Arbusers

I wanted to ask if anyone knows if there is value in backing Home/draw when a very low priced favorite gets a goal conceded by the away teams. Some times I see the odds overreacting during a goal.

Is there value in this?

The favorites are always getting lower odds than what they really deserve. It is important to see what minute of the game we had the goal. In general, after 75th minute, the curve is moving aggressively, becaus those who have open bets are paniced, but for other reasons also.

So basically its better to enter such a trade during the First half right?

If you take under consideration that favorites are getting lower odds than what they really deserve (as mentioned before), then you must never jump into such a bet.