Been a long time since I've done this maths, but is it not closer to 0.0092, 1 in 108? Potentially I am misunderstanding the yield, but either way still under 1%.lukaszs wrote: What is average odds? I assume something arround 2.0 (I saw your thread in tipster section). If you used level staking, 3500 bets, average odds 2 with yield 4,4% that would mean p-value metrics is 0,004 and there would be 1:267 probability that profit comes because of luck factor. So yeah..nice numbers
Edit: sorry, one tailed test, 0.0046