Trump vs Clinton
- Alfa1234
- Totally Pro
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Re: Trump vs Clinton
General election polls don't mean anything. Trump could win by 3points in the popular vote but still lose the election...and vice versa. A win with 1 vote difference in Florida can offset 1 state with a 10million vote difference in the electoral college.
- arbusers
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Re: Trump vs Clinton
If your prediction becomes reality, the only trading would do.MaxShalamar wrote: wouldn't be surprised if bookies refuse to pay out until an "official" result after any trial
- Bubbles
- To become a Pro
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Re: Trump vs Clinton
I sign under what Alfa wrote. The system is constructed this way that it would be extremely difficult for Trump to win now even with very tight polls. They had similar situation in the past at least three times in recent history. The difference, and mess, this time might be that in the past the one announced loser honourably restrained himself from challenging this decision, even if they had a good case, for the sake of country's stability. I'm not sure if one can expect similar attitude from these two...
So as it is today I would put my money on Clinton with the reservation: if nothing even more dramatic happen before the election, which normally would be unlikely but we already learned that this is different
So as it is today I would put my money on Clinton with the reservation: if nothing even more dramatic happen before the election, which normally would be unlikely but we already learned that this is different
- luctens
- To become a Pro
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Re: Trump vs Clinton
And UK to stay in the EU was 1/16 when the polls closed, and Hung Parliament in 2015 UK Election was 1/25 when the polls closed... So what does this tell us?... Nobody has the faintest idea of who's going to win, and if they say they do, they're talking crap.AlexV wrote: Looks like it is Clinton, odds moved from 1.43 to 1.21 in a few days...
Last edited by luctens on Mon Nov 07, 2016 5:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
- arbusers
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- anormal1992
- Has experience
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Re: Trump vs Clinton
i staked 100 euros on trump,odds 5.1 the odds went 6 and i layed with smth like 16 euros loss. now that mad donkey got odds 1.65 on bf....i guess i ll get pretty pissed if he wins :/
- NXV
- Gaining experience
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Re: Trump vs Clinton
odds on that idiot trump are around 1.20 right now.. so much for 'free money' i've put some money on clinton now @ around 5.0 in case she makes a comeback
- barbero
- To become a Pro
- Gamblers Ruin
- Gaining experience
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Re: Trump vs Clinton
Trading aside, there were some juicy arbs on this last night - assuming you're happy with the risk of someone other than Trump or Clinton winning.
...this is an arbing forum after all.
...this is an arbing forum after all.
Win->bet more->lose->bet same-> bankrupt
- arbusers
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Re: Trump vs Clinton
No free money in this business. At a point, when CNN was mentioning that Clinton gets FL, Marathonbet offered 7.5 for Trump. I m sure others offered even more.
Once again, a great trading event, equal, or even bigger than Eurovision.
Once again, a great trading event, equal, or even bigger than Eurovision.
- maletaja
- Pro
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Re: Trump vs Clinton
lesson to me. Just suprised that polls who have hundreds of analysts, dont know anything even smart money knows nothing. Markets are quite effective usually
- CharlieSheen99
- Pro
- arbusers
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Re: Trump vs Clinton
Hey, someone voted for Trump this morning after the results. It was the fixing guy with the Ferrari from Kazakstan.
- dealer wins
- Totally Pro
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Re: Trump vs Clinton
Better void that vote and limit his account ArbusersArbusers wrote: Hey, someone voted for Trump this morning after the results. It was the fixing guy with the Ferrari from Kazakstan.
Never trust a goose!!!