Winning Betfair Strategy
- jimmy wisner
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- crypto data
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To work with this formula only on diferent betfair markets, most of people here will not be sucesefull!
Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
In case you use this strategy on soft bookmakers blindly, the formula will work on long run, for this I dont need to make any test.ray mansi wrote: ↑Tue Jul 25, 2023 11:33 am@crypto data, would you do one day with us virtually to post what horses you would choose, because i dont think that strategy works anymore. Not only there are no much bets but also odds if they match are basically same. Never with huge difference. The way it looses gives feeling it doesnt work. If you would check it out, you should have feeling is it working like in the past or something has definately changed
To work with this formula only on diferent betfair markets, most of people here will not be sucesefull!
- ray mansi
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Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
@crypto date
i check lay odds from another side compared to betfair. Can this make the difference. odds should still be close. Day earlier the lay odds are not put out together with oddschecker site so i can check only few hours before race before 2 pm
i can place bets same odds or even better then soft bookmakers. im tracking manually not placing real bets. After 21 days its minus over twenty units already. Every day the lay odds are very same then with other bookmakers or mostly higher then oddschecker site offers so it makes it practically not possible to place many bets
i check lay odds from another side compared to betfair. Can this make the difference. odds should still be close. Day earlier the lay odds are not put out together with oddschecker site so i can check only few hours before race before 2 pm
i can place bets same odds or even better then soft bookmakers. im tracking manually not placing real bets. After 21 days its minus over twenty units already. Every day the lay odds are very same then with other bookmakers or mostly higher then oddschecker site offers so it makes it practically not possible to place many bets
- ray mansi
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Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
@crypto data can you also tell longest setback of bankroll. Bankroll should be 180 units, but i try to increase unit after 100 units.
Can this be safe
Can this be safe
- ray mansi
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Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
but what has been your personal longest drawdown by loosing units.Grant wrote: ↑Fri Jun 02, 2023 9:59 pmNah. It doesnt matter how much bets you placed. Its all about +EV. 100 bets its more than you need. If you managed to beat closing odds over 100 bets it means you found holy grail. If you did that you would be dumb not making any profit. You could trade or at least headge you stake. Anyone who manage to beat closing odds in Betfair over 100 bets is most likely to profit a lot very soon not speaking about 10 000 bets. Over 10 000 that person would earn shitloads of money depends of liquidity available on particular market.Rod Man wrote: ↑Sun May 28, 2023 8:46 pmYou can make 10 000 bets and have no profit.crypto data wrote: ↑Sat May 27, 2023 4:51 amWhen you see that after few bets you beat closing odds eith big margin, you just know that you take value
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- crypto data
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Caclulate you average odds that you get and compare it to BSP. You can calculate your yield this way.
Than calculate what risk you are willing to take to lose the total bankroll. Like I told you I was betting 0,5% per selection. For me perosnaly betting limits were an obstacle, a bankroll was never a problem for me.
Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
Its comlitly irelevant my longest drawndawn.ray mansi wrote: ↑Wed Aug 02, 2023 6:09 pmbut what has been your personal longest drawdown by loosing units.Grant wrote: ↑Fri Jun 02, 2023 9:59 pmNah. It doesnt matter how much bets you placed. Its all about +EV. 100 bets its more than you need. If you managed to beat closing odds over 100 bets it means you found holy grail. If you did that you would be dumb not making any profit. You could trade or at least headge you stake. Anyone who manage to beat closing odds in Betfair over 100 bets is most likely to profit a lot very soon not speaking about 10 000 bets. Over 10 000 that person would earn shitloads of money depends of liquidity available on particular market.
Caclulate you average odds that you get and compare it to BSP. You can calculate your yield this way.
Than calculate what risk you are willing to take to lose the total bankroll. Like I told you I was betting 0,5% per selection. For me perosnaly betting limits were an obstacle, a bankroll was never a problem for me.
- ray mansi
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does it mean you never had loosing month. Im having first month down over 20 units. I remember you mentioned most people cannot make it work at betfair. What did you mean by that. Is there something not said, because it might make the difference
Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
crypto data wrote: ↑Sat Aug 05, 2023 11:14 amIts comlitly irelevant my longest drawndawn.ray mansi wrote: ↑Wed Aug 02, 2023 6:09 pmbut what has been your personal longest drawdown by loosing units.Grant wrote: ↑Fri Jun 02, 2023 9:59 pm
Nah. It doesnt matter how much bets you placed. Its all about +EV. 100 bets its more than you need. If you managed to beat closing odds over 100 bets it means you found holy grail. If you did that you would be dumb not making any profit. You could trade or at least headge you stake. Anyone who manage to beat closing odds in Betfair over 100 bets is most likely to profit a lot very soon not speaking about 10 000 bets. Over 10 000 that person would earn shitloads of money depends of liquidity available on particular market.
Caclulate you average odds that you get and compare it to BSP. You can calculate your yield this way.
Than calculate what risk you are willing to take to lose the total bankroll. Like I told you I was betting 0,5% per selection. For me perosnaly betting limits were an obstacle, a bankroll was never a problem for me.
does it mean you never had loosing month. Im having first month down over 20 units. I remember you mentioned most people cannot make it work at betfair. What did you mean by that. Is there something not said, because it might make the difference
- Owen Tarq
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Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
I am interested in this script as well. I will appreciate if the admin can forward it to my mail too. Thanks!
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- Dean
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Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
Why can't I close this business profitably?
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- Grant
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