Arbusers

The MI Powerplay was 50/1 , while DC was 26 for 1 at that stage.
Bhatia S/R circa 176 and Sciver-Brunt S/R was circa 118.
Kaur is coming into batting attack.
Those combined facts triggered plenty of new market positions.

The Harmanpreet Kaur's Four causing the Perfect Storm - the odds are circa Evens at the 9th Over. WOW!

It seems to me that MI captain Kaur ordered an earlier attack than usual in similar cases, so at that moment the bowling form of Delhi (Kapp, Yadav and co) is crucial in the next Overs.
The risks of Bhatia's strong attacks are estimated!

Bhatia out, I prefer to close all the tradings now, preserving the market achievement - risks are much bigger after the 15th Ov and Kerr is helping Kaur.

Anyone trading here?

Addendum: Profit on MI vs Delhi today, but stop loss position on Multan vs Peshawar Zalmi on the PSL market today - my error was the time miscalculation of the Reeza Hendricks dismissal at odds levels of Evens, so decided to hedge here.

IPL 2024 Ladies, Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Uttar-Pradesh Warriorz is goin' to start very soon in Bengaluru.

Personally, I never allow myself to post exceptionally very strong advice here on exactly how to place certain positions in the markets. Every Cricket lover has a unique point of view and that's wonderful! It's very pity that no many different Cricket points of view are published here on the Forum.
My very shortened rationales behind today's chosen trading plan by my Model:
- Sophie Ecclestone's recent form in terms of economy rate & Wickets taking ability;
- Deepti Sharma's pre-estimations to support Ecclestone in the crucial moments;
- Alyssa Healy's very complicated estimations (including Strike Rate and also her WicketKeeping performance;
- The probability of Shweta Sehrawat to maintenance or not above XXX Strike Rate at her age in the crucial moments;
- Smriti Mandhana and her current sporting form pre-estimation! I believe no other arguments are needed for dedicated Cricket lovers, her influence over the team is similar to the influence of Luka Modrić over Real Madrid in terms of Soccer!
- Richa Ghosh's probably form - it is clear why. I remember the way Sharma bowled her on February 24th at the moment of 144 for 5 in the penultimate RCB batting Over, striving to achieve over 8.00 RR, if I'm not mistaken.
- Unstable in Time Series Sophie Devine - estimated as YYY points;
- Asha Sobhana despite her Bowling talent is an enigma to me;
- Others, of course.

Addendum: It's clear why I don't need to mention Danielle Wyatt at all.

The Pakistan Super League,
Islamabad United vs Peshawar Zalmi will start within a few minutes.

At the same time, when Fox Sports Cricket will air the IPL Ladies match Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Uttar-Pradesh Warriorz, Sky Sports Cricket will air the match Islamabad United vs Peshawar Zalmi.

I'll never forget the unstoppable power and attractiveness of the play of the Islamabad United team under the governance of Dean Jones (rest in peace, Mr. Dean Jones).
I'll never forget exactly how I built my Model tune-ups, when on one hand, I enjoyed the unbelievable Cricket ideas by Mr. Jones in Islamabad United, and on the other hand, I recalculated again and again on the fly the unbelievable performance of Luke Ronchi, Andre Russell, Faheem Ashraf and co.

It is very unfortunate that nowadays Islamabad United vs Peshawar Zalmi and also Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiators derbies are far from the quality of play we saw between 2016 and 2019.

Why am I writing that? Although I'm shocked by Islamabad United's form since the death of coach Dean Jones, when several parameters in the old Model tune-ups were inversed PLUS adding the current Statistical parameters, the Ratio of what actually happened to the calculated probability of it has risen sharply.

Naturally, I had prepared my trading plan for today (UI vs PZ in Rawalpindi), supported by the current sporting form of Faheem Ashraf, Babar Azam, Rovman Powell, Colin Munro, etc, but also added my interpretations of the lessons from the 26th of February in Lahore between those teams - 6 Wkts conceded in the final Islamabad Utd attacks between 17.6 and 19.4 Ov and 8 runs difference in the end...

OMG, Alex Hales is dismissed at the very start of the match for Islamabad United vs Peshawar Zalmi, by Ayub's bowling!!!

We miss you, coach Mr. Jones.
Ayub dismissed also Colin Munro as well at 2.6 Ov...

