Arbusers

Today SRH vs RCB, and CSK vs DC.
In my view, some appropriate sets of data selected carefully regarding those four teams could be reset, and others could be accumulated further for the stats processing purpose. My rationale is the following:
-Despite the Chennai Super Kings team is still mathematically battling for the Play-Offs stage, in my view they're setting up the incorporate the new youngsters into the old golden team for IPL 2023. On the other hand, they'll look for possible wins from now on, and money flow (India Cements, TV Rights, etc) to that team refuse them to cancel the pursuit of the Play-Offs, but the priority is IPL next year.
-Delhi has an immense advantage in terms of Net Run Rate vs Sunrisers and RCB in the Play-Offs battle. That means the Capitals coaching staff could order a less risky approach vs Chennai today.
- Royals Challengers Bangalore has sustainable playing models, but there is some percent probability to pursue the risky win vs SRH due to negative NRR for them. The loss today will cause them out of the Top Four for sure.
- Sunrisers, despite Kane Williamson playing specificity, today vs RCB may return to old bowling supremacy habits due to Top Four positions. That means their task is much less risky, unlike RCB's one.
These hypotheses are useful to build some initial probabilities and some initial entry points.
Additionally, when some debatable cases on the pitch arise today, the cold trading approach is preferable if you are a risk-averse player.

RCB scored above the par score at Wankhede stadium. In my view, the profit is secured already, but if any additional percent of the risk is tolerated, after the 11th Over there is a possible additional entry point, and at the end of the 15th Over, provided that finished without a new wicket taken, the further operation in the market is very probable. For much longer positions, let's consider an entry point when RR is about circa 9 for the Sunrisers team or above in the next 6 or 7 Overs if Harshal Patel and de Silva perform that way as they perform at the current moment. You must take into consideration the way the SRH team bowling effort is being performed. The assessment of the SRH's panic is needed at the moment.

KKR vs SRH at the 19th Over. At the moment Russel is in a position to accelerate his Strike Rate. The combination of the probability of that plus some combinations in the Sunrisers' favor when Williamson is in batting position, provided that the estimation is within the usually observed interval, may generate some triggers.

Powerplay performance: KKR 55/1 vs SRH 31/1. Have to see Tripathi's ability to accelerate or not today, plus if the wicket falls in the next several Overs, for more precious estimations. For instance, in past years (except 2022), Chennai Super Kings are mastering survival and won in similar worsened conditions, but SRH is another story.

If Washington Sundar and Singh somehow achieve to follow and surpass the Markram acceleration (who scored three sixes in the last two Overs) some entry/exit points are projected due to a predefined game plan.

The penultimate match of the regular season will start shortly - MI vs DC. Till the moment of that post, almost happened the arbitrage situation between major agencies and exchanges in the time interval from the publishing opening odds till today. If you're not a cricket game specialist, may close the second leg of the arbitrage in the match, but a very minimal risk exists if the odds do not touch almost touched level.

Due to the importance of the clash Mumbai Indians vs Delhi Capitals, some things have to be stressed in the pre-analysis and be weighted by your side in a proper way, aiming to construct some good entry/exit points here:
The colossus MI is playing literally for nothing here. In a very similar situation, the other colossus Chennai Super Kings yesterday was caught by Rajasthan Royals in an inappropriate way. If the Play-Offs stage was more possible for both the legendary teams, I doubt that MI and CSK could afford that kind of behavior on the pitch lately (10 losses so far for every team). MI plays for nothing today, but the sleeping power and Rohit Sharma's tactic (see the initial lineup) require to beware.

The Delhi team somehow has blown the giant positive Net Run Rate last rounds, but due to Royal Challenger Bangalore's usual underperformance approaches so far, today NRR is not important. Only the win is important and the Capitals are in the Play-Offs for sure. I mean, that the big swings of their performance so far may be mitigated due to not importance of NRR today.
But for a blink of an eye, you have to estimate the initial Delhi lineup to estimate the most probable tactics from Ricky Ponting, and their decision if they win the toss - bat or field.
If the MI team wins the toss and prefers to field, I see a possible trap from Mahela Jayawardena to lure the Delhi team to play riskier than they need.

In the equation, you have to include another factor. The rain stopped, but the pitch is wet. Reassess the probabilities in these conditions, when it comes to the Delhi batting power (David Warner and others), the bowler department of the Mumbai team, and their style of bowling deliveries performed.

After two wickets taken for three deliveries (rare occasion) at Wankhede, the odds in Mumbai's favor shortened twice. The price for the Delhi team suggests some value if they are still in the region 2.6 - 2.8 to the end of the Powerplay.
Have to stress, that in the wet soil, the wickets were taken from a Left-arm fast bowler (Sams) and a Right-arm fast bowler (Bumrah).

After the bad DC's Powerplay, the entry in Delhi's favor is so risky, if the following is not achieved:
- If somehow the unpredictable and risky player Rishabh Pant reveals his genius till the beginning of the Death Overs and scores a big percent of Boundaries,
- Run Rate will rise to 10 or above in the next several Overs,
- Not more than two wickets are lost from the Capitals till 16th Over.

The penultimate chance for the Capitals to overcome RCB for the Play-Offs is to score at least 160 in their batting part. Anyway, at least one Boundary is required for them every Over. The ultimate chance depends on the ECON rate achieved today, performed by the Delhi bowlers, combined with initial fast wickets for them, preferably in the Powerplay. I'm curious about the further tactics from both the Mumbai and Delhi coaching staff and their implementations.

Powell above 140 Strike Run Rate, Pant almost 100 (bad achievement at that moment), Run Rate below 9, but 6 wickets in hand. Tricky conditions to estimate, but have in mind, that Markande has 1 wicket taken, and below 7 econ rate.
Seems like, if DC didn't fail till the Death Overs, they can achieve a minimum of 160 runs.

Three Boundaries achieved (six, four, four) and three Wides for the Delhi team - for six deliveries, caused big odds shortened, almost Evens odds for both the teams. The seventh delivery (Pant dismissal) caused slight odds reverse, but the crucial moment begins in my view.

The below-par score in my view, if the match was the usual one, not the decider for DC. MI needs to score 160, but I'm personally awaiting the initial bowling tactics from Ricky Ponting before further estimations. The other problem with the correct estimations is MI's batting instability in 2022. Before further entering here, I have to build probability for:
- Probability for slower and safety start from the Openers Sharma/Kishan and further acceleration, due to endless Sharma dismissals at unwanted stages so far;
- Order and implementation for fast wickets taking and MI's runs restricting from DC bowlers vs little slower start and Middle Order Bowling attack from the Delhi team.
- Other factors regarding both the teams, spotted by me so far.

Nortje's bowling performance (14 economy rate so far) resulted in very valued hundredths shortened of the odds at the acceptable rate Reward/Risk ratio. What a pleasant surprise.

Unusual numbers of Dots balls in the last several Overs are a sign of something unusual. Delhi is preparing something.