of odd it's really the worst advice to give to people.
Just imagine if one newbies was follow you with germany and if they lost today or even draw
« Last Edit: October 15, 2013, 05:32:13 PM by Fabrizio » Logged
Buddha
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Buddha

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2013, 05:32:18 PM »

35th minute and score is 0-1  :o
Even if Germany manages to turn it around, this kind of arbing/betting is not worth the stress!
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Fabrizio
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Fabrizio

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2013, 05:35:53 PM »

The best advice to give in this kind of situation it's :

to wait this kind of event to happen ( a big team  who are loosing against a wekaer one) and now you can bet on them with bigger odd
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Buddha
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Buddha

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2013, 05:39:03 PM »

The best advice to give in this kind of situation it's :

to wait this kind of event to happen ( a big team  who are loosing against a wekaer one) and now you can bet on them with bigger odd
1-1 now. It was odd 1.25 when the game was 0-1  ;)
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sportoboy
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sportoboy

Re: You should not have any LIMIT problems tomorrow! (Tuesday 10/14)
« Reply #14 on: October 15, 2013, 05:56:49 PM »

c'mon guys he was talking about the full international not the u21's

No, he was talking about the U21's. Check the first post of the thread.
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