I've been thinking about the following method.
Imagine that we use RebelBetting, ValueBetting and we identify a pre-live valuation.
Obviously many valuations are in minor leagues, third division, and amateur championships.
And if I wrote down this odd, take it to live and hope to appreciate it, since we have a greater probability of winning.
So, working live, we avoid a quick limitation.
Would the ROI be interesting?
Would we be successful in this betting format?
Live Value Betting, a method that maybe works
- GreenScalper
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Re: Live Value Betting, a method that maybe works
Unless you place the bet in the first second of the game in-play with the same price as it was pre-match you have no guarantee that it's value anymore.
- willprigol
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Re: Live Value Betting, a method that maybe works
But analyzing, if you know the value of the row with valued ODD, let's say it is 1.50.
At the beginning of the game, let's say we have a 1.40 line
After 5 minutes we already have the 1.5 line again and we make the live investment, reducing the probability of limitation.
At the beginning of the game, let's say we have a 1.40 line
After 5 minutes we already have the 1.5 line again and we make the live investment, reducing the probability of limitation.
- Calibermonkey
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- Karma: 8
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I hope you see why this may be not profitable, value bets don't always win so it could be possible that you miss the winners and only bet on the losers.
Re: Live Value Betting, a method that maybe works
Okay so what if there is value on over 3.5 goals @2.5 in the first 5 minutes there is a goal scored. The odds go down to 1.8, then you have to wait untill the odds go to 2.5 again, but oh no, there is another goal in the 20th minute. The odds will probably never hit 2.5 again and the game finished 4-2. You have missed the value opportunity, but if you had placed it pre match it would have won and you could have been in profit right now. Then a next match, over 3.5 goals, for 20 minutes there is no goal, you place the bet and the match ends 2-0. You lost the bet. If you had placed the bets pre match you would have been in profit. Now you did place the bets in play and you have a loss.willprigol wrote:
But analyzing, if you know the value of the row with valued ODD, let's say it is 1.50.
At the beginning of the game, let's say we have a 1.40 line
After 5 minutes we already have the 1.5 line again and we make the live investment, reducing the probability of limitation.
I hope you see why this may be not profitable, value bets don't always win so it could be possible that you miss the winners and only bet on the losers.