Arbusers

I would like to bring at your attention the stock of Pfizer Inc (ticker PFE) listed in the NYSE. It is a stock that I am watching closely for quite some time now and I came to the conclusion that it worths having in my portfolio for a number of reasons.

First and foremost, because Technical Analysis shows that it is bottoming:

1. The monthly RSI is in extremely oversold levels. Since the beginning of its listing back in 1968, only 6 times the monthly RSI came to such a low level. This is a very favourable condition.


2. The weekly RSI is forming a positive divergence, showing that a turn around might be near. Of course, it could continue in the same manner, maintaining the divergence while price keeps going lower, but again, this a favourable condition.


Secondly, because there are some facts worth taking into account:

1. This is a very blue chip, and these companies present very rare opportunities for entering. I am convinced that many eyes are lasering this stock.
2. Insider's selling in the health care sector is dried up. There must be a reason for that.
3. I am expecting Pfizer to play a very important role against cancer. Because of the Covid vaccine and the development of the MRNA technology, Pfizer holds an advantage against the competition. An oncology day is organised at the end of February that may bring some clinical trial updates.
4. The dividend performance as we speak is 6.11% and if I calculate the US dividend tax it goes down to 4.27% which is not considered bad.
5. The overall market view shows that we are nowhere near the end of a cycle, which is expected towards the end of 2025, and that gives time for an experiment of this kind.

This stock is not a roller coster, nor a casino. The owner of this stock has a long horizon. Price could play around here, or even lower for a long time before turning North. I m prepared for it, and I have an additional amount of money ready to be deployed if price goes lower.

Of course, I am not telling you what to do with your money. I am simply describing what I do with the money under my management, in an investment that I believe it will pay out one way or another. I will not comment on this stock regularly but I will for sure inform you guys when something important comes up.

Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice. Information is general in nature and is not specific to you. You should not make any decision, financial or otherwise, based on any of the Information without undertaking your own due diligence.

pfizer?! are you kidding me guys?

this company poisoned millions of people with so-called mrna vaccines.

pfizer is an evil company, dont touch it.

and why buy stocks when you can invest in bitcoin?? cmon.

One person so trustable for me, told me this:

Bio-technology is now in the same position than AI 5 years ago.

About RNA, is the future of vaccines with all the security.

One person so trustable for me told me this,

these mrna vaccines were not tested enough and they may cause problems in future.
did you notice the raise of heart attack during sport events after vaccines were introduced?

so much techbology not good guys.

I didnt know there is so much stupidity and conspiracy weirdos on this forum haha

Sonny wrote: ↑

Sun Feb 18, 2024 6:05 am

One person so trustable for me told me this,

these mrna vaccines were not tested enough and they may cause problems in future.
did you notice the raise of heart attack during sport events after vaccines were introduced?

so much techbology not good guys.

Covid vaccines are one of the first ones, but, in the future, all the vaccines will be a RNA solution.
If you read a little about how they make it, you will be surprised and understand why they are so good in the future.
I thought the same than you before.

Once again, thank you for your work and analysis! Much appreciated and interesting reading.

When you post a stock that you have bought would it be possible for you to mention how much you invest in a kind of scale? Like how much of your totalt investment portfolio in %?

And do you have any price target in mind?

In this cycle that started in summer 2022 I adopted Greenblatt's strategy that was described and recommended in his book that you can find in the relevant section. So I created a portfolio of 25 stocks. But the amount of money was not distributed equally. I had 8-10% of my portfolio in METAs and NFLXs types of companies, and a 2% in all other stocks. But as we were advancing in the cycle my criteria was ringing for more stocks. So I found my self holding a portfolio of some 28-30 stocks. I found out that was difficult to watch and analyse. Then slowly I started selling some of my stocks to bring it down to a more manageable number.

PFE is a blue chip obviously and i couldn't keep it at the 2% range. So now it is 4% of my stock portfolio while an additional 4% is staying on the side as cash ready to be deployed if we have a lower price. When we talk for this kind of companies, it is very difficult to determine the exact bottom. Thus, I prefer the strategy of DDCA with them, and even if I am not given the chance I m ready to buy again at a higher price if I have solid confirmation. Be careful here. I am talking about my stock portfolio, and not the overall portfolio that includes BTC, real estate and other investments.

As for the price target, there is no target in my mind, and I will explain why.
I described in another thread that this cycle is determined by the business cycle as presented by the ISM manufacturing prices. So very theoretically, we can assume this cycle will end at the mid to end of 2025. That gives me a time target, not a price target. So I m ready to sell when the time is out, no matter what the price is. The price will be anything it wants to be.

But let's not be deterministic. Even if the time target is met, I will have to re-examine the shape of the stock. If technically we have signals for higher prices, I will keep the stock. It is still to early to say.

Let me make a couple more comments here.

In my view, PFE will be the leader of the fight against cancer. But science has a dual fight to give. The other fight is against Alzheimer. PFE is not a leader in the Alzheimer fight. It is Biogen (BIIB) who is the leader against Alzheimer. Biogen's price is ranging for 10-11 years now. I believe there will be a time that Biogen will offer wonderful surprises to humanity and it worths paying attention at this stock. Every time it moves, it likes offering X10 moves to the holders. Maybe we are getting close, maybe not. All I am saying is that it worths paying attention.

As we are advancing in the 4th revolution, we will find a nexus of Crypto, Science, and Biotechnology. I am not sure if AI is part of this nexus yet. In my view, it is a mistake focusing only in 1 sector. You need to have exposure in all sectors, and then see which horse runs faster. For now, it is BTC running faster than any other horse, but, for how long? BTC might offer X8 performance in this cycle, but Biogen might offer X10. All I am saying is that we should not stick in one horse only.

Lastly, I have no doubt, the biggest fight of humanity will be for immortality. Not sure if my generation will achieve it, but I think kids who are born after 2010 have chances to achieve a kind of immortality. Maybe we find a way to get rid of our bodies, while our spirit and psyche continues to live some how. Who is going to give that fight. Well, it will be companies like PFE, BIIB and visionaries that we probably never heard of their names before.

Sorry for making this post so long. I just find it a pity to delete what I wrote.

I am sorry for anyone who took an mRNA injection, they are in big trouble healthwise forever now. I thought arbers and smart people would mostly run a mile from these deadly genetic poison injections!

Thank you so much for this valuable analysis, very appreciate your work

Did you know that CNBC too is reading arbusers?

There are pretty good chances the lows are in. The positive RSI divergence is expanding and the volumes are adequate. These last days it goes up aggressively, typical signs of a trend reversal. Of course I could always prove wrong.


Do your own DD.