Negative middle

Make bookmakers cash cow machines
ArberPro
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Negative middle

Sat Jan 11, 2014 1:11 am

Is it worth a 4 point middle with odds 1.85 -1.85 ? In NBA basketball considering that this NBA games are more stable in scoring points?
ppintaluba
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Re: Negative middle

Sat Jan 11, 2014 4:34 am

Doing some math, it will work if you hit the middle more than 8% of the times. In example, if you hit the middle 10% of the times you will get an 1.75% profit. If you hit 20% of the times, you will get a 11% profit. But if you hit 8% you get -0.1% and if you hit 5% you get -2.87%. If you never hit, you lose 7.5%
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ArberPro
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Re: Negative middle

Sat Jan 11, 2014 4:41 am

Made 3 middles till now and one hit :D
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Re: Negative middle

Sat Jan 11, 2014 7:12 am

doesn't matter you will be a lot lower in  long run and the % depend on how big middle it is, it is obvious that a -6 +7.5 with -6  +8.5 have a different success %
Don't speak for something you have no clue.
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Re: Negative middle

Sat Jan 11, 2014 8:48 am

There is a big difference between AH and Totals. I have done some math on this and from what i recall, 0.5 points in AH is around 2.2% and in Totals around 1.2%. And i would think quite the opposite about NBA, the more points there are, the smaller the value of each point.
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Re: Negative middle

Sat Jan 11, 2014 12:22 pm

I think the % raises if  you bet later in th e game.
Last edited by ArberPro on Sat Jan 11, 2014 5:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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