Live Basketball Match.
In Sharp Book, the odds for over 167.5 is 2.0, and the odds for under 167.5 is 1.71.
In BookMaker X, the odds for over 174.5 is 1.87, and the odds for under 174.5 is 1.80.
There Is Clearly a value on Under 174.5 in BookMaker X.
But How much is this value?
We want to find the odds for under 174.5 in Sharp. (No Alternative Lines)
What Can i do to find the Odds For Under 174.5 in Sharp book?
BasketBall Middle Value Betting
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CharlieSheen99
- Pro
- Karma: 27
Post
The market: "number of points" follows a normal distribution.
You can calculate how much % drop the odds with each new added point, and make an estimation. But it will not be too precise. The problem here is that you don't have other lines of points, so hard to say....
The value will depend on the number of points, it's not the same the difference between 167 and 174 than between 267 and 274.
And the value will depend as well on the time. It's not the same a difference of 7 points in the 1st quarter than in the 4th.
Re: BasketBall Middle Value Betting
Hard to say.Abuser wrote: ↑Mon Apr 15, 2024 3:04 pmLive Basketball Match.
In Sharp Book, the odds for over 167.5 is 2.0, and the odds for under 167.5 is 1.71.
In BookMaker X, the odds for over 174.5 is 1.87, and the odds for under 174.5 is 1.80.
There Is Clearly a value on Under 174.5 in BookMaker X.
But How much is this value?
We want to find the odds for under 174.5 in Sharp. (No Alternative Lines)
What Can i do to find the Odds For Under 174.5 in Sharp book?
The market: "number of points" follows a normal distribution.
You can calculate how much % drop the odds with each new added point, and make an estimation. But it will not be too precise. The problem here is that you don't have other lines of points, so hard to say....
The value will depend on the number of points, it's not the same the difference between 167 and 174 than between 267 and 274.
And the value will depend as well on the time. It's not the same a difference of 7 points in the 1st quarter than in the 4th.
- Abuser
- Gaining experience
- Karma: 0
Post
But what I'm really wondering is how we can figure out the odds in the Sharp Bookie for the same game, just with a different line. Like, is there a simple math trick we can use? For example, before a game starts, a 7-point difference might mean odds of around 1.28. But that's for a different game. I'm just trying to figure out how to apply that to this specific situation.
Maybe i can create a table of odds and lines . Not sure...
Re: BasketBall Middle Value Betting
Your Points are Correct . Usually i check this around the end of the 3rd Q+CharlieSheen99 wrote: ↑Mon Apr 15, 2024 3:53 pmHard to say.Abuser wrote: ↑Mon Apr 15, 2024 3:04 pmLive Basketball Match.
In Sharp Book, the odds for over 167.5 is 2.0, and the odds for under 167.5 is 1.71.
In BookMaker X, the odds for over 174.5 is 1.87, and the odds for under 174.5 is 1.80.
There Is Clearly a value on Under 174.5 in BookMaker X.
But How much is this value?
We want to find the odds for under 174.5 in Sharp. (No Alternative Lines)
What Can i do to find the Odds For Under 174.5 in Sharp book?
The market: "number of points" follows a normal distribution.
You can calculate how much % drop the odds with each new added point, and make an estimation. But it will not be too precise. The problem here is that you don't have other lines of points, so hard to say....
The value will depend on the number of points, it's not the same the difference between 167 and 174 than between 267 and 274.
And the value will depend as well on the time. It's not the same a difference of 7 points in the 1st quarter than in the 4th.
But what I'm really wondering is how we can figure out the odds in the Sharp Bookie for the same game, just with a different line. Like, is there a simple math trick we can use? For example, before a game starts, a 7-point difference might mean odds of around 1.28. But that's for a different game. I'm just trying to figure out how to apply that to this specific situation.
Maybe i can create a table of odds and lines . Not sure...
-
CharlieSheen99
- Pro
- Karma: 27
Post
The match is not important. The two keys are: Time to the end, and number of points. We can consider that some teams, or leagues have a normal distribution smaller or longer, but in general, it shouldn't change a lot.
Re: BasketBall Middle Value Betting
I had in the past..., but didn't use too much. And it was not very well done i think.Abuser wrote: ↑Mon Apr 15, 2024 4:21 pmYour Points are Correct . Usually i check this around the end of the 3rd Q+CharlieSheen99 wrote: ↑Mon Apr 15, 2024 3:53 pmHard to say.Abuser wrote: ↑Mon Apr 15, 2024 3:04 pmLive Basketball Match.
In Sharp Book, the odds for over 167.5 is 2.0, and the odds for under 167.5 is 1.71.
In BookMaker X, the odds for over 174.5 is 1.87, and the odds for under 174.5 is 1.80.
There Is Clearly a value on Under 174.5 in BookMaker X.
But How much is this value?
We want to find the odds for under 174.5 in Sharp. (No Alternative Lines)
What Can i do to find the Odds For Under 174.5 in Sharp book?
The market: "number of points" follows a normal distribution.
You can calculate how much % drop the odds with each new added point, and make an estimation. But it will not be too precise. The problem here is that you don't have other lines of points, so hard to say....
The value will depend on the number of points, it's not the same the difference between 167 and 174 than between 267 and 274.
And the value will depend as well on the time. It's not the same a difference of 7 points in the 1st quarter than in the 4th.
But what I'm really wondering is how we can figure out the odds in the Sharp Bookie for the same game, just with a different line. Like, is there a simple math trick we can use? For example, before a game starts, a 7-point difference might mean odds of around 1.28. But that's for a different game. I'm just trying to figure out how to apply that to this specific situation.
Maybe i can create a table of odds and lines . Not sure...
The match is not important. The two keys are: Time to the end, and number of points. We can consider that some teams, or leagues have a normal distribution smaller or longer, but in general, it shouldn't change a lot.
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