IPL Women, RCB vs Uttar-Pradesh at the moment,
Smriti Mandhana touched 50 runs for 34 balls and RCB are 103 for 1 in 12.1 Ov.
The additional trigger for a market attack now.

The PSL 2024, Multan Sultans vs Peshawar Zalmi in Rawalpindi now broadcast on Sky Sports Cricket,

The sheer dominance in some matches so far when it comes to the (almost) unstoppable Multan side has been due to the blessing of having at their disposal Mohammad Rizwan, Reeza Hendricks and so forth, plenty of Statistics are available for them. Thankfully, in the main matches so far the odds compilers gave us generous odds about Multans, thanks for that!!!

The natural question from now on - when exactly they will fail again when the odds compilers think differently? Today they're losers, but in the future?

At that moment Hendricks is out, Multans are behind and considering Babar Azam has fulfilled his predicted batting quota, Rizwan is out, and Ayub has not achieved any Wkt ( surprisingly bad E/R so far) and Zalmi are priced now below 1.2 while Multan above 6 on the main ML market, there are series of predictable market positions on different specifical markets, backed by the long-year observations on the pitch...

There is a strong pattern to when Dawid Malan is achieving a given thing or suffering from another one on the pitch, i.e. dismissal, and also exactly how David Malan behaves. Currently, circa 80 S/R for below 20 B for him, that's why a strong trigger is in effect.
I don't think Tayyab Tahir is the right partner for him.
Both bowlers Jamal & Mumtaz are supporting below 6 E/R therefore new market attacks are calculated.

No matter that Multan are not happy today,
I have an assumption of exactly how the available 6 Wkts in their disposal would be distributed in the next 36 balls (maximum).
Let's see Shah and Ahmed vs Jamal & Irshad.

Important statistics I collected for future use:
- Jordan circa 250 and Ahmed circa 220 S.R. - what a late batting partnership for that team!
- Late cumulative five Ov for Multan - above 15 R.R. considering predicted by the Model top ranked 12 R.R. (>51% probability here);
- Irshad circa 15 E.R. and 0 Wkts (below my prognosis);
- Jamal 2 Wkts 9 E.R. (overcame the exlellent prognosis);
- My top and second-ranked calculated probabilities for Wkts distributions failed but the third-ranked one is fulfilled in an excellent way (1 Wkt taken in 16th Ov. by Nav-ul-Haq and ZERO to the end).

What a game in PSL 2024! And don't forget, the IPL 2024 is coming soon!!!

What a show Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka 3rd T20 in Sylhet now!
The last chasing Over is coming soon. I'd like today's TSports' live air from S.I.C.S to never end.

Addendum to the previous posting.

Despite no value in pre-match published odds, some starting value was triggered by the Model after Sri Lanka's Powerplay: 41 for 1. Why? Kusal Mendis' initial 106 S/R and the analysis of his three Fours' quality within the SL's Powerplay. The probability of reaching at least
a half-century in terms of his scored runs increased drastically.
Some closing positions were triggered before Mendis' final 156 S/R and 86 runs in order to protect the market achievement.
Next open positions were based on the calculated probability of overcoming or not SL's 174 runs and additional calculated risks were taken. Why? Stats and observations backed my probabilities for a given bowling quality of Theekshana, and also the pre-estimated batting performance of the Bangladeshi openers. Surprisingly, there was no need for additional take-profit operations till the end of the match, but additional calculated risks were taken after Rishad Hossain's super explosive batting performance (and Theekshana's bowling attack against him).

New lessons learned today: I have to reassess the balance in the Bangladesh T20 team in a new way in the Model. For example, the bowling department was OK except for conceding big damage by 86 runs from one batsman due to the very late Kusal Mendis' dismissal in 16.5 Ov. The batting dept had a much bigger imbalance than expected, and here I mean not only a bad start of the top-order batsmen and excellent performance of Hossain (half-century runs and 7 Sixes), but also the five conceded Wickets during the Bangladeshi Powerplay.
I will especially input into the Model two things:
- the Fourth Over (three dot balls & three Wickets);
- The Bangladeshi attempt for a successful chase during the battle Rishad Hossain vs MaheeshTheekshana.

What a game!


Now it's time for PSL: Karachi Kings vs Lahore Qualandars and at the same time IPL Ladies: Mumbai Indians vs Gujarat (Sky Sports Cricket/Fox Sports). Naturally, the Model loaded up the guns for market attack.