Don't even try searching for fixing proofs by watching the game, you won't notice anything, unless they are really incredibly stupid.
Croatia Sesvete players explained it in documentary about their scandal - "You couldn't see anything weird, we just didn't go 100% and that was enough."
Software: suspicious game activities
- arctrading
- Has experience
- Karma: 18
Post
Re: Software: suspicious game activities
Most companies who use OSINT methods(like Sportradar) involve match footage in their research. If you know what to look for, then shouldnt be a problem to spot those suspicious plays either from referees or players.Mtipster wrote: Don't even try searching for fixing proofs by watching the game, you won't notice anything, unless they are really incredibly stupid.
Croatia Sesvete players explained it in documentary about their scandal - "You couldn't see anything weird, we just didn't go 100% and that was enough."
- Tonton
- Gaining experience
- Karma: 1
Post
Gradually I started taking notes for some games/leagues exactly as you described. The most precious feature of the exchange is the Volume traded/placed. You can't hide it if you want to place a huge/fixed bet. It is happening every single day - some Turkish super leagues games are like pre-scribed scenarios. The other day even the Austrian Bundesliga - Klagenfurt - Salzburg game was suspicious for me, after 2 goals lead. All the shenanigans are happening In-play - there is the crux. You have to monitor the action/prices/volumes and will see it.
It is in plain sight - another real example from Greece super league2 from 22.04: Iraklis - Aiolikos. Everything seems to have been pretty normal up to the 80 minute of the game - wasn't watching it just accidently saw the amount asked lay at 1.5-1.53 for Draw, it got my interest. Someone started putting money, I mean disproportionally amount to the total amount in the match - around 8-9K GBP as I recall. Still nothing, but then the match/market was suspended, it may have been some VAR/other situation. Suspension was lifted and boom - the money were still there. Usually when your bet is in danger - you cancel it. But someone wanted it so bad! They got matched gradually (and in full) and 2 minutes later - voila - you have a penalty kick.
There are no guarnatees in life/games, even fixed ones. The penalty may have been missed, VAR overruling the situation etc, so this type of situations are not 100% certain. We don't know other peoples intentions, but still - follow the money and you will find incentives/intentions.
You don't need something special, to quote Yogi Berra: "You can observe a lot by just watching"
Re: Software: suspicious game activities
In the past 5 months had to do some arbing between BF and other bookies - even pinnacle. You don't need some fancy expensive software. There are plenty pretty reliable official solutions to you problem, automated programs/bots which can be programmed to do exactly what you want. You just make the correct trigger/triggers and will be able to se exactly what you want. Betangel/Marketfeeder are such, you can check them all the official Bf site.
Gradually I started taking notes for some games/leagues exactly as you described. The most precious feature of the exchange is the Volume traded/placed. You can't hide it if you want to place a huge/fixed bet. It is happening every single day - some Turkish super leagues games are like pre-scribed scenarios. The other day even the Austrian Bundesliga - Klagenfurt - Salzburg game was suspicious for me, after 2 goals lead. All the shenanigans are happening In-play - there is the crux. You have to monitor the action/prices/volumes and will see it.
It is in plain sight - another real example from Greece super league2 from 22.04: Iraklis - Aiolikos. Everything seems to have been pretty normal up to the 80 minute of the game - wasn't watching it just accidently saw the amount asked lay at 1.5-1.53 for Draw, it got my interest. Someone started putting money, I mean disproportionally amount to the total amount in the match - around 8-9K GBP as I recall. Still nothing, but then the match/market was suspended, it may have been some VAR/other situation. Suspension was lifted and boom - the money were still there. Usually when your bet is in danger - you cancel it. But someone wanted it so bad! They got matched gradually (and in full) and 2 minutes later - voila - you have a penalty kick.
There are no guarnatees in life/games, even fixed ones. The penalty may have been missed, VAR overruling the situation etc, so this type of situations are not 100% certain. We don't know other peoples intentions, but still - follow the money and you will find incentives/intentions.
You don't need something special, to quote Yogi Berra: "You can observe a lot by just watching"
- schollionär
- Gaining experience
- Karma: 2
Post
Re: Software: suspicious game activities
A few quick thoughts.
1) Thank you for sharing your thoughts
2) There is definitely some truth in what you describe
3) But not everything that looks like a pattern is one
4) Sure you need to observe, but you also need to know what to observe.
1) Thank you for sharing your thoughts
2) There is definitely some truth in what you describe
3) But not everything that looks like a pattern is one
4) Sure you need to observe, but you also need to know what to observe.
- kustef
- To become a Pro
- Karma: 26
Post
Re: Software: suspicious game activities
Do research (name of referees, lineups ) take data (betfair and pinnacle odds movements) and make notes and evidence of your bets. Do this and always try to bet at local bookmakers best odds. honestly, i dont follow the big leagues mentioned (turkish and austria top leagues) i look for lower division games.