Pfizer's CEO is Greek. Who knows?CharlieSheen99 wrote: Every stock went up because of the announce of the vaccine.
Maybe Arbusers is a manager in Pfizer as well
Royal Dutch Shell
- campeones
- To become a Pro
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
- Geronimo
- Gaining experience
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
I am using IB. Interactive Brokers (like many instutionals).alfonso88 wrote: Where are you guys buying shares? Which platform? And why?
- CharlieSheen99
- Pro
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
too many coincidences....campeones wrote:Pfizer's CEO is Greek. Who knows?CharlieSheen99 wrote: Every stock went up because of the announce of the vaccine.
Maybe Arbusers is a manager in Pfizer as well
- Alfa1234
- Totally Pro
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
Flatex, lowest fees I could find.alfonso88 wrote: Where are you guys buying shares? Which platform? And why?
- gamblehappier
- Pro
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Me personally i use 3 brokers. Interactive,e-toro(not good) and Revolut.Also combination of accounts is a good way to bypass 25k limit if you want to be day stock
trader.
I search for brokers who offer good margin accounts and i think Interactive is one of the best(2,5/100 margin).They double your deposits with low fee.
I read also Degiro is good choice and some people say that they offer 3x deposits but with high fees.Flatex is for specific countries.
I wiil advise you to find a good margin account with low fee and invest your capital and initially only care for longterm profits.
Re: Royal Dutch Shell
Interactive brokers is good option.Alfa1234 wrote:Flatex, lowest fees I could find.alfonso88 wrote: Where are you guys buying shares? Which platform? And why?
Me personally i use 3 brokers. Interactive,e-toro(not good) and Revolut.Also combination of accounts is a good way to bypass 25k limit if you want to be day stock
trader.
I search for brokers who offer good margin accounts and i think Interactive is one of the best(2,5/100 margin).They double your deposits with low fee.
I read also Degiro is good choice and some people say that they offer 3x deposits but with high fees.Flatex is for specific countries.
I wiil advise you to find a good margin account with low fee and invest your capital and initially only care for longterm profits.
Last edited by gamblehappier on Sat Nov 14, 2020 2:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
Believe to yourself is the secret to success.
- campeones
- To become a Pro
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
You are a gifted person and you deserve to get paid for what you give for free.
- gamblehappier
- Pro
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
Nice analysis here Arbusers.The 4/100 dividend, its too attractive.The stock hit top bottom before one month as you suggested us to buy.I have bought but not too much.
I do not think i am late but i do not know what will happen with stock crash market.
When you see Warren Buffet buy so much gold stock,maybe chrash market is near.Actually now Royal stock is 13.99$ maybe i will wait for 12-13$.
Also one thing that is strange all ceo of Pfzier,Modena,Curevac,Astrazeneca sell their stocks and convert stocks to cash.
Maybe they do this because they believe,that right now,their stock is overvalued,because there is over-reaction to buy,after all these media news.
And if you bet against crowd you will win.Only with this way i can explain this reaction of covid-19 pharmacy ceos
Some people say that they are bot sells,but it is stupid,because the ceos will react to overbuy,in order to gain profit.They are not going to leave millions to open bots trades.
Of course inside trading has major role that we do not know.
Anyway keep up this nice Royal Dutch Shell.Maybe i will give a good buy after these dividend news.
I do not think i am late but i do not know what will happen with stock crash market.
When you see Warren Buffet buy so much gold stock,maybe chrash market is near.Actually now Royal stock is 13.99$ maybe i will wait for 12-13$.
Also one thing that is strange all ceo of Pfzier,Modena,Curevac,Astrazeneca sell their stocks and convert stocks to cash.
Maybe they do this because they believe,that right now,their stock is overvalued,because there is over-reaction to buy,after all these media news.
And if you bet against crowd you will win.Only with this way i can explain this reaction of covid-19 pharmacy ceos
Some people say that they are bot sells,but it is stupid,because the ceos will react to overbuy,in order to gain profit.They are not going to leave millions to open bots trades.
Of course inside trading has major role that we do not know.
Anyway keep up this nice Royal Dutch Shell.Maybe i will give a good buy after these dividend news.
Last edited by gamblehappier on Tue Nov 17, 2020 2:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
Believe to yourself is the secret to success.
- neopas
- Pro
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
Boss, we have 50% in profits plus dividends.
Should we keep the stock or take the money and run?
Should we keep the stock or take the money and run?
