Arbusers

marko kostic wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 03, 2022 5:20 am

neopas wrote: ↑

Thu Jun 02, 2022 10:38 am

I placed 48 manual bets per day, and 443 automatic bets per day with a single profile.
Am I good?

443 automatic? How do you even get this number and not get limited. Wow, nice work!

Thank you mate, and sorry for the late reply, it got lost among other posts.
Most of my automatic bets are live game, not pre-game. Bookmakers are not good to find out what is going on in live betting and I am able not to be spotted. Also, my average bets are low and I am not provoking them. But day after day volumes and profits accumulate. I know I could make even more, but I prefer a steady flow of profits in the long run, than something big now with no tomorrow.

I believe that when it comes to the pure cold trading approaches, initialized by the Technical analysis only, the more positions, backed by the proven +EV, are much more worthwhile for the balance. For instance, in British horse racing or cricket games, if managed only that way, you only need to monitor the conditions that influenced the positive expected value over the chosen time interval.

On the other hand, imagine that the deeper knowledge is evolved and the player switches to the expert level in several kinds of sports. The quality sporting analysis in my view is almost impossible to be automated in a satisfactory way, and therefore the market positions are much less but they contain bigger + EV.
For instance, how is the picture change, if a new skilled bowler enters a cricket ground, a different pitcher in baseball, or a coach decision to replace defenders with different characteristics in a soccer match? Imagine several tens of characteristics, needed to build proper estimation regarding the next appearance of Franny Norton or Frankie Dettori. What is the probability Frankie Dettori to win, riding Indie Angel in Ascot, priced at odds of 23, or yesterday's racing priced at 5.5 EU odds in Epsom, riding Magellan? And Franny Norton's probability to win in Wolverhampton with Party Rebel, priced at odds of 41?

Among the downsides here are much more time-consuming approaches if that way of business is preferred. Have to calculate the ratio of the total time consumed (backtesting, observing some tactics on the pitch, safer market positions building, and many more in the approaches) to the generated amounts by these.

I believe that the "less is more" approach is very acceptable if the quality of the estimations is evolving over the years.

neopas wrote: ↑

Sun Jun 05, 2022 9:57 am

marko kostic wrote: ↑

Fri Jun 03, 2022 5:20 am

neopas wrote: ↑

Thu Jun 02, 2022 10:38 am

I placed 48 manual bets per day, and 443 automatic bets per day with a single profile.
Am I good?

443 automatic? How do you even get this number and not get limited. Wow, nice work!

Thank you mate, and sorry for the late reply, it got lost among other posts.
Most of my automatic bets are live game, not pre-game. Bookmakers are not good to find out what is going on in live betting and I am able not to be spotted. Also, my average bets are low and I am not provoking them. But day after day volumes and profits accumulate. I know I could make even more, but I prefer a steady flow of profits in the long run, than something big now with no tomorrow.

I'm only doing pre match bets for now, but I hope I could take it live in the next year or so. Do you think that live matches are more profitable? Could it be done without a automated bot?

Yes, live arbing is much better than pre-game.
Bookmakers do not have the time to analyse who is taking value and who is not, because they can't compare in real time their mistakes with other bookmakers. It is very difficult for them to find the smart bettor in live arbing. And if you keep your bets at low levels, lower than 100 euros, you will see your accounts will not be limited for years.
Let me not full you. You need to observe prices and the way each bookmaker is reacting to events. Then find their mistakes and then bet on these mistakes and get the profits. These are very well kept secrets and no one will tell them openly.
If you are good in live arbing, the next step in live value betting. It is much easier, and much ore profitable.

1500-1700 bets per week around. (manual + automatic).
Now less, June and July are always quiet months.

I play on an average of 4 to 8 events a day (result of more during week end and less Mon-Friday), mainly football and tennis. All manually