Winning Betfair Strategy
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Of course you received it, but for the 3rd time, I am asking you to whitelist arbusers@arbusers.com. This is for all email providers and especially Yahoo. I will send again the document later today to the new team of people requesting it, and I will include your email again.
Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
Of course you received it, but for the 3rd time, I am asking you to whitelist arbusers@arbusers.com. This is for all email providers and especially Yahoo. I will send again the document later today to the new team of people requesting it, and I will include your email again.
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Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
thanks to the author of the post for giving true knowledge, you are smart and a Lord.
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But for those who use softs this is good tactic to lower bet action, and get slower limits at softs.
I tested this tactic also a litle on other sports (even tennis at home/away markets, odds moved normaly in the direction i predicted. But i never loked if i would be positeve if I would bet on my selection only on shart booki). So here is still a lot of homework and testing neded to do on other sports.
I can also tell you that with help of this system we had yield around 30%-40% (odds around 2 - 2,5) on top socer leages, (over/under market), trading on betfair. Big liqidety markets. We tested this system for 2-3 years (you cant use this system at first 10 rounds, and last 5 rounds in soccer season).
At the end we tested this system on around 200 soccer games. This system is inposible to back-tested. The system was so profitable, that we even trade it on pinnacle time to time
You will ask why I stoped?
1. becouse I dont belive yield 40% on long term is realistic
2. I would need at list 10k games to test to be sure in the system ( I have only one life)
3. Its dificult to find this oportunetys. You stay all day infron on PC, and you maybe get 1 game to bet on. So its frustrating to do it.
4. Many may ask what about automation? System is so statisticly complex, that no bot can automate this system
Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
I asume you read the script. And if you use sharp bookies only (betfair, smarkets,...) , you will have liquidety problems.
But for those who use softs this is good tactic to lower bet action, and get slower limits at softs.
I tested this tactic also a litle on other sports (even tennis at home/away markets, odds moved normaly in the direction i predicted. But i never loked if i would be positeve if I would bet on my selection only on shart booki). So here is still a lot of homework and testing neded to do on other sports.
I can also tell you that with help of this system we had yield around 30%-40% (odds around 2 - 2,5) on top socer leages, (over/under market), trading on betfair. Big liqidety markets. We tested this system for 2-3 years (you cant use this system at first 10 rounds, and last 5 rounds in soccer season).
At the end we tested this system on around 200 soccer games. This system is inposible to back-tested. The system was so profitable, that we even trade it on pinnacle time to time
You will ask why I stoped?
1. becouse I dont belive yield 40% on long term is realistic
2. I would need at list 10k games to test to be sure in the system ( I have only one life)
3. Its dificult to find this oportunetys. You stay all day infron on PC, and you maybe get 1 game to bet on. So its frustrating to do it.
4. Many may ask what about automation? System is so statisticly complex, that no bot can automate this system
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Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
Once again all very interesting and common sense , what I can add is that probably not even a history of 10k games is needed to test the goodness of the system , if already every 10 matches you are in front of the closing line 7-8 times and repeat this 10 times (100 matches), I have little doubt that we are on the right side of the fence. As far as operations and finding opportunities are concerned, I agree that a considerable amount of work must be employed, having to do everything manually and not automatizable, I agree that a personal sensitivity is also needed which must be applied on a case-by-case basis. I might have some ideas to facilitate the search for opportunities to enter but since I still have to work, I prefer to wait to publish them for the moment or possibly talk about them privately. Thanks again and a good continuation for everything to you.
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Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
What are the best times to catch the values at soft bookmakers?pkpunter wrote: ↑Tue Mar 21, 2023 3:29 pmOnce again all very interesting and common sense , what I can add is that probably not even a history of 10k games is needed to test the goodness of the system , if already every 10 matches you are in front of the closing line 7-8 times and repeat this 10 times (100 matches), I have little doubt that we are on the right side of the fence. As far as operations and finding opportunities are concerned, I agree that a considerable amount of work must be employed, having to do everything manually and not automatizable, I agree that a personal sensitivity is also needed which must be applied on a case-by-case basis. I might have some ideas to facilitate the search for opportunities to enter but since I still have to work, I prefer to wait to publish them for the moment or possibly talk about them privately. Thanks again and a good continuation for everything to you.
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But you can do it also later for races that start later
Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
I did in the morning 9:00-11:00 UK time zone.Dean wrote: ↑Wed Mar 22, 2023 6:19 pmWhat are the best times to catch the values at soft bookmakers?pkpunter wrote: ↑Tue Mar 21, 2023 3:29 pmOnce again all very interesting and common sense , what I can add is that probably not even a history of 10k games is needed to test the goodness of the system , if already every 10 matches you are in front of the closing line 7-8 times and repeat this 10 times (100 matches), I have little doubt that we are on the right side of the fence. As far as operations and finding opportunities are concerned, I agree that a considerable amount of work must be employed, having to do everything manually and not automatizable, I agree that a personal sensitivity is also needed which must be applied on a case-by-case basis. I might have some ideas to facilitate the search for opportunities to enter but since I still have to work, I prefer to wait to publish them for the moment or possibly talk about them privately. Thanks again and a good continuation for everything to you.
But you can do it also later for races that start later
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So no way to test, if i can beat closing odds
Re: Winning Betfair Strategy
For inplay system that i was testing for 2 years i did in on inplay.pkpunter wrote: ↑Tue Mar 21, 2023 3:29 pmOnce again all very interesting and common sense , what I can add is that probably not even a history of 10k games is needed to test the goodness of the system , if already every 10 matches you are in front of the closing line 7-8 times and repeat this 10 times (100 matches), I have little doubt that we are on the right side of the fence. As far as operations and finding opportunities are concerned, I agree that a considerable amount of work must be employed, having to do everything manually and not automatizable, I agree that a personal sensitivity is also needed which must be applied on a case-by-case basis. I might have some ideas to facilitate the search for opportunities to enter but since I still have to work, I prefer to wait to publish them for the moment or possibly talk about them privately. Thanks again and a good continuation for everything to you.
So no way to test, if i can beat closing odds
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