- apoel81
- Pro
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
Admin was the reason i started investing in cryptos.
From now on will start investing in stock market as well
From now on will start investing in stock market as well
- VidaBlue
- To become a Pro
- Contact:
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Admin has this disclaimer:
Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice. Information is general in nature and is not specific to you. You should not make any decision, financial or otherwise, based on any of the Information without undertaking your own due diligence.
Bla bla bla ... I invest in whatever he recommends. He is a smart person. He cannot be right always, noone can, and he might hit a losing streak now and then. But on average, he is much better than the average investor and I have much better chance in succeeding by being a sheep, doing what he tells me to, without undertaking my own due diligence.
Re: Royal Dutch Shell
Counts for me as well.apoel81 wrote: Admin was the reason i started investing in cryptos.
From now on will start investing in stock market as well
Admin has this disclaimer:
Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice. Information is general in nature and is not specific to you. You should not make any decision, financial or otherwise, based on any of the Information without undertaking your own due diligence.
Bla bla bla ... I invest in whatever he recommends. He is a smart person. He cannot be right always, noone can, and he might hit a losing streak now and then. But on average, he is much better than the average investor and I have much better chance in succeeding by being a sheep, doing what he tells me to, without undertaking my own due diligence.
- CharlieSheen99
- Pro
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Anyway, i won some thousands, just doing what he says. And i will continuous in the same way. He has all my confidence.
Re: Royal Dutch Shell
I do the same as yours. I have the feeling that Admin is so cautious with his recommendations for a good reason. He knows that some of us follow him.VidaBlue wrote:Counts for me as well.apoel81 wrote: Admin was the reason i started investing in cryptos.
From now on will start investing in stock market as well
Admin has this disclaimer:
Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice. Information is general in nature and is not specific to you. You should not make any decision, financial or otherwise, based on any of the Information without undertaking your own due diligence.
Bla bla bla ... I invest in whatever he recommends. He is a smart person. He cannot be right always, noone can, and he might hit a losing streak now and then. But on average, he is much better than the average investor and I have much better chance in succeeding by being a sheep, doing what he tells me to, without undertaking my own due diligence.
Anyway, i won some thousands, just doing what he says. And i will continuous in the same way. He has all my confidence.
- Littletroll1
- Gaining experience
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
Would also like to chime in and say thanks to admin for good advice. I got on the band-wagon both on Shell and BTC, so it's worked out well.
I am however thinking about selling Shell now. I can get a lower tax rate this year, so makes sense. But what do you think admin? Are you keeping the stock?
I am however thinking about selling Shell now. I can get a lower tax rate this year, so makes sense. But what do you think admin? Are you keeping the stock?
- arbusers
- Administrator
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
A massive thank you to all of you guys. Really appreciated.
Now let's have a look at potential exit points. Simply put, we don't have any. The reason is that it is too early to say, and we need the market to give more data and hints that will guide us. My general idea about the behavior of this stock would be based on a very simple plan. To observe the monthly RSI.
Fast traders might be taking a look at the daily RSI 14, but this is not our style. When in doubt, we zoom out, and the best way to zoom out is the monthly RSI. I would like to remind you that this is the same index that pinpointed a great buying opportunity.
Have a look at the following graph:
What I am doing here, is technical analysis on the index, and not on the stock itself. This is a sneaky way to understand the market, and I am implementing it because the price would be sneaker than me.
So when the monthly RSI index goes near 65, this will be the first point where we should start thinking about an exit point. Notice, I am not saying this is an exit point, I am saying we should start thinking about an exit point. When the time comes, we will read the market through different lenses and we will blend them all together and then decide if it is good to stay in or out. A monthly RSI of 65, corresponds to a price between 20 and 25 Euros. It is very lucrative. A value bet to use our vocabulary.
In the stock markets time in is better than timing. Because violent changes in prices are taking place only in a small number of days. We need to have these days when we hold the stocks.
Hopefully, it will take some time until we get to a monthly RSI of 65. During this time, we will get more dividends and for as long as the price goes up, these dividends will be more and more valuable. Imagine a situation, when the dividend performance is 20-25% annually. You will have to think twice before selling this stock.
To sum up, we keep the stock, we get paid the dividends and we enjoy the ride at the crest of the tidal wave.
And of course, we visit this forum to see when we sell the position.
neopas wrote: Boss, we have 50% in profits plus dividends.
Should we keep the stock or take the money and run?
