Hi,
I read a quickly system to find if two (or three) odds gives us a Surebet. And maybe some users can find interesting.
For a 1X2 match:
10/odds for 1 + 10/odds for X + 10/odds for 2
If the result is < 10. You have a Surebet!
How to know if we have a Surebet
- muttley
- Gaining experience
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Re: How to know if we have a Surebet
@pescu23
I did not understand. Could you please give us an example?
Thanks!
I did not understand. Could you please give us an example?
Thanks!
- pescu23
- To become a Pro
- Karma: 88
Post
Germany U21 - Montenegro U21
Football
BET 1: GERMANY 2.31
BET 2: X 4.3
BET 3: MONTENEGRO 3
10/2.31 + 10/4.3 + 10/3 = 4.33 + 2.325 + 3.33 = 9.985
So is a surebet, a small one because the result is close to 10.
Re: How to know if we have a Surebet
Of course, is a easy calc, here is an example:muttley wrote: @pescu23
I did not understand. Could you please give us an example?
Thanks!
Germany U21 - Montenegro U21
Football
BET 1: GERMANY 2.31
BET 2: X 4.3
BET 3: MONTENEGRO 3
10/2.31 + 10/4.3 + 10/3 = 4.33 + 2.325 + 3.33 = 9.985
So is a surebet, a small one because the result is close to 10.
Last edited by pescu23 on Thu Oct 10, 2013 8:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
- Yngwie
- Pro
- Karma: 21
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really? seriously??
ok i wont search for any surebets then
Re: How to know if we have a Surebet
lol lol lolisservilles wrote: don't search about surebets because all your accounts will be limited or closed
really? seriously??
ok i wont search for any surebets then
- kapetan1122
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Re: How to know if we have a Surebet
For 2 way arbs its pretty simple i think:
A*B should be over A+B
For example odds 1.52-3
1.52*3=4.56 and 1.52+3=4.52
or 1.25-5.2
1.52*5.2=6.5 and 1.25+5=6.25
A*B should be over A+B
For example odds 1.52-3
1.52*3=4.56 and 1.52+3=4.52
or 1.25-5.2
1.52*5.2=6.5 and 1.25+5=6.25
- ppintaluba
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- Location: Uruguay
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No matter if there are 2 outcomes, 3, 4 or 12 :-)
1/odd(1) + 1/odd(2) + 1/odd(3) + ... + 1/odd(n) < 1 then it's a surebet.
I tried to post an explanation here: http://surebettracker.com/LetsBlog/learning-center/calculating-arbitrages/
How do you calculate arbitrage opportunities on BetsOnFire?
Re: How to know if we have a Surebet
Pescu. This formula is the basic formula for surebets (for independent outcomes). Or am I missing something?pescu23 wrote: Hi,
I read a quickly system to find if two (or three) odds gives us a Surebet. And maybe some users can find interesting.
For a 1X2 match:
10/odds for 1 + 10/odds for X + 10/odds for 2
If the result is < 10. You have a Surebet!
No matter if there are 2 outcomes, 3, 4 or 12 :-)
1/odd(1) + 1/odd(2) + 1/odd(3) + ... + 1/odd(n) < 1 then it's a surebet.
I tried to post an explanation here: http://surebettracker.com/LetsBlog/learning-center/calculating-arbitrages/
How do you calculate arbitrage opportunities on BetsOnFire?
Last edited by ppintaluba on Fri Oct 11, 2013 9:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Smart Bet Tracker
www.smartbettracker.com
www.smartbettracker.com
- qbet
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Re: How to know if we have a Surebet
In more complex cases, when there is overlapping, the formula doesn't hold. For example : H1(0) - X - 2.
- pescu23
- To become a Pro
- Karma: 88
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Re: How to know if we have a Surebet
This is the way we do I learned interesting stuff building betsonfire and I thought maybe was interesting to share with the community!
Pescu. This formula is the basic formula for surebets (for independent outcomes). Or am I missing something?
No matter if there are 2 outcomes, 3, 4 or 12 :-)
1/odd(1) + 1/odd(2) + 1/odd(3) + ... + 1/odd(n) < 1 then it's a surebet.
I tried to post an explanation here: http://surebettracker.com/LetsBlog/learning-center/calculating-arbitrages/
How do you calculate arbitrage opportunities on BetsOnFire?
- anormal1992
- Has experience
- Karma: -9
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Re: How to know if we have a Surebet
You have a Value Bet!pescu23 wrote: Hi,
I read a quickly system to find if two (or three) odds gives us a Surebet. And maybe some users can find interesting.
For a 1X2 match:
10/odds for 1 + 10/odds for X + 10/odds for 2
If the result is < 10. You have a Surebet!