A member of our forum asked for a poll like this. Feel free justifying and commenting on your (and other's) vote.
For the record...I just took a look in a number of bookmakers and the average YES is 1.60, while NO is 2.80. NO odds slide rapidly while YES goes up the hill. Will be watching all day about this.
For those who enjoy cross market arbs, I suggest you don't combine the bet on the referendum with any bet on the EUR/USD rate. these last days the rate is stuck on 1.11 showing that a ''magic hand'' is bleeding a lot of money to keep it like this.
Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
- arbusers
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Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
Last edited by arbusers on Sat Jul 04, 2015 10:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
- straili
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
I could never imagine a cross arb like this.Arbusers wrote: For those who enjoy cross market arbs, I suggest you don't combine the bet on the referendum with any bet on the EUR/USD rate.
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
I could never imagine a post like this. Old timers like yourself should have more vivid imagination.straili wrote: I could never imagine a cross arb like this.
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The first document is entitled “Reforms For The Completion Of The Current Program And Beyond” and the second “Preliminary Debt Sustainability Analysis.”
Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
“Should the plan of agreement, which was submitted by the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund in the Eurogroup of 25.06.2015 and is comprised of two parts that constitute their unified proposal be accepted?PacMan wrote: Can you also post the question from the referendum.
The first document is entitled “Reforms For The Completion Of The Current Program And Beyond” and the second “Preliminary Debt Sustainability Analysis.”
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
This morning the odds on YES went down to an average of 1.45. However, these are not in accordance to the feedback that i get, nor the votes of arbusers members.
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
In my humble opinion Bitcoin prices show the way as in Cyprus's case. And BTCEUR rises in the critical moments since the referendum announcement including today.
In the political aspect i believe a 55/45 result in favor of any outcome does not give any momentum to either side.
Seeing a narrow win of NO and more troubles for a troubled economy.
In the political aspect i believe a 55/45 result in favor of any outcome does not give any momentum to either side.
Seeing a narrow win of NO and more troubles for a troubled economy.
Last edited by stevie on Sun Jul 05, 2015 6:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
Let me disagree here. A 50.1/49.9 result will have real consequences no matter who wins.stevie wrote: In the political aspect i believe a 55/45 result in favor of any outcome does not give any momentum to either side.
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
I don't see us disagreeing as momentum and consequences are different. In fact i strongly agree on consequences. If only i had bought more BTCs when i had the option...
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
Bitcoin rallied with the Cypriot bail in. This is a trick to be noticed when the EU attacks the next victim.stevie wrote: I don't see us disagreeing as momentum and consequences are different. In fact i strongly agree on consequences. If only i had bought more BTCs when i had the option...
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
@stevie,
This website kept a very pro YES attitude all these days. Provided that the credibility of almost all Greek mass media bottomed these last years, I wouldn't pay attention at any gallup. Also, I m more than sure that the exit polls will not provide a real picture of the final outcome.
We might see rabbits coming out of the hats, not to mention black swans that are all over the place now.
This website kept a very pro YES attitude all these days. Provided that the credibility of almost all Greek mass media bottomed these last years, I wouldn't pay attention at any gallup. Also, I m more than sure that the exit polls will not provide a real picture of the final outcome.
We might see rabbits coming out of the hats, not to mention black swans that are all over the place now.
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
I 'd say ''Good luck Europe''. No question about it Greece will face an Armageddon no matter what the outcome of the referendum will be, but, a NO vote will be the beginning of the end for the Euro. It will show that Eurozone membership is ''a la carte''.f164 wrote: Good luck Greece.
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
For the time being yes.
Last edited by arbusers on Sun Jul 05, 2015 12:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
- GrayFox
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Re: Vote YES or NO in the Greek referendum
I 'd say ''Good luck Europe''.
[/quote]
I have to agree here.
i was pessimistic in the beginning seeing all this mass war from media & the resurrection of previous politician`s corps voting for a YES.
Plus the bookies still has almost for sure the Yes.
But from friday i think some things changed.
Lets hope for a solution that will change the concept of Europe & will bring no more problems in Greece.
[/quote]
I have to agree here.
i was pessimistic in the beginning seeing all this mass war from media & the resurrection of previous politician`s corps voting for a YES.
Plus the bookies still has almost for sure the Yes.
But from friday i think some things changed.
Lets hope for a solution that will change the concept of Europe & will bring no more problems in Greece.