To address your questions, I highlight that I can't take into account taxation, simply because each country has a different taxation system, especially when it comes to stocks. This is your job to do, as it is my job to do when it comes to my personal annual taxation.Littletroll1 wrote: Would also like to chime in and say thanks to admin for good advice. I got on the band-wagon both on Shell and BTC, so it's worked out well.
I am however thinking about selling Shell now. I can get a lower tax rate this year, so makes sense. But what do you think admin? Are you keeping the stock?
Now let's have a look at potential exit points. Simply put, we don't have any. The reason is that it is too early to say, and we need the market to give more data and hints that will guide us. My general idea about the behavior of this stock would be based on a very simple plan. To observe the monthly RSI.
Fast traders might be taking a look at the daily RSI 14, but this is not our style. When in doubt, we zoom out, and the best way to zoom out is the monthly RSI. I would like to remind you that this is the same index that pinpointed a great buying opportunity.
Have a look at the following graph:
What I am doing here, is technical analysis on the index, and not on the stock itself. This is a sneaky way to understand the market, and I am implementing it because the price would be sneaker than me.
So when the monthly RSI index goes near 65, this will be the first point where we should start thinking about an exit point. Notice, I am not saying this is an exit point, I am saying we should start thinking about an exit point. When the time comes, we will read the market through different lenses and we will blend them all together and then decide if it is good to stay in or out. A monthly RSI of 65, corresponds to a price between 20 and 25 Euros. It is very lucrative. A value bet to use our vocabulary.
In the stock markets time in is better than timing. Because violent changes in prices are taking place only in a small number of days. We need to have these days when we hold the stocks.
Hopefully, it will take some time until we get to a monthly RSI of 65. During this time, we will get more dividends and for as long as the price goes up, these dividends will be more and more valuable. Imagine a situation, when the dividend performance is 20-25% annually. You will have to think twice before selling this stock.
To sum up, we keep the stock, we get paid the dividends and we enjoy the ride at the crest of the tidal wave.
And of course, we visit this forum to see when we sell the position.
Last edited by arbusers on Wed Nov 25, 2020 1:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
- arbusers
- Administrator
- Contact:
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
Yesterday, we got paid the dividend from RDSA.
However, this post is in order to inform you that today I sold half of my position in RDSA at an average price of 15.73.
I will explain what triggered this decision and present my way of thinking at this point in time for the stock of RDSA. As you noticed, there is no graph in this post and that means that my decision has a weak background based on technical analysis, while other factors played a bigger role. At the same time, the fact that I sold only 50% and not the total of my position indicates there is some uncertainty.
So let’s examine that weak technical analysis first. Actually, it is very simple. The stock tried twice to break the 16 euros price and it failed. This indicates there are certain limits in the strength that propels the price move.
If someone were to ask me today, "Which of the two predictions for the course of the economy would I prefer to hear: A good economist's or a good epidemiologist's?", I would certainly prefer those of the latter. Thus, it is clear that developments on the Covid19 front will determine the price of the stocks. We were able to understand that something good was coming back in November when we bought the stock, and now we are able to understand there is a big possibility that something bad lies ahead.
We are not epidemiologists (what a Greek word!) and we can’t think like one, but we live and work in societies and we receive multiple signals. Indeed the vaccine is big and positive news, but the devil hides in the details. What are these details?
1. The EU bought vaccines from various pharmaceutical companies. Unfortunately, the efficacy rates of their vaccines are varying from 70% to 95%. Pfizer’s and Moderna’s vaccines that are considered the most effective (efficacy rate of 95%) are a minority among other vaccines.
2 The anti-vaccination wave is growing competing with human stupidity. It came to our attention a new trend among societies, people who are getting the Covid19 virus voluntarily in order to avoid the vaccine. Mark our words, anti-vaccination will be a serious problem.
3. A new wave of Covid19 is expected right after Christmas, as the West is fed up with multiple Quarantines and lockdowns. We noticed the disaster in the US after Thanksgiving, and we believe a similar pattern will be repeated again in the US and Europe.
4. Still, there is no indication about the time length of protection guaranteed by vaccines. If the protection is there for 4-5 months, then all population will have to get a 2nd or a 4th dose in the Autumn 2021. The efficacy rate is not yet confirmed in the real world.
5. In today’s Europe, a percentage of the population consists of young illegal immigrants with no social discipline and no will to protect the societies they milk. Since their families are still in the 3rd world, they do not care if they get Covid19, due to their youth, inexperience, and attitude. Even if their families are brought to Europe, they come from backgrounds where anti-vaccination is taught as an attitude within their homes in their countries of origin.
