S&P500 value zones identified
- arbusers
- Administrator
- Contact:
- Karma: 628
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
Would you be surprised if they did a mistake like that? The mistakes they did with GME are even bigger.
- arbusers
- Administrator
- Contact:
- Karma: 628
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
Keynes once said that markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
in the following graph we can see that we are in the longest market cycle ever recorded for SP500. The average cycle is 7 years, and now we are 11.5. The monthly RSI creates a lower top for every new market top. This negative divergence indicates a very strong correction.
As we said in an older post, there are 2 kinds of investors. Those who understand what the FED is doing, and those who don't. IMO this new POTUS will have to choose one of the following two:
a. Keep the stock market going up, or...
b. Keep the USD the worlds reserve currency.
He can't have both.
in the following graph we can see that we are in the longest market cycle ever recorded for SP500. The average cycle is 7 years, and now we are 11.5. The monthly RSI creates a lower top for every new market top. This negative divergence indicates a very strong correction.
As we said in an older post, there are 2 kinds of investors. Those who understand what the FED is doing, and those who don't. IMO this new POTUS will have to choose one of the following two:
a. Keep the stock market going up, or...
b. Keep the USD the worlds reserve currency.
He can't have both.
- CharlieSheen99
- Pro
- Karma: 27
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
In the last crisis, SP500 multiply its value for 2 since the minimums of 2002.
Right now, SP500 has 5 times the value of the minimums of 2009
If it continuous like this the fall will be higher than ever.
Right now, SP500 has 5 times the value of the minimums of 2009
If it continuous like this the fall will be higher than ever.
- arbusers
- Administrator
- Contact:
- Karma: 628
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
I thought to remind you of the dangers in SP500. I am focusing on the huge negative divergence that must bring a correction at a point.
Again, I am using classic TA and especially the RSI.
Again, I am using classic TA and especially the RSI.
- barret19
- Has experience
- Karma: 15
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
The SP500 has always been a safe long term investment for the people that have money at their bank losing value to the inflation year after year.
- CharlieSheen99
- Pro
- Karma: 27
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
Another pocket of millions on the table.
Soon we will not have enough trees in our world to print such amount of money.
Soon we will not have enough trees in our world to print such amount of money.
- kapetan1122
- To become a Pro
- Karma: 43
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
Difference between 1 and 1 trillion is only 12 keystrokes on computer,CharlieSheen99 wrote: Another pocket of millions on the table.
Soon we will not have enough trees in our world to print such amount of money.
- M@chibist
- Gaining experience
- Karma: 2
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
- Not trying to sound like a dick or deny someones system but to me helped with RSI using divs in OB/OS areas and if they come close to each other.
If we start from proposition that it is a momentum indicator it is normal that if peaks are far away that divs come in play as momentum reseted in between but playing from those kind of divs is not good play in my experience.
If we start from proposition that it is a momentum indicator it is normal that if peaks are far away that divs come in play as momentum reseted in between but playing from those kind of divs is not good play in my experience.
- arbusers
- Administrator
- Contact:
- Karma: 628
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
BlackRock: ''We are running ‘Highest Level of Cash’ in Years, or maybe ever.''
- Alfa1234
- Totally Pro
- Karma: 63
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
Monthly DCA investing in the total market is still the way to go. A bubble can take years to burst and you could lose out on another 20-40% increase while holding cash, losing out on dividends in the meantime. There's also no way to know how big a crash the next one will be. It could be a 20% drop or a 60% drop.
- CharlieSheen99
- Pro
- Karma: 27
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
Do you expect that the crash market that we all expect is close?
- arbusers
- Administrator
- Contact:
- Karma: 628
Post
A significant correction or a market crash is coming closer every day, because it will eventually happen. At this point of time I would take the Grantham approach.
BTC is already crashing.
SPACs and Russel are not healthy.
In the end they will attack the Ciscos and the Apples.
So better be outside during these times, and get in when prices gets to levels offering a satisfying dividend each year. Better leave some potential profits to be stronger when the vortex comes.
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
I don't see ''All'' expecting a market crash. This is another narrative, in other words fairy tail, expressed by certain people. These people are expecting a crash for many years. In the end, one day they will be true, but how about the rest of the years?CharlieSheen99 wrote: Do you expect that the crash market that we all expect is close?
A significant correction or a market crash is coming closer every day, because it will eventually happen. At this point of time I would take the Grantham approach.
BTC is already crashing.
SPACs and Russel are not healthy.
In the end they will attack the Ciscos and the Apples.
So better be outside during these times, and get in when prices gets to levels offering a satisfying dividend each year. Better leave some potential profits to be stronger when the vortex comes.
- cem
- Gaining experience
- Karma: -1
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
Some leaders warn for a new lock down in autumn..Isolated real estate will be in great demand and rents will go high.
On the other hand, catastrophes are never warned in advance.
On the other hand, catastrophes are never warned in advance.
- arbusers
- Administrator
- Contact:
- Karma: 628
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
For those who study the Elliott Wave Theory, I am uploading a very interesting analysis coming from Robert Prechter. I 've been following Prechter since 2007 and I must say he is a constant bear, and he lost the wildest Bull Market of our times. Who ever follows his advise lost a lot of potential profits.
However, his observation on the following graph is undeniable. Let's see how it plays out.
However, his observation on the following graph is undeniable. Let's see how it plays out.
- DPG
- Has experience
- Karma: 14
Post
Re: S&P500 value zones identified
Shares are not that great investments currently because it is all manipulated and not a level playing field. You should buy some artwork. I bought a Van Gogh painting earlier this year for approximately $70 million USD. It is a much better investment.
Last edited by DPG on Sun Jul 18, 2021 6:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.