Arbusers

The initial bounce of odds for New Zealand was 1.7 -1.4 and later to 1.5 and 1.4 again, in some early Overs. The secondary waves were the most reasonable times for trading so far.
If India can't achieve at least 5 R/R, maybe it's better to hedge all positions for full profit.

I think pakistan or drawn is certain.

sadedu95 wrote: ↑

Thu Dec 01, 2022 5:24 am

I think pakistan or drawn is certain.

Hello again, Sadedu95,

I rarely watch Тest Cricket matches lately. They are simply art at their highest point if you know the processes that take place over all five days of the game. But I simply haven't got spare time to watch any given Test Cricket match lasting five days. But that doesn't mean I don't follow the Stats and Data regarding Test Cricket Matches. I watch videos and live broadcasts for short moments, etc.

I prefer to watch and manage my business mainly in terms of Cricket formats like ODI (about eight hours of play) and T20 (about four hours), even T10 matches. Note, that newer formats of that game ("The 6ixty", promoted by Universe Boss, "T5", even "The Hundred" in England), haven't yet accumulated large samples of Data and Statistics. But the players involved and their existing Data samples are known. Do you think this is an excellent business opportunity? Not to mention the sheer joy of the game, while watching at this point. For example, how about "The 6ixty" final earlier that year, when the Saint Kitts and Nevis team in their Bowling part of the game successfully eliminated their main threat, Russell, through Evin Lewis? This was a rare opportunity through the Run Out method. The main objective was to somehow remove Russell from the current batting order for the Trinbago Knight Riders team before his monstrous S/R took effect.
And later in the batting portion of the game for St. Kitts, Lewis achieved circa 200 S/R but was eliminated by who? Andre Russell, of course.

All clashes I'm interested in, are selected by me accordin' to my criteria. Including some selected Test Cricket matches as well.

Regarding ongoing Pakistan vs England Test, I have no informed opinion. But I might watch some moments later.

Overall, I think the ECB made the wrong decision about Brendon McCullum. In my opinion, he was a brilliant coach at Kolkata Knight Riders and Trinbago Knight Riders and I am amazed that the ECB did not hire him for the England T20 team. On the other hand, the England Test Team's batting performance, and their performance in general, has been better these days under McCullum's leadership.
The likelihood of further collapses like England's "58 All Out" in the Test vs New Zealand in Auckland in 2018 is minimal.

500 in one day 6.75 run rate un real but still the draw looks good

sadedu95 wrote: ↑

Thu Dec 01, 2022 2:09 pm

500 in one day 6.75 run rate un real but still the draw looks good

Yes of course! In this kind of sport, anything is possible. Especially in the County Championship of England in the past, there have been incredible twists and turns.

Sorry i did not reply to the questions earlier. IMO we are moving towards a football style model. Where franchise cricket is going to dominate. Already the ICC has given windows to several countries for their own domestic competitions. The final slot will be given to one of five countries who are trying.

I personally believe the 100 is just a gimmick tournament. For me 20/20 is the best format of the shorter games. For me anything shorter is just not enjoyable as you cant really building an innings or see absorbing match ups. T-5 for me is just a joke but if the people like it then they like. They recently just placed snow cricket with ex-pros.

However reading your posts and love for this sport. Whatever you set your mind to you will do well at. I wish i could sit back and enjoy games that i bet on. But on any given night i might be covering 20-70 games especially now with College basketball . NFL is the game that i actually enjoy watching the most.

With regards to pakistan, for whatever reason the pitches they produce have no life meaning the draw is always the most likely option. Ironically Abu Dhabi was the best place for them to play with regards to result. But its good cricket has returned there and hopefully they curate pitches that suit their own team.

Good luck with the NCAAB and the NFL

Well, some settings for the Short-time T10 model can be tested today. I mean the final in Abu Dhabi.
Due to my trading plan set up for today, market entry/exit will be based on the following:
- The behavior of the Deccan Gladiators, especially Andre Russell and Nicholas Pooran (not at his best sporting form lately).
- New York Strikers bowling attack, I mean Rashid Khan.
- The behavior of the New York Strikers as a whole today, shaped under the captaincy of Kieron Pollard. I expect some things from Wahab Riaz and Paul Stirling.

Clearly, the market was backing the Deccan team most of the time believing they would defend their title. The unexpected short time spent on the pitch by Suresh Raina (0.6 Ov), as well as Russell's too-early dismissal (7 and 9 runs for them respectively), caused the Deccan team a relatively low level of deterioration in odds and made them a very slight underdog. In my opinion, if this was the same stage of the hypothetical T20 match, Russell's dismissal would have caused not 2.4 but at least around 30 percent more deterioration in the odds. But the market was behind Deccan.
In fact, Wahab Riaz's wicket turned Deccan into a slight underdog and this point was ideal for opening extra entries due to many technical curves.

The next questionable time frame was the one describing the support and resistance zones for the Deccan, say between 2.4 and 2.16. The market has been in a range for too long, but the risk was too high to enter here, provided that the classic trading strategy was adopted here.
Riaz's deteriorating ECON ratio and Wiese's sixes caused the support line to be breached and the odds moved into, say, the 1.6 - 1.7 range.
This was the key moment of the match.

Later in that part of the Deccan batting, Pooran's improved stability provided an odds level of circa 1.3 or so.

One team show was noticed after the break. I was surprised by Stirling's early dismissal and wonder what would have been the case if, after Stirling's Six at 1.1 Ov, a few Boundaries were hit later on. Here the classic strategies were not useful at all.

Test Pak vs Eng, fifth day, session three now.

I entered the market when under 90 runs were needed for PAK, the odds were 1.9 - 3.8 - 3.9 or so, for 1-X-2. Logically, the odds for X have decreased, but a very interesting entry is possible now that the price for 2 has bounced from 1.15 to 1.4. The odds are now 1.4 and 3.3 respectively for 2 and X. If you take the reasonable risk of 1 wicket remaining for PAK (needed 75 Runs) and manage it properly, some good exits are probable.

Note, some platforms show the European style 1-X-2, while some show by default 1-2-Draw. Sometimes in the fast moving, the errors are possible for the customer.

Look at the very quickly moving from 1.4 - 3.3 to 1.7 - 2.4 when the conditions are the same, but some late money entered the market.
Now minimum 20 Overs to go, and the odds are Evens. What an opportunity on the markets!

ODI Namibia vs Scotland now.

When the Namibians needed 63 from 18.5 Ov (or so), the odds became Evens. Slightly underdogs before the match according to the pre-match odds have just three wickets in hand at the moment. I have no idea what type of terrain was prepared there in Windhoek, so I changed some actions in the markets due to risk management.
Now 52 from 102 balls, 1.8 - 2.2 odds for 1 - 2 market respectively.

CRR over 4.5, RRR below three, looks good. Needed 29 from 12 Ov.
BTW, the current price for Namibia, below 1.3 is now ideal to lock in the market.

What a performance by england. Would not have a thought in a million years there would be a result on that pitch

Hi again, Sadedu95,

May I give you a suggestion?
As an ex-cricketer, you know very well all the specifics of this sport, as well as the extreme importance of the weather and the type of pitch and its preparation. You'd better take advantage of this valuable information, for example, to sell predictions or engage in betting trading. You could start a very long period of time trying some things and when your know-how turns into a viable business concept and when everything is finally tuned-up and the initial errors are minimized, you could start a real business.
If this is not your way of doing business, you will simply improve your perception of this wonderful hobby.