Of course, there is always the chance that we are mistaken and the market proves us wrong. That is why we keep 50% of our position in RDSA. So far we enjoyed a 50% plus dividends performance and we are very happy with it.
FYI, RDSA is just 1 of the stocks I hold. Today I sold % of other stocks as well.
Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice. Information is general in nature and is not specific to you. You should not make any decision, financial or otherwise, based on any of the Information without undertaking your own due diligence.
However, this post is in order to inform you that today I sold half of my position in RDSA at an average price of 15.73.
I will explain what triggered this decision and present my way of thinking at this point in time for the stock of RDSA. As you noticed, there is no graph in this post and that means that my decision has a weak background based on technical analysis, while other factors played a bigger role. At the same time, the fact that I sold only 50% and not the total of my position indicates there is some uncertainty.
So let’s examine that weak technical analysis first. Actually, it is very simple. The stock tried twice to break the 16 euros price and it failed. This indicates there are certain limits in the strength that propels the price move.
If someone were to ask me today, "Which of the two predictions for the course of the economy would I prefer to hear: A good economist's or a good epidemiologist's?", I would certainly prefer those of the latter. Thus, it is clear that developments on the Covid19 front will determine the price of the stocks. We were able to understand that something good was coming back in November when we bought the stock, and now we are able to understand there is a big possibility that something bad lies ahead.
We are not epidemiologists (what a Greek word!) and we can’t think like one, but we live and work in societies and we receive multiple signals. Indeed the vaccine is big and positive news, but the devil hides in the details. What are these details?
1. The EU bought vaccines from various pharmaceutical companies. Unfortunately, the efficacy rates of their vaccines are varying from 70% to 95%. Pfizer’s and Moderna’s vaccines that are considered the most effective (efficacy rate of 95%) are a minority among other vaccines.
2 The anti-vaccination wave is growing competing with human stupidity. It came to our attention a new trend among societies, people who are getting the Covid19 virus voluntarily in order to avoid the vaccine. Mark our words, anti-vaccination will be a serious problem.
3. A new wave of Covid19 is expected right after Christmas, as the West is fed up with multiple Quarantines and lockdowns. We noticed the disaster in the US after Thanksgiving, and we believe a similar pattern will be repeated again in the US and Europe.
4. Still, there is no indication about the time length of protection guaranteed by vaccines. If the protection is there for 4-5 months, then all population will have to get a 2nd or a 4th dose in the Autumn 2021. The efficacy rate is not yet confirmed in the real world.
5. In today’s Europe, a percentage of the population consists of young illegal immigrants with no social discipline and no will to protect the societies they milk. Since their families are still in the 3rd world, they do not care if they get Covid19, due to their youth, inexperience, and attitude. Even if their families are brought to Europe, they come from backgrounds where anti-vaccination is taught as an attitude within their homes in their countries of origin.
Of course, there is always the chance that we are mistaken and the market proves us wrong. That is why we keep 50% of our position in RDSA. So far we enjoyed a 50% plus dividends performance and we are very happy with it.
FYI, RDSA is just 1 of the stocks I hold. Today I sold % of other stocks as well.
Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice. Information is general in nature and is not specific to you. You should not make any decision, financial or otherwise, based on any of the Information without undertaking your own due diligence.
Last edited by arbusers on Thu Dec 17, 2020 2:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
- x-casino
- Has experience
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Re: Royal Dutch Shell
I expressed my surprise about your timing in the first place.
I am really wondering if there is a source of very precious and valuable information, or if you are extracting your strategy strictly from analysis and observation.
I suppose that prices will go down tomorrow, maybe they go down a lot... would you buy back that 50% you sold?
Again, many thanks for your alerts and your performance.
And now, you sold 50% of your position right before the bad news from the UK and the mutation of the virus.x-casino wrote: You must be having some kind of inside information as your timing with Shell is unbelievable. You managed to buy at the exact bottom in both March and November. Even the times of your posting are some minutes away from the 1st bottom.
Speechless.
In my place, there is a proverb saying: A repeated coincidence ceases to be a coincidence.arbusers wrote: and now we are able to understand there is a big possibility that something bad lies ahead.
I am really wondering if there is a source of very precious and valuable information, or if you are extracting your strategy strictly from analysis and observation.
I suppose that prices will go down tomorrow, maybe they go down a lot... would you buy back that 50% you sold?
Again, many thanks for your alerts and